Made 2026-09-15, resolving 2026-09-29 — a 14-day window, fixed before the outcome was known. Every field on this page was frozen when the call was made.
Hit if the currency's peak rate against USD inside the window exceeds the issue-day reference (0.740963) by at least 1.13%. Peak, not endpoint: a devaluation that retraces still happened.
The resolver is external — fx_rates (daily USD reference rates) — and the daily snapshot of this call in ledger-snapshots/ carries GitHub's timestamps. Diff any two dated files to verify nothing above moved after 2026-09-15.
← The full ledger · the same data as JSON
Daily snapshots of this book are committed to the public repository — ledger-snapshots/ — so the stated probabilities and thresholds carry GitHub's timestamps, not ours. A reader can verify no call moved between issuance and resolution without trusting us.