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more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1478.58.","probability":0.288,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-10-10","resolves_on":"2026-10-24","status":"miss","evidence_count":7,"resolved_at":"2026-10-24 09:45:39.127445+00","correction":null},{"id":"4187","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RU","claim":"RUB depreciates 3.75% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 84.9897.","probability":0.222,"base_rate":0.244,"made_on":"2026-10-10","resolves_on":"2026-10-24","status":"miss","evidence_count":5,"resolved_at":"2026-10-24 09:45:39.119184+00","correction":null},{"id":"4186","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RO","claim":"RON depreciates 1.75% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4.76903.","probability":0.283,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-10-10","resolves_on":"2026-10-24","status":"miss","evidence_count":13,"resolved_at":"2026-10-24 09:45:39.110749+00","correction":null},{"id":"4185","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PL","claim":"PLN 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158.286.","probability":0.264,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-10-10","resolves_on":"2026-10-24","status":"miss","evidence_count":16,"resolved_at":"2026-10-24 09:45:38.939219+00","correction":null},{"id":"4165","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IR","claim":"IRR depreciates 13.44% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.76672e+6.","probability":0.282,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-10-10","resolves_on":"2026-10-24","status":"miss","evidence_count":145,"resolved_at":"2026-10-24 09:45:38.930608+00","correction":null},{"id":"4164","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IQ","claim":"IQD depreciates 0.32% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1430.32.","probability":0.3,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-10-10","resolves_on":"2026-10-24","status":"hit","evidence_count":610,"resolved_at":"2026-10-24 09:45:38.921473+00","correction":null},{"id":"4163","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IN","claim":"INR depreciates 1.11% or more against USD at any 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26.7149.","probability":0.225,"base_rate":0.253,"made_on":"2026-10-09","resolves_on":"2026-10-23","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-10-23 09:45:39.090853+00","correction":null},{"id":"4140","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZA","claim":"ZAR depreciates 1.93% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 16.6154.","probability":0.27,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-10-09","resolves_on":"2026-10-23","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-10-23 09:45:39.082323+00","correction":null},{"id":"4139","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"YE","claim":"YER depreciates 0.35% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 235.946.","probability":0.28,"base_rate":0.253,"made_on":"2026-10-09","resolves_on":"2026-10-23","status":"miss","evidence_count":17,"resolved_at":"2026-10-23 09:45:39.074306+00","correction":null},{"id":"4138","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BF","claim":"XOF depreciates 1.12% or more against USD at any point 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33.6680.","probability":0.261,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-10-09","resolves_on":"2026-10-23","status":"miss","evidence_count":18,"resolved_at":"2026-10-23 09:45:38.940719+00","correction":null},{"id":"4126","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SY","claim":"SYP depreciates 2.84% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 121.641.","probability":0.234,"base_rate":0.247,"made_on":"2026-10-09","resolves_on":"2026-10-23","status":"miss","evidence_count":20,"resolved_at":"2026-10-23 09:45:38.932798+00","correction":null},{"id":"4125","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SS","claim":"SSP depreciates 7.07% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 5670.37.","probability":0.262,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-10-09","resolves_on":"2026-10-23","status":"hit","evidence_count":760,"resolved_at":"2026-10-23 09:45:38.923586+00","correction":null},{"id":"4124","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SG","claim":"SGD depreciates 0.70% or more against USD at any 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more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1477.83.","probability":0.289,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-10-09","resolves_on":"2026-10-23","status":"miss","evidence_count":12,"resolved_at":"2026-10-23 09:45:38.887323+00","correction":null},{"id":"4120","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RU","claim":"RUB depreciates 3.75% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 85.4328.","probability":0.224,"base_rate":0.245,"made_on":"2026-10-09","resolves_on":"2026-10-23","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-10-23 09:45:38.878452+00","correction":null},{"id":"4119","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RO","claim":"RON depreciates 1.75% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4.77927.","probability":0.275,"base_rate":0.247,"made_on":"2026-10-09","resolves_on":"2026-10-23","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-10-23 09:45:38.869875+00","correction":null},{"id":"4118","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PL","claim":"PLN 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09:45:38.438959+00","correction":null},{"id":"4076","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AO","claim":"AOA depreciates 0.71% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 924.824.","probability":0.275,"base_rate":0.253,"made_on":"2026-10-09","resolves_on":"2026-10-23","status":"hit","evidence_count":152,"resolved_at":"2026-10-23 09:45:38.42605+00","correction":null},{"id":"4075","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AF","claim":"AFN depreciates 1.67% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 64.8454.","probability":0.242,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-10-09","resolves_on":"2026-10-23","status":"miss","evidence_count":20,"resolved_at":"2026-10-23 09:45:38.4034+00","correction":null},{"id":"4074","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZW","claim":"ZWL depreciates 1.18% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 26.7051.","probability":0.226,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-10-08","resolves_on":"2026-10-22","status":"miss","evidence_count":4,"resolved_at":"2026-10-22 09:45:39.324359+00","correction":null},{"id":"4073","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZA","claim":"ZAR depreciates 1.93% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 16.6394.","probability":0.271,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-10-08","resolves_on":"2026-10-22","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-10-22 09:45:39.316861+00","correction":null},{"id":"4072","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"YE","claim":"YER depreciates 0.35% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 236.287.","probability":0.281,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-10-08","resolves_on":"2026-10-22","status":"miss","evidence_count":3,"resolved_at":"2026-10-22 09:45:39.310161+00","correction":null},{"id":"4071","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BF","claim":"XOF depreciates 1.10% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 585.817.","probability":0.304,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-10-08","resolves_on":"2026-10-22","status":"miss","evidence_count":24,"resolved_at":"2026-10-22 09:45:39.302557+00","correction":null},{"id":"4070","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CM","claim":"XAF depreciates 1.10% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 585.817.","probability":0.304,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-10-08","resolves_on":"2026-10-22","status":"miss","evidence_count":24,"resolved_at":"2026-10-22 09:45:39.294457+00","correction":null},{"id":"4069","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"VN","claim":"VND depreciates 0.45% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 25953.0.","probability":0.261,"base_rate":0.241,"made_on":"2026-10-08","resolves_on":"2026-10-22","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-10-22 09:45:39.284366+00","correction":null},{"id":"4068","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"VE","claim":"VES depreciates 7.04% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 874.732.","probability":0.205,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-10-08","resolves_on":"2026-10-22","status":"miss","evidence_count":115,"resolved_at":"2026-10-22 09:45:39.275613+00","correction":null},{"id":"4067","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UZ","claim":"UZS depreciates 1.29% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 11789.8.","probability":0.207,"base_rate":0.247,"made_on":"2026-10-08","resolves_on":"2026-10-22","status":"hit","evidence_count":374,"resolved_at":"2026-10-22 09:45:39.26593+00","correction":null},{"id":"4066","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UG","claim":"UGX depreciates 1.52% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3960.04.","probability":0.35,"base_rate":0.261,"made_on":"2026-10-08","resolves_on":"2026-10-22","status":"hit","evidence_count":355,"resolved_at":"2026-10-22 09:45:39.256241+00","correction":null},{"id":"4065","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UA","claim":"UAH 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09:45:39.230817+00","correction":null},{"id":"4062","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TR","claim":"TRY depreciates 0.79% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 49.2191.","probability":0.245,"base_rate":0.278,"made_on":"2026-10-08","resolves_on":"2026-10-22","status":"hit","evidence_count":86,"resolved_at":"2026-10-22 09:45:39.210112+00","correction":null},{"id":"4061","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TN","claim":"TND depreciates 0.97% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2.99295.","probability":0.285,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-10-08","resolves_on":"2026-10-22","status":"miss","evidence_count":60,"resolved_at":"2026-10-22 09:45:39.202666+00","correction":null},{"id":"4060","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TH","claim":"THB depreciates 1.36% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 33.6593.","probability":0.243,"base_rate":0.241,"made_on":"2026-10-08","resolves_on":"2026-10-22","status":"miss","evidence_count":3,"resolved_at":"2026-10-22 09:45:39.185129+00","correction":null},{"id":"4059","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SY","claim":"SYP depreciates 2.84% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 121.788.","probability":0.24,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-10-08","resolves_on":"2026-10-22","status":"miss","evidence_count":8,"resolved_at":"2026-10-22 09:45:39.178673+00","correction":null},{"id":"4058","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SS","claim":"SSP depreciates 7.07% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 5686.29.","probability":0.254,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-10-08","resolves_on":"2026-10-22","status":"hit","evidence_count":730,"resolved_at":"2026-10-22 09:45:39.170123+00","correction":null},{"id":"4057","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SG","claim":"SGD depreciates 0.70% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.27968.","probability":0.258,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-10-08","resolves_on":"2026-10-22","status":"miss","evidence_count":26,"resolved_at":"2026-10-22 09:45:39.163249+00","correction":null},{"id":"4056","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SE","claim":"SEK depreciates 2.15% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 10.0115.","probability":0.267,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-10-08","resolves_on":"2026-10-22","status":"miss","evidence_count":20,"resolved_at":"2026-10-22 09:45:39.154931+00","correction":null},{"id":"4055","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SD","claim":"SDG depreciates 19.89% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 542.903.","probability":0.248,"base_rate":0.247,"made_on":"2026-10-08","resolves_on":"2026-10-22","status":"miss","evidence_count":28,"resolved_at":"2026-10-22 09:45:39.147367+00","correction":null},{"id":"4054","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RW","claim":"RWF depreciates 0.37% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1477.22.","probability":0.291,"base_rate":0.261,"made_on":"2026-10-08","resolves_on":"2026-10-22","status":"miss","evidence_count":16,"resolved_at":"2026-10-22 09:45:39.139892+00","correction":null},{"id":"4053","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RU","claim":"RUB depreciates 3.75% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 85.4469.","probability":0.225,"base_rate":0.247,"made_on":"2026-10-08","resolves_on":"2026-10-22","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-10-22 09:45:39.132416+00","correction":null},{"id":"4052","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RO","claim":"RON depreciates 1.71% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4.78088.","probability":0.271,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-10-08","resolves_on":"2026-10-22","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-10-22 09:45:39.123336+00","correction":null},{"id":"4051","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PL","claim":"PLN 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09:45:39.101769+00","correction":null},{"id":"4048","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PE","claim":"PEN depreciates 0.92% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3.44325.","probability":0.275,"base_rate":0.253,"made_on":"2026-10-08","resolves_on":"2026-10-22","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-10-22 09:45:39.095261+00","correction":null},{"id":"4047","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NZ","claim":"NZD depreciates 2.10% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.78573.","probability":0.299,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-10-08","resolves_on":"2026-10-22","status":"miss","evidence_count":17,"resolved_at":"2026-10-22 09:45:39.086197+00","correction":null},{"id":"4046","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NP","claim":"NPR depreciates 1.11% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 154.933.","probability":0.245,"base_rate":0.261,"made_on":"2026-10-08","resolves_on":"2026-10-22","status":"miss","evidence_count":13,"resolved_at":"2026-10-22 09:45:39.07823+00","correction":null},{"id":"4045","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NO","claim":"NOK depreciates 2.16% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.57520.","probability":0.253,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-10-08","resolves_on":"2026-10-22","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-10-22 09:45:39.069104+00","correction":null},{"id":"4044","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NG","claim":"NGN depreciates 0.79% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1330.21.","probability":0.22,"base_rate":0.247,"made_on":"2026-10-08","resolves_on":"2026-10-22","status":"miss","evidence_count":32,"resolved_at":"2026-10-22 09:45:39.058755+00","correction":null},{"id":"4043","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MZ","claim":"MZN depreciates 0.42% or more against USD at any point 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against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2098.72.","probability":0.275,"base_rate":0.247,"made_on":"2026-10-08","resolves_on":"2026-10-22","status":"miss","evidence_count":6,"resolved_at":"2026-10-22 09:45:39.024142+00","correction":null},{"id":"4039","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MA","claim":"MAD depreciates 1.43% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.96962.","probability":0.344,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-10-08","resolves_on":"2026-10-22","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-10-22 09:45:39.01814+00","correction":null},{"id":"4038","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"LY","claim":"LYD depreciates 0.72% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 6.41556.","probability":0.29,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-10-08","resolves_on":"2026-10-22","status":"miss","evidence_count":20,"resolved_at":"2026-10-22 09:45:39.010856+00","correction":null},{"id":"4037","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"LK","claim":"LKR 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158.101.","probability":0.266,"base_rate":0.253,"made_on":"2026-10-08","resolves_on":"2026-10-22","status":"miss","evidence_count":28,"resolved_at":"2026-10-22 09:45:38.963402+00","correction":null},{"id":"4031","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IR","claim":"IRR depreciates 13.31% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.73545e+6.","probability":0.27,"base_rate":0.247,"made_on":"2026-10-08","resolves_on":"2026-10-22","status":"miss","evidence_count":218,"resolved_at":"2026-10-22 09:45:38.954561+00","correction":null},{"id":"4030","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IQ","claim":"IQD depreciates 0.32% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1308.41.","probability":0.284,"base_rate":0.247,"made_on":"2026-10-08","resolves_on":"2026-10-22","status":"hit","evidence_count":1598,"resolved_at":"2026-10-22 09:45:38.946988+00","correction":null},{"id":"4029","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IN","claim":"INR depreciates 1.12% or more against USD at any 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more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 11.6623.","probability":0.286,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-10-08","resolves_on":"2026-10-22","status":"miss","evidence_count":129,"resolved_at":"2026-10-22 09:45:38.916239+00","correction":null},{"id":"4025","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GE","claim":"GEL depreciates 0.25% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2.59584.","probability":0.325,"base_rate":0.253,"made_on":"2026-10-08","resolves_on":"2026-10-22","status":"miss","evidence_count":13,"resolved_at":"2026-10-22 09:45:38.909517+00","correction":null},{"id":"4024","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GB","claim":"GBP depreciates 1.20% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.756549.","probability":0.271,"base_rate":0.253,"made_on":"2026-10-08","resolves_on":"2026-10-22","status":"miss","evidence_count":1,"resolved_at":"2026-10-22 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1.52% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3920.31.","probability":0.341,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-10-07","resolves_on":"2026-10-21","status":"hit","evidence_count":359,"resolved_at":"2026-10-21 09:45:38.895815+00","correction":null},{"id":"3997","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UA","claim":"UAH depreciates 0.73% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 44.9901.","probability":0.249,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-10-07","resolves_on":"2026-10-21","status":"miss","evidence_count":25,"resolved_at":"2026-10-21 09:45:38.888686+00","correction":null},{"id":"3996","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TZ","claim":"TZS depreciates 0.64% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2645.68.","probability":0.236,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-10-07","resolves_on":"2026-10-21","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-10-21 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4054.62.","probability":0.282,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-10-07","resolves_on":"2026-10-21","status":"miss","evidence_count":20,"resolved_at":"2026-10-21 09:45:38.637332+00","correction":null},{"id":"3964","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"JP","claim":"JPY depreciates 0.99% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 158.145.","probability":0.267,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-10-07","resolves_on":"2026-10-21","status":"miss","evidence_count":25,"resolved_at":"2026-10-21 09:45:38.62958+00","correction":null},{"id":"3963","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IR","claim":"IRR depreciates 13.15% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.71954e+6.","probability":0.267,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-10-07","resolves_on":"2026-10-21","status":"miss","evidence_count":274,"resolved_at":"2026-10-21 09:45:38.621307+00","correction":null},{"id":"3962","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IQ","claim":"IQD depreciates 0.32% or more against USD at any 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more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 324.741.","probability":0.272,"base_rate":0.244,"made_on":"2026-10-07","resolves_on":"2026-10-21","status":"miss","evidence_count":68,"resolved_at":"2026-10-21 09:45:38.589767+00","correction":null},{"id":"3958","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GH","claim":"GHS depreciates 1.95% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 11.6224.","probability":0.287,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-10-07","resolves_on":"2026-10-21","status":"miss","evidence_count":164,"resolved_at":"2026-10-21 09:45:38.581173+00","correction":null},{"id":"3957","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GE","claim":"GEL depreciates 0.25% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2.60016.","probability":0.326,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-10-07","resolves_on":"2026-10-21","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-10-21 09:45:38.5729+00","correction":null},{"id":"3956","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GB","claim":"GBP 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more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4.98041.","probability":0.208,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-10-07","resolves_on":"2026-10-21","status":"hit","evidence_count":217,"resolved_at":"2026-10-21 09:45:38.466676+00","correction":null},{"id":"3944","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BD","claim":"BDT depreciates 0.29% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 122.835.","probability":0.298,"base_rate":0.236,"made_on":"2026-10-07","resolves_on":"2026-10-21","status":"hit","evidence_count":68,"resolved_at":"2026-10-21 09:45:38.455946+00","correction":null},{"id":"3943","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AZ","claim":"AZN depreciates 0.41% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.69804.","probability":0.317,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-10-07","resolves_on":"2026-10-21","status":"miss","evidence_count":16,"resolved_at":"2026-10-21 09:45:38.447856+00","correction":null},{"id":"3942","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AU","claim":"AUD 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09:45:38.418596+00","correction":null},{"id":"3939","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AF","claim":"AFN depreciates 1.73% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 64.6389.","probability":0.249,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-10-07","resolves_on":"2026-10-21","status":"miss","evidence_count":46,"resolved_at":"2026-10-21 09:45:38.406203+00","correction":null},{"id":"3938","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZW","claim":"ZWL depreciates 1.18% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 26.7698.","probability":0.229,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-10-06","resolves_on":"2026-10-20","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-10-20 09:45:39.666625+00","correction":null},{"id":"3937","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZA","claim":"ZAR depreciates 1.93% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 16.6478.","probability":0.264,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-10-06","resolves_on":"2026-10-20","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-10-20 09:45:39.660288+00","correction":null},{"id":"3936","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"YE","claim":"YER depreciates 0.35% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 236.593.","probability":0.284,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-10-06","resolves_on":"2026-10-20","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-10-20 09:45:39.65493+00","correction":null},{"id":"3935","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BF","claim":"XOF depreciates 1.03% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 585.064.","probability":0.297,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-10-06","resolves_on":"2026-10-20","status":"miss","evidence_count":37,"resolved_at":"2026-10-20 09:45:39.649387+00","correction":null},{"id":"3934","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CM","claim":"XAF depreciates 1.03% or more against USD at any point 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121.811.","probability":0.251,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-10-06","resolves_on":"2026-10-20","status":"miss","evidence_count":6,"resolved_at":"2026-10-20 09:45:39.567065+00","correction":null},{"id":"3922","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SS","claim":"SSP depreciates 6.77% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 6072.99.","probability":0.261,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-10-06","resolves_on":"2026-10-20","status":"miss","evidence_count":47,"resolved_at":"2026-10-20 09:45:39.561453+00","correction":null},{"id":"3921","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SG","claim":"SGD depreciates 0.70% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.27983.","probability":0.261,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-10-06","resolves_on":"2026-10-20","status":"miss","evidence_count":25,"resolved_at":"2026-10-20 09:45:39.555327+00","correction":null},{"id":"3920","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SE","claim":"SEK depreciates 2.13% or more against USD at any point 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1.71280e+6.","probability":0.278,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-10-06","resolves_on":"2026-10-20","status":"miss","evidence_count":315,"resolved_at":"2026-10-20 09:45:39.390876+00","correction":null},{"id":"3894","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IQ","claim":"IQD depreciates 0.32% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1311.82.","probability":0.286,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-10-06","resolves_on":"2026-10-20","status":"hit","evidence_count":1568,"resolved_at":"2026-10-20 09:45:39.384284+00","correction":null},{"id":"3893","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IN","claim":"INR depreciates 1.12% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 96.3804.","probability":0.241,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-10-06","resolves_on":"2026-10-20","status":"miss","evidence_count":61,"resolved_at":"2026-10-20 09:45:39.377818+00","correction":null},{"id":"3892","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ID","claim":"IDR depreciates 1.48% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 17892.6.","probability":0.241,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-10-06","resolves_on":"2026-10-20","status":"miss","evidence_count":91,"resolved_at":"2026-10-20 09:45:39.371598+00","correction":null},{"id":"3891","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"HU","claim":"HUF depreciates 2.15% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 327.749.","probability":0.279,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-10-06","resolves_on":"2026-10-20","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-10-20 09:45:39.364794+00","correction":null},{"id":"3890","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GH","claim":"GHS depreciates 1.95% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 11.7495.","probability":0.288,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-10-06","resolves_on":"2026-10-20","status":"miss","evidence_count":54,"resolved_at":"2026-10-20 09:45:39.358424+00","correction":null},{"id":"3889","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GB","claim":"GBP depreciates 1.20% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.756485.","probability":0.273,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-10-06","resolves_on":"2026-10-20","status":"miss","evidence_count":2,"resolved_at":"2026-10-20 09:45:39.352277+00","correction":null},{"id":"3888","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"DE","claim":"EUR depreciates 1.03% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.892111.","probability":0.296,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-10-06","resolves_on":"2026-10-20","status":"miss","evidence_count":34,"resolved_at":"2026-10-20 09:45:39.346209+00","correction":null},{"id":"3887","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ET","claim":"ETB depreciates 0.94% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 161.340.","probability":0.228,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-10-06","resolves_on":"2026-10-20","status":"miss","evidence_count":31,"resolved_at":"2026-10-20 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21.8084.","probability":0.315,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-10-06","resolves_on":"2026-10-20","status":"miss","evidence_count":9,"resolved_at":"2026-10-20 09:45:39.318534+00","correction":null},{"id":"3883","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CO","claim":"COP depreciates 4.09% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3286.00.","probability":0.323,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-10-06","resolves_on":"2026-10-20","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-10-20 09:45:39.311721+00","correction":null},{"id":"3882","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CL","claim":"CLP depreciates 2.60% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 988.728.","probability":0.264,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-10-06","resolves_on":"2026-10-20","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-10-20 09:45:39.304947+00","correction":null},{"id":"3881","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CH","claim":"CHF depreciates 1.53% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.831139.","probability":0.278,"base_rate":0.245,"made_on":"2026-10-06","resolves_on":"2026-10-20","status":"miss","evidence_count":35,"resolved_at":"2026-10-20 09:45:39.297975+00","correction":null},{"id":"3880","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CD","claim":"CDF depreciates 1.31% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2305.46.","probability":0.219,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-10-06","resolves_on":"2026-10-20","status":"miss","evidence_count":41,"resolved_at":"2026-10-20 09:45:39.284239+00","correction":null},{"id":"3879","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CA","claim":"CAD depreciates 1.17% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.42562.","probability":0.291,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-10-06","resolves_on":"2026-10-20","status":"miss","evidence_count":12,"resolved_at":"2026-10-20 09:45:39.272675+00","correction":null},{"id":"3878","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BR","claim":"BRL depreciates 1.79% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 5.01702.","probability":0.21,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-10-06","resolves_on":"2026-10-20","status":"miss","evidence_count":143,"resolved_at":"2026-10-20 09:45:39.264941+00","correction":null},{"id":"3877","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BD","claim":"BDT depreciates 0.29% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 123.145.","probability":0.299,"base_rate":0.238,"made_on":"2026-10-06","resolves_on":"2026-10-20","status":"hit","evidence_count":36,"resolved_at":"2026-10-20 09:45:39.250555+00","correction":null},{"id":"3876","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AZ","claim":"AZN depreciates 0.41% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.70104.","probability":0.318,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-10-06","resolves_on":"2026-10-20","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-10-20 09:45:39.242806+00","correction":null},{"id":"3875","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AU","claim":"AUD 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09:45:39.198231+00","correction":null},{"id":"3872","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AF","claim":"AFN depreciates 1.73% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 64.7688.","probability":0.255,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-10-06","resolves_on":"2026-10-20","status":"miss","evidence_count":26,"resolved_at":"2026-10-20 09:45:39.186411+00","correction":null},{"id":"3871","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZW","claim":"ZWL depreciates 1.22% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 26.7653.","probability":0.225,"base_rate":0.253,"made_on":"2026-10-05","resolves_on":"2026-10-19","status":"miss","evidence_count":2,"resolved_at":"2026-10-19 09:45:38.709673+00","correction":null},{"id":"3870","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZA","claim":"ZAR depreciates 1.92% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 16.6586.","probability":0.261,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-10-05","resolves_on":"2026-10-19","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-10-19 09:45:38.697566+00","correction":null},{"id":"3869","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"YE","claim":"YER depreciates 0.36% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 236.904.","probability":0.28,"base_rate":0.253,"made_on":"2026-10-05","resolves_on":"2026-10-19","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-10-19 09:45:38.692076+00","correction":null},{"id":"3868","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BF","claim":"XOF depreciates 1.03% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 583.031.","probability":0.289,"base_rate":0.253,"made_on":"2026-10-05","resolves_on":"2026-10-19","status":"miss","evidence_count":72,"resolved_at":"2026-10-19 09:45:38.686494+00","correction":null},{"id":"3867","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CM","claim":"XAF depreciates 1.03% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 583.031.","probability":0.289,"base_rate":0.253,"made_on":"2026-10-05","resolves_on":"2026-10-19","status":"miss","evidence_count":72,"resolved_at":"2026-10-19 09:45:38.680783+00","correction":null},{"id":"3866","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"VN","claim":"VND depreciates 0.45% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 25949.1.","probability":0.269,"base_rate":0.245,"made_on":"2026-10-05","resolves_on":"2026-10-19","status":"miss","evidence_count":7,"resolved_at":"2026-10-19 09:45:38.674711+00","correction":null},{"id":"3865","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"VE","claim":"VES depreciates 7.24% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 871.369.","probability":0.208,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-10-05","resolves_on":"2026-10-19","status":"miss","evidence_count":111,"resolved_at":"2026-10-19 09:45:38.669513+00","correction":null},{"id":"3864","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UZ","claim":"UZS depreciates 1.29% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 11835.9.","probability":0.21,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-10-05","resolves_on":"2026-10-19","status":"hit","evidence_count":333,"resolved_at":"2026-10-19 09:45:38.66376+00","correction":null},{"id":"3863","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UG","claim":"UGX depreciates 1.51% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3932.95.","probability":0.33,"base_rate":0.253,"made_on":"2026-10-05","resolves_on":"2026-10-19","status":"hit","evidence_count":325,"resolved_at":"2026-10-19 09:45:38.657626+00","correction":null},{"id":"3862","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UA","claim":"UAH depreciates 0.71% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 45.1182.","probability":0.247,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-10-05","resolves_on":"2026-10-19","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-10-19 09:45:38.65133+00","correction":null},{"id":"3861","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TZ","claim":"TZS 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121.970.","probability":0.252,"base_rate":0.247,"made_on":"2026-10-05","resolves_on":"2026-10-19","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-10-19 09:45:38.581012+00","correction":null},{"id":"3855","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SS","claim":"SSP depreciates 6.77% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 5653.04.","probability":0.257,"base_rate":0.253,"made_on":"2026-10-05","resolves_on":"2026-10-19","status":"hit","evidence_count":793,"resolved_at":"2026-10-19 09:45:38.575862+00","correction":null},{"id":"3854","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SG","claim":"SGD depreciates 0.70% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.27941.","probability":0.262,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-10-05","resolves_on":"2026-10-19","status":"miss","evidence_count":28,"resolved_at":"2026-10-19 09:45:38.57035+00","correction":null},{"id":"3853","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SE","claim":"SEK depreciates 2.13% or more against USD at any point 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9.61994.","probability":0.257,"base_rate":0.253,"made_on":"2026-10-05","resolves_on":"2026-10-19","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-10-19 09:45:38.506917+00","correction":null},{"id":"3841","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NG","claim":"NGN depreciates 0.79% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1331.28.","probability":0.224,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-10-05","resolves_on":"2026-10-19","status":"miss","evidence_count":9,"resolved_at":"2026-10-19 09:45:38.501666+00","correction":null},{"id":"3840","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MZ","claim":"MZN depreciates 0.42% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 63.8385.","probability":0.271,"base_rate":0.253,"made_on":"2026-10-05","resolves_on":"2026-10-19","status":"miss","evidence_count":5,"resolved_at":"2026-10-19 09:45:38.496464+00","correction":null},{"id":"3839","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MY","claim":"MYR depreciates 1.19% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4.08453.","probability":0.238,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-10-05","resolves_on":"2026-10-19","status":"miss","evidence_count":16,"resolved_at":"2026-10-19 09:45:38.491281+00","correction":null},{"id":"3838","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MX","claim":"MXN depreciates 1.06% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 18.1940.","probability":0.297,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-10-05","resolves_on":"2026-10-19","status":"hit","evidence_count":150,"resolved_at":"2026-10-19 09:45:38.486214+00","correction":null},{"id":"3837","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MM","claim":"MMK depreciates 0.34% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2102.57.","probability":0.279,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-10-05","resolves_on":"2026-10-19","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-10-19 09:45:38.481063+00","correction":null},{"id":"3836","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MA","claim":"MAD depreciates 1.40% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.91949.","probability":0.343,"base_rate":0.253,"made_on":"2026-10-05","resolves_on":"2026-10-19","status":"miss","evidence_count":53,"resolved_at":"2026-10-19 09:45:38.475583+00","correction":null},{"id":"3835","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"LY","claim":"LYD depreciates 0.61% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 6.40342.","probability":0.275,"base_rate":0.247,"made_on":"2026-10-05","resolves_on":"2026-10-19","status":"miss","evidence_count":41,"resolved_at":"2026-10-19 09:45:38.470713+00","correction":null},{"id":"3834","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"LK","claim":"LKR depreciates 1.20% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 330.678.","probability":0.207,"base_rate":0.247,"made_on":"2026-10-05","resolves_on":"2026-10-19","status":"miss","evidence_count":13,"resolved_at":"2026-10-19 09:45:38.46573+00","correction":null},{"id":"3833","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KZ","claim":"KZT 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1.48022e+6.","probability":0.274,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-10-05","resolves_on":"2026-10-19","status":"hit","evidence_count":1935,"resolved_at":"2026-10-19 09:45:38.432459+00","correction":null},{"id":"3827","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IQ","claim":"IQD depreciates 0.32% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1310.78.","probability":0.288,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-10-05","resolves_on":"2026-10-19","status":"hit","evidence_count":1577,"resolved_at":"2026-10-19 09:45:38.426989+00","correction":null},{"id":"3826","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IN","claim":"INR depreciates 1.12% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 96.4006.","probability":0.243,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-10-05","resolves_on":"2026-10-19","status":"miss","evidence_count":58,"resolved_at":"2026-10-19 09:45:38.42098+00","correction":null},{"id":"3825","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ID","claim":"IDR depreciates 1.48% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 17915.1.","probability":0.242,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-10-05","resolves_on":"2026-10-19","status":"miss","evidence_count":77,"resolved_at":"2026-10-19 09:45:38.415278+00","correction":null},{"id":"3824","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"HU","claim":"HUF depreciates 2.15% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 327.670.","probability":0.271,"base_rate":0.253,"made_on":"2026-10-05","resolves_on":"2026-10-19","status":"miss","evidence_count":2,"resolved_at":"2026-10-19 09:45:38.408273+00","correction":null},{"id":"3823","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GH","claim":"GHS depreciates 1.97% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 11.6173.","probability":0.28,"base_rate":0.253,"made_on":"2026-10-05","resolves_on":"2026-10-19","status":"miss","evidence_count":168,"resolved_at":"2026-10-19 09:45:38.402414+00","correction":null},{"id":"3822","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GB","claim":"GBP depreciates 1.19% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.755727.","probability":0.265,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-10-05","resolves_on":"2026-10-19","status":"miss","evidence_count":12,"resolved_at":"2026-10-19 09:45:38.396586+00","correction":null},{"id":"3821","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"DE","claim":"EUR depreciates 1.02% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.888890.","probability":0.288,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-10-05","resolves_on":"2026-10-19","status":"miss","evidence_count":70,"resolved_at":"2026-10-19 09:45:38.391101+00","correction":null},{"id":"3820","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ET","claim":"ETB depreciates 0.94% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 161.513.","probability":0.229,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-10-05","resolves_on":"2026-10-19","status":"miss","evidence_count":20,"resolved_at":"2026-10-19 09:45:38.385777+00","correction":null},{"id":"3819","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"EG","claim":"EGP depreciates 2.03% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 52.2475.","probability":0.265,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-10-05","resolves_on":"2026-10-19","status":"hit","evidence_count":244,"resolved_at":"2026-10-19 09:45:38.380314+00","correction":null},{"id":"3818","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"DZ","claim":"DZD depreciates 0.64% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 134.191.","probability":0.275,"base_rate":0.247,"made_on":"2026-10-05","resolves_on":"2026-10-19","status":"miss","evidence_count":35,"resolved_at":"2026-10-19 09:45:38.37094+00","correction":null},{"id":"3817","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CZ","claim":"CZK depreciates 1.17% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 21.7330.","probability":0.307,"base_rate":0.253,"made_on":"2026-10-05","resolves_on":"2026-10-19","status":"miss","evidence_count":44,"resolved_at":"2026-10-19 09:45:38.364361+00","correction":null},{"id":"3816","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CO","claim":"COP depreciates 4.01% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3308.76.","probability":0.329,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-10-05","resolves_on":"2026-10-19","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-10-19 09:45:38.34823+00","correction":null},{"id":"3815","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CL","claim":"CLP depreciates 2.56% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 987.994.","probability":0.265,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-10-05","resolves_on":"2026-10-19","status":"miss","evidence_count":7,"resolved_at":"2026-10-19 09:45:38.336557+00","correction":null},{"id":"3814","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CH","claim":"CHF depreciates 1.53% or more against USD at any point 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against USD at any point within 14 days, from 5.22253.","probability":0.215,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-10-05","resolves_on":"2026-10-19","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-10-19 09:45:38.308888+00","correction":null},{"id":"3810","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BD","claim":"BDT depreciates 0.29% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 123.137.","probability":0.291,"base_rate":0.233,"made_on":"2026-10-05","resolves_on":"2026-10-19","status":"miss","evidence_count":28,"resolved_at":"2026-10-19 09:45:38.29842+00","correction":null},{"id":"3809","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AZ","claim":"AZN depreciates 0.41% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.70327.","probability":0.319,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-10-05","resolves_on":"2026-10-19","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-10-19 09:45:38.292376+00","correction":null},{"id":"3808","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AU","claim":"AUD 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162.799.","probability":0.221,"base_rate":0.253,"made_on":"2026-10-04","resolves_on":"2026-10-18","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-10-18 09:45:38.917894+00","correction":null},{"id":"3752","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"EG","claim":"EGP depreciates 2.04% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 52.2297.","probability":0.262,"base_rate":0.253,"made_on":"2026-10-04","resolves_on":"2026-10-18","status":"hit","evidence_count":236,"resolved_at":"2026-10-18 09:45:38.90545+00","correction":null},{"id":"3751","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"DZ","claim":"DZD depreciates 0.64% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 133.860.","probability":0.276,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-10-04","resolves_on":"2026-10-18","status":"miss","evidence_count":60,"resolved_at":"2026-10-18 09:45:38.89887+00","correction":null},{"id":"3750","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CZ","claim":"CZK depreciates 1.17% or more against USD at any point 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within 14 days, from 121.809.","probability":0.264,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-10-03","resolves_on":"2026-10-17","status":"miss","evidence_count":13,"resolved_at":"2026-10-17 09:45:38.620127+00","correction":null},{"id":"3721","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SS","claim":"SSP depreciates 6.11% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 5657.08.","probability":0.269,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-10-03","resolves_on":"2026-10-17","status":"hit","evidence_count":785,"resolved_at":"2026-10-17 09:45:38.615467+00","correction":null},{"id":"3720","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SG","claim":"SGD depreciates 0.70% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.27943.","probability":0.265,"base_rate":0.263,"made_on":"2026-10-03","resolves_on":"2026-10-17","status":"miss","evidence_count":28,"resolved_at":"2026-10-17 09:45:38.609861+00","correction":null},{"id":"3719","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SE","claim":"SEK depreciates 2.12% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 10.0422.","probability":0.273,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-10-03","resolves_on":"2026-10-17","status":"miss","evidence_count":2,"resolved_at":"2026-10-17 09:45:38.604252+00","correction":null},{"id":"3718","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SD","claim":"SDG depreciates 19.91% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 510.510.","probability":0.267,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-10-03","resolves_on":"2026-10-17","status":"miss","evidence_count":656,"resolved_at":"2026-10-17 09:45:38.59936+00","correction":null},{"id":"3717","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RW","claim":"RWF depreciates 0.38% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1478.51.","probability":0.287,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-10-03","resolves_on":"2026-10-17","status":"miss","evidence_count":7,"resolved_at":"2026-10-17 09:45:38.594356+00","correction":null},{"id":"3716","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RU","claim":"RUB 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3.44265.","probability":0.258,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-10-03","resolves_on":"2026-10-17","status":"miss","evidence_count":48,"resolved_at":"2026-10-17 09:45:38.564353+00","correction":null},{"id":"3710","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NZ","claim":"NZD depreciates 2.07% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.78137.","probability":0.301,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-10-03","resolves_on":"2026-10-17","status":"miss","evidence_count":41,"resolved_at":"2026-10-17 09:45:38.55879+00","correction":null},{"id":"3709","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NP","claim":"NPR depreciates 1.12% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 154.200.","probability":0.236,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-10-03","resolves_on":"2026-10-17","status":"miss","evidence_count":61,"resolved_at":"2026-10-17 09:45:38.553313+00","correction":null},{"id":"3708","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NO","claim":"NOK depreciates 2.16% or more against USD at any point 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more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 17883.0.","probability":0.245,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-10-03","resolves_on":"2026-10-17","status":"miss","evidence_count":74,"resolved_at":"2026-10-17 09:45:38.459485+00","correction":null},{"id":"3690","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"HU","claim":"HUF depreciates 2.05% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 327.468.","probability":0.269,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-10-03","resolves_on":"2026-10-17","status":"miss","evidence_count":9,"resolved_at":"2026-10-17 09:45:38.453805+00","correction":null},{"id":"3689","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GH","claim":"GHS depreciates 1.95% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 11.5962.","probability":0.282,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-10-03","resolves_on":"2026-10-17","status":"miss","evidence_count":187,"resolved_at":"2026-10-17 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09:45:39.042754+00","correction":null},{"id":"3660","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TZ","claim":"TZS depreciates 0.64% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2648.37.","probability":0.243,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-10-02","resolves_on":"2026-10-16","status":"miss","evidence_count":1,"resolved_at":"2026-10-16 09:45:39.033273+00","correction":null},{"id":"3659","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TW","claim":"TWD depreciates 0.84% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 31.9947.","probability":0.232,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-10-02","resolves_on":"2026-10-16","status":"hit","evidence_count":114,"resolved_at":"2026-10-16 09:45:39.016462+00","correction":null},{"id":"3658","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TR","claim":"TRY depreciates 0.80% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 49.1233.","probability":0.188,"base_rate":0.218,"made_on":"2026-10-02","resolves_on":"2026-10-16","status":"miss","evidence_count":73,"resolved_at":"2026-10-16 09:45:38.992707+00","correction":null},{"id":"3657","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TN","claim":"TND depreciates 0.94% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2.98624.","probability":0.274,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-10-02","resolves_on":"2026-10-16","status":"miss","evidence_count":83,"resolved_at":"2026-10-16 09:45:38.967484+00","correction":null},{"id":"3656","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TH","claim":"THB depreciates 1.36% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 33.6676.","probability":0.24,"base_rate":0.244,"made_on":"2026-10-02","resolves_on":"2026-10-16","status":"miss","evidence_count":7,"resolved_at":"2026-10-16 09:45:38.956856+00","correction":null},{"id":"3655","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SY","claim":"SYP depreciates 2.86% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 121.676.","probability":0.269,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-10-02","resolves_on":"2026-10-16","status":"miss","evidence_count":24,"resolved_at":"2026-10-16 09:45:38.947373+00","correction":null},{"id":"3654","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SS","claim":"SSP depreciates 6.11% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 6001.98.","probability":0.265,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-10-02","resolves_on":"2026-10-16","status":"miss","evidence_count":165,"resolved_at":"2026-10-16 09:45:38.936731+00","correction":null},{"id":"3653","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SG","claim":"SGD depreciates 0.70% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.28049.","probability":0.266,"base_rate":0.265,"made_on":"2026-10-02","resolves_on":"2026-10-16","status":"miss","evidence_count":20,"resolved_at":"2026-10-16 09:45:38.925569+00","correction":null},{"id":"3652","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SE","claim":"SEK depreciates 2.11% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 10.0450.","probability":0.27,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-10-02","resolves_on":"2026-10-16","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-10-16 09:45:38.915466+00","correction":null},{"id":"3651","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SD","claim":"SDG depreciates 19.91% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 511.545.","probability":0.269,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-10-02","resolves_on":"2026-10-16","status":"miss","evidence_count":635,"resolved_at":"2026-10-16 09:45:38.906612+00","correction":null},{"id":"3650","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RW","claim":"RWF depreciates 0.38% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1475.49.","probability":0.288,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-10-02","resolves_on":"2026-10-16","status":"miss","evidence_count":27,"resolved_at":"2026-10-16 09:45:38.897109+00","correction":null},{"id":"3649","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RU","claim":"RUB 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09:45:38.867198+00","correction":null},{"id":"3646","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PK","claim":"PKR depreciates 0.30% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 277.100.","probability":0.273,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-10-02","resolves_on":"2026-10-16","status":"miss","evidence_count":14,"resolved_at":"2026-10-16 09:45:38.859134+00","correction":null},{"id":"3645","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PH","claim":"PHP depreciates 1.40% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 62.8265.","probability":0.264,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-10-02","resolves_on":"2026-10-16","status":"miss","evidence_count":41,"resolved_at":"2026-10-16 09:45:38.849464+00","correction":null},{"id":"3644","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PE","claim":"PEN depreciates 0.78% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3.45029.","probability":0.26,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-10-02","resolves_on":"2026-10-16","status":"miss","evidence_count":26,"resolved_at":"2026-10-16 09:45:38.840291+00","correction":null},{"id":"3643","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NZ","claim":"NZD depreciates 2.07% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.78442.","probability":0.302,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-10-02","resolves_on":"2026-10-16","status":"miss","evidence_count":24,"resolved_at":"2026-10-16 09:45:38.828954+00","correction":null},{"id":"3642","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NP","claim":"NPR depreciates 1.12% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 154.154.","probability":0.238,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-10-02","resolves_on":"2026-10-16","status":"miss","evidence_count":64,"resolved_at":"2026-10-16 09:45:38.820284+00","correction":null},{"id":"3641","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NO","claim":"NOK depreciates 2.10% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.63046.","probability":0.247,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-10-02","resolves_on":"2026-10-16","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-10-16 09:45:38.810537+00","correction":null},{"id":"3640","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NG","claim":"NGN depreciates 0.81% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1327.68.","probability":0.228,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-10-02","resolves_on":"2026-10-16","status":"miss","evidence_count":31,"resolved_at":"2026-10-16 09:45:38.800126+00","correction":null},{"id":"3639","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MZ","claim":"MZN depreciates 0.42% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 63.8758.","probability":0.275,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-10-02","resolves_on":"2026-10-16","status":"miss","evidence_count":2,"resolved_at":"2026-10-16 09:45:38.788828+00","correction":null},{"id":"3638","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MY","claim":"MYR depreciates 1.22% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4.08500.","probability":0.227,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-10-02","resolves_on":"2026-10-16","status":"miss","evidence_count":15,"resolved_at":"2026-10-16 09:45:38.776434+00","correction":null},{"id":"3637","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MX","claim":"MXN depreciates 1.00% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 18.2834.","probability":0.288,"base_rate":0.263,"made_on":"2026-10-02","resolves_on":"2026-10-16","status":"miss","evidence_count":99,"resolved_at":"2026-10-16 09:45:38.767882+00","correction":null},{"id":"3636","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MM","claim":"MMK depreciates 0.34% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2096.65.","probability":0.273,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-10-02","resolves_on":"2026-10-16","status":"miss","evidence_count":28,"resolved_at":"2026-10-16 09:45:38.757596+00","correction":null},{"id":"3635","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MA","claim":"MAD 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09:45:38.729616+00","correction":null},{"id":"3632","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KZ","claim":"KZT depreciates 1.49% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 442.734.","probability":0.214,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-10-02","resolves_on":"2026-10-16","status":"hit","evidence_count":306,"resolved_at":"2026-10-16 09:45:38.718458+00","correction":null},{"id":"3631","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KW","claim":"KWD depreciates 0.36% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.308607.","probability":0.229,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-10-02","resolves_on":"2026-10-16","status":"hit","evidence_count":87,"resolved_at":"2026-10-16 09:45:38.708604+00","correction":null},{"id":"3630","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KR","claim":"KRW depreciates 1.80% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1360.20.","probability":0.259,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-10-02","resolves_on":"2026-10-16","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-10-16 09:45:38.698556+00","correction":null},{"id":"3629","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KH","claim":"KHR depreciates 0.81% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4053.41.","probability":0.279,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-10-02","resolves_on":"2026-10-16","status":"miss","evidence_count":23,"resolved_at":"2026-10-16 09:45:38.689231+00","correction":null},{"id":"3628","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"JP","claim":"JPY depreciates 0.99% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 157.923.","probability":0.268,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-10-02","resolves_on":"2026-10-16","status":"miss","evidence_count":39,"resolved_at":"2026-10-16 09:45:38.677457+00","correction":null},{"id":"3627","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IR","claim":"IRR depreciates 12.60% or more against USD at any point 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more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 11818.7.","probability":0.21,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-10-01","resolves_on":"2026-10-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":96,"resolved_at":"2026-10-15 09:45:39.137102+00","correction":null},{"id":"3595","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UG","claim":"UGX depreciates 1.48% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3896.97.","probability":0.316,"base_rate":0.253,"made_on":"2026-10-01","resolves_on":"2026-10-15","status":"hit","evidence_count":334,"resolved_at":"2026-10-15 09:45:39.126694+00","correction":null},{"id":"3594","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UA","claim":"UAH depreciates 0.71% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 44.7354.","probability":0.242,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-10-01","resolves_on":"2026-10-15","status":"hit","evidence_count":86,"resolved_at":"2026-10-15 09:45:39.116995+00","correction":null},{"id":"3593","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TZ","claim":"TZS 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121.845.","probability":0.271,"base_rate":0.253,"made_on":"2026-10-01","resolves_on":"2026-10-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":10,"resolved_at":"2026-10-15 09:45:39.042363+00","correction":null},{"id":"3587","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SS","claim":"SSP depreciates 6.11% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 5936.97.","probability":0.261,"base_rate":0.247,"made_on":"2026-10-01","resolves_on":"2026-10-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":277,"resolved_at":"2026-10-15 09:45:39.031206+00","correction":null},{"id":"3586","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SG","claim":"SGD depreciates 0.71% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.27764.","probability":0.252,"base_rate":0.247,"made_on":"2026-10-01","resolves_on":"2026-10-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":42,"resolved_at":"2026-10-15 09:45:39.020523+00","correction":null},{"id":"3585","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SE","claim":"SEK depreciates 2.11% or more against USD at any 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3.44248.","probability":0.251,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-10-01","resolves_on":"2026-10-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":49,"resolved_at":"2026-10-15 09:45:38.915995+00","correction":null},{"id":"3576","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NZ","claim":"NZD depreciates 2.07% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.77417.","probability":0.294,"base_rate":0.253,"made_on":"2026-10-01","resolves_on":"2026-10-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":82,"resolved_at":"2026-10-15 09:45:38.902677+00","correction":null},{"id":"3575","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NP","claim":"NPR depreciates 1.14% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 153.625.","probability":0.234,"base_rate":0.247,"made_on":"2026-10-01","resolves_on":"2026-10-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":98,"resolved_at":"2026-10-15 09:45:38.893669+00","correction":null},{"id":"3574","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NO","claim":"NOK depreciates 2.10% or more against USD at any 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more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 21.5471.","probability":0.299,"base_rate":0.26,"made_on":"2026-10-01","resolves_on":"2026-10-15","status":"hit","evidence_count":131,"resolved_at":"2026-10-15 09:45:38.596782+00","correction":null},{"id":"3548","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CO","claim":"COP depreciates 3.71% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3333.96.","probability":0.324,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-10-01","resolves_on":"2026-10-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-10-15 09:45:38.586029+00","correction":null},{"id":"3547","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CL","claim":"CLP depreciates 2.56% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 973.469.","probability":0.26,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-10-01","resolves_on":"2026-10-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":157,"resolved_at":"2026-10-15 09:45:38.574501+00","correction":null},{"id":"3546","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CH","claim":"CHF 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859.063.","probability":0.205,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-09-30","resolves_on":"2026-10-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":219,"resolved_at":"2026-10-14 09:45:38.916693+00","correction":null},{"id":"3529","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UZ","claim":"UZS depreciates 1.33% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 11813.0.","probability":0.212,"base_rate":0.253,"made_on":"2026-09-30","resolves_on":"2026-10-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":67,"resolved_at":"2026-10-14 09:45:38.907849+00","correction":null},{"id":"3528","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UG","claim":"UGX depreciates 1.45% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3830.61.","probability":0.313,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-09-30","resolves_on":"2026-10-14","status":"hit","evidence_count":513,"resolved_at":"2026-10-14 09:45:38.90156+00","correction":null},{"id":"3527","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UA","claim":"UAH depreciates 0.71% or more against USD at any point 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09:45:38.80051+00","correction":null},{"id":"3518","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SE","claim":"SEK depreciates 2.11% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.99329.","probability":0.263,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-09-30","resolves_on":"2026-10-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":52,"resolved_at":"2026-10-14 09:45:38.790451+00","correction":null},{"id":"3517","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SD","claim":"SDG depreciates 19.97% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 449.414.","probability":0.266,"base_rate":0.253,"made_on":"2026-09-30","resolves_on":"2026-10-14","status":"hit","evidence_count":2097,"resolved_at":"2026-10-14 09:45:38.782907+00","correction":null},{"id":"3516","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RW","claim":"RWF depreciates 0.37% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 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96.0635.","probability":0.239,"base_rate":0.253,"made_on":"2026-09-30","resolves_on":"2026-10-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":94,"resolved_at":"2026-10-14 09:45:38.564604+00","correction":null},{"id":"3490","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ID","claim":"IDR depreciates 1.53% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 17949.3.","probability":0.239,"base_rate":0.253,"made_on":"2026-09-30","resolves_on":"2026-10-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":12,"resolved_at":"2026-10-14 09:45:38.556265+00","correction":null},{"id":"3489","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"HU","claim":"HUF depreciates 2.03% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 323.538.","probability":0.263,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-09-30","resolves_on":"2026-10-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":130,"resolved_at":"2026-10-14 09:45:38.548465+00","correction":null},{"id":"3488","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GH","claim":"GHS depreciates 1.94% or more against USD at any 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more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 162.454.","probability":0.211,"base_rate":0.247,"made_on":"2026-09-30","resolves_on":"2026-10-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":24,"resolved_at":"2026-10-14 09:45:38.517405+00","correction":null},{"id":"3484","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"EG","claim":"EGP depreciates 2.04% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 52.0920.","probability":0.281,"base_rate":0.26,"made_on":"2026-09-30","resolves_on":"2026-10-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":137,"resolved_at":"2026-10-14 09:45:38.509739+00","correction":null},{"id":"3483","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"DZ","claim":"DZD depreciates 0.63% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 133.697.","probability":0.257,"base_rate":0.242,"made_on":"2026-09-30","resolves_on":"2026-10-14","status":"hit","evidence_count":72,"resolved_at":"2026-10-14 09:45:38.502985+00","correction":null},{"id":"3482","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CZ","claim":"CZK 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1.41851.","probability":0.266,"base_rate":0.253,"made_on":"2026-09-30","resolves_on":"2026-10-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":62,"resolved_at":"2026-10-14 09:45:38.449396+00","correction":null},{"id":"3476","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BR","claim":"BRL depreciates 1.84% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 5.21777.","probability":0.22,"base_rate":0.247,"made_on":"2026-09-30","resolves_on":"2026-10-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":9,"resolved_at":"2026-10-14 09:45:38.438982+00","correction":null},{"id":"3475","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BD","claim":"BDT depreciates 0.29% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 122.978.","probability":0.287,"base_rate":0.234,"made_on":"2026-09-30","resolves_on":"2026-10-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":20,"resolved_at":"2026-10-14 09:45:38.424409+00","correction":null},{"id":"3474","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AZ","claim":"AZN depreciates 0.40% or more against USD at any point 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against USD at any point within 14 days, from 928.115.","probability":0.29,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-30","resolves_on":"2026-10-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":5,"resolved_at":"2026-10-14 09:45:38.373376+00","correction":null},{"id":"3470","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AF","claim":"AFN depreciates 1.88% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 64.6588.","probability":0.266,"base_rate":0.247,"made_on":"2026-09-30","resolves_on":"2026-10-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":55,"resolved_at":"2026-10-14 09:45:38.353658+00","correction":null},{"id":"3469","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZW","claim":"ZWL depreciates 1.34% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 26.8470.","probability":0.228,"base_rate":0.257,"made_on":"2026-09-29","resolves_on":"2026-10-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":2,"resolved_at":"2026-10-13 09:45:39.034819+00","correction":null},{"id":"3468","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZA","claim":"ZAR 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09:45:39.011091+00","correction":null},{"id":"3465","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CM","claim":"XAF depreciates 0.97% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 576.844.","probability":0.259,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-09-29","resolves_on":"2026-10-13","status":"hit","evidence_count":180,"resolved_at":"2026-10-13 09:45:39.00325+00","correction":null},{"id":"3464","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"VN","claim":"VND depreciates 0.40% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 25917.4.","probability":0.262,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-29","resolves_on":"2026-10-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":19,"resolved_at":"2026-10-13 09:45:38.994627+00","correction":null},{"id":"3463","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"VE","claim":"VES depreciates 7.48% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 857.888.","probability":0.206,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-29","resolves_on":"2026-10-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":220,"resolved_at":"2026-10-13 09:45:38.986882+00","correction":null},{"id":"3462","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UZ","claim":"UZS depreciates 1.33% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 11828.5.","probability":0.213,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-09-29","resolves_on":"2026-10-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":50,"resolved_at":"2026-10-13 09:45:38.979493+00","correction":null},{"id":"3461","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UG","claim":"UGX depreciates 1.45% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3837.90.","probability":0.305,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-09-29","resolves_on":"2026-10-13","status":"hit","evidence_count":493,"resolved_at":"2026-10-13 09:45:38.972076+00","correction":null},{"id":"3460","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UA","claim":"UAH depreciates 0.71% or more against USD at any 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more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 48.9975.","probability":0.191,"base_rate":0.216,"made_on":"2026-09-29","resolves_on":"2026-10-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":73,"resolved_at":"2026-10-13 09:45:38.921355+00","correction":null},{"id":"3456","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TN","claim":"TND depreciates 0.93% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2.94657.","probability":0.264,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-09-29","resolves_on":"2026-10-13","status":"hit","evidence_count":205,"resolved_at":"2026-10-13 09:45:38.91418+00","correction":null},{"id":"3455","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TH","claim":"THB depreciates 1.36% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 33.5907.","probability":0.244,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-29","resolves_on":"2026-10-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":30,"resolved_at":"2026-10-13 09:45:38.906757+00","correction":null},{"id":"3454","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SY","claim":"SYP 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more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3.41780.","probability":0.234,"base_rate":0.242,"made_on":"2026-09-29","resolves_on":"2026-10-13","status":"hit","evidence_count":121,"resolved_at":"2026-10-13 09:45:38.811961+00","correction":null},{"id":"3442","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NZ","claim":"NZD depreciates 2.07% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.76539.","probability":0.296,"base_rate":0.257,"made_on":"2026-09-29","resolves_on":"2026-10-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":132,"resolved_at":"2026-10-13 09:45:38.804854+00","correction":null},{"id":"3441","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NP","claim":"NPR depreciates 1.14% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 153.713.","probability":0.236,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-09-29","resolves_on":"2026-10-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":93,"resolved_at":"2026-10-13 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96.0699.","probability":0.24,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-09-29","resolves_on":"2026-10-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":93,"resolved_at":"2026-10-13 09:45:38.672008+00","correction":null},{"id":"3423","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ID","claim":"IDR depreciates 1.48% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 17984.8.","probability":0.231,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-29","resolves_on":"2026-10-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-10-13 09:45:38.664789+00","correction":null},{"id":"3422","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"HU","claim":"HUF depreciates 2.02% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 322.746.","probability":0.255,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-09-29","resolves_on":"2026-10-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":155,"resolved_at":"2026-10-13 09:45:38.656729+00","correction":null},{"id":"3421","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GH","claim":"GHS depreciates 1.94% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 11.5762.","probability":0.258,"base_rate":0.243,"made_on":"2026-09-29","resolves_on":"2026-10-13","status":"hit","evidence_count":204,"resolved_at":"2026-10-13 09:45:38.6489+00","correction":null},{"id":"3420","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GB","claim":"GBP depreciates 1.17% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.754467.","probability":0.239,"base_rate":0.242,"made_on":"2026-09-29","resolves_on":"2026-10-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":35,"resolved_at":"2026-10-13 09:45:38.639895+00","correction":null},{"id":"3419","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"DE","claim":"EUR depreciates 0.97% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.879241.","probability":0.258,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-29","resolves_on":"2026-10-13","status":"hit","evidence_count":181,"resolved_at":"2026-10-13 09:45:38.632577+00","correction":null},{"id":"3418","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ET","claim":"ETB depreciates 0.98% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 162.376.","probability":0.212,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-29","resolves_on":"2026-10-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":28,"resolved_at":"2026-10-13 09:45:38.624197+00","correction":null},{"id":"3417","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"EG","claim":"EGP depreciates 2.04% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 52.0709.","probability":0.282,"base_rate":0.261,"made_on":"2026-09-29","resolves_on":"2026-10-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":113,"resolved_at":"2026-10-13 09:45:38.615974+00","correction":null},{"id":"3416","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"DZ","claim":"DZD depreciates 0.62% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 133.809.","probability":0.259,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-09-29","resolves_on":"2026-10-13","status":"hit","evidence_count":64,"resolved_at":"2026-10-13 09:45:38.608511+00","correction":null},{"id":"3415","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CZ","claim":"CZK 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857.006.","probability":0.202,"base_rate":0.247,"made_on":"2026-09-28","resolves_on":"2026-10-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":231,"resolved_at":"2026-10-12 09:45:38.983887+00","correction":null},{"id":"3395","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UZ","claim":"UZS depreciates 1.33% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 11830.2.","probability":0.214,"base_rate":0.257,"made_on":"2026-09-28","resolves_on":"2026-10-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":34,"resolved_at":"2026-10-12 09:45:38.975573+00","correction":null},{"id":"3394","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UG","claim":"UGX depreciates 1.44% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3891.44.","probability":0.307,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-09-28","resolves_on":"2026-10-12","status":"hit","evidence_count":349,"resolved_at":"2026-10-12 09:45:38.967747+00","correction":null},{"id":"3393","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UA","claim":"UAH depreciates 0.67% or more against USD at any 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against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1356.04.","probability":0.265,"base_rate":0.263,"made_on":"2026-09-28","resolves_on":"2026-10-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":31,"resolved_at":"2026-10-12 09:45:38.681984+00","correction":null},{"id":"3361","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KH","claim":"KHR depreciates 0.64% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4048.91.","probability":0.26,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-28","resolves_on":"2026-10-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":19,"resolved_at":"2026-10-12 09:45:38.673302+00","correction":null},{"id":"3360","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"JP","claim":"JPY depreciates 0.94% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 157.489.","probability":0.273,"base_rate":0.257,"made_on":"2026-09-28","resolves_on":"2026-10-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":51,"resolved_at":"2026-10-12 09:45:38.661506+00","correction":null},{"id":"3359","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IR","claim":"IRR 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11.6355.","probability":0.26,"base_rate":0.245,"made_on":"2026-09-28","resolves_on":"2026-10-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":152,"resolved_at":"2026-10-12 09:45:38.601449+00","correction":null},{"id":"3353","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GB","claim":"GBP depreciates 1.16% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.755594.","probability":0.281,"base_rate":0.283,"made_on":"2026-09-28","resolves_on":"2026-10-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":20,"resolved_at":"2026-10-12 09:45:38.592153+00","correction":null},{"id":"3352","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"DE","claim":"EUR depreciates 0.97% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.878356.","probability":0.249,"base_rate":0.243,"made_on":"2026-09-28","resolves_on":"2026-10-12","status":"hit","evidence_count":166,"resolved_at":"2026-10-12 09:45:38.584056+00","correction":null},{"id":"3351","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ET","claim":"ETB depreciates 0.98% or more against USD at any 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more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 21.3996.","probability":0.279,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-28","resolves_on":"2026-10-12","status":"hit","evidence_count":192,"resolved_at":"2026-10-12 09:45:38.547133+00","correction":null},{"id":"3347","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CO","claim":"COP depreciates 3.35% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3334.28.","probability":0.323,"base_rate":0.257,"made_on":"2026-09-28","resolves_on":"2026-10-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":98,"resolved_at":"2026-10-12 09:45:38.537426+00","correction":null},{"id":"3346","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CL","claim":"CLP depreciates 2.60% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 962.264.","probability":0.255,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-09-28","resolves_on":"2026-10-12","status":"hit","evidence_count":275,"resolved_at":"2026-10-12 09:45:38.528168+00","correction":null},{"id":"3345","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CH","claim":"CHF 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more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 133.671.","probability":0.242,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-24","resolves_on":"2026-10-08","status":"hit","evidence_count":67,"resolved_at":"2026-10-08 09:45:38.618504+00","correction":null},{"id":"3066","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CZ","claim":"CZK depreciates 1.06% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 21.4098.","probability":0.29,"base_rate":0.265,"made_on":"2026-09-24","resolves_on":"2026-10-08","status":"hit","evidence_count":187,"resolved_at":"2026-10-08 09:45:38.611852+00","correction":null},{"id":"3065","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CO","claim":"COP depreciates 3.04% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3202.80.","probability":0.314,"base_rate":0.257,"made_on":"2026-09-24","resolves_on":"2026-10-08","status":"hit","evidence_count":512,"resolved_at":"2026-10-08 09:45:38.602952+00","correction":null},{"id":"3064","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CL","claim":"CLP 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09:45:38.67577+00","correction":null},{"id":"3008","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IN","claim":"INR depreciates 1.15% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 95.6478.","probability":0.243,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-09-23","resolves_on":"2026-10-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":86,"resolved_at":"2026-10-07 09:45:38.668521+00","correction":null},{"id":"3007","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ID","claim":"IDR depreciates 1.36% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 17838.1.","probability":0.206,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-23","resolves_on":"2026-10-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":82,"resolved_at":"2026-10-07 09:45:38.659096+00","correction":null},{"id":"3006","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"HU","claim":"HUF depreciates 1.80% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 316.087.","probability":0.229,"base_rate":0.247,"made_on":"2026-09-23","resolves_on":"2026-10-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":369,"resolved_at":"2026-10-07 09:45:38.652054+00","correction":null},{"id":"3005","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GH","claim":"GHS depreciates 1.95% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 11.5542.","probability":0.266,"base_rate":0.253,"made_on":"2026-09-23","resolves_on":"2026-10-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":169,"resolved_at":"2026-10-07 09:45:38.643753+00","correction":null},{"id":"3004","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GB","claim":"GBP depreciates 1.16% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.749328.","probability":0.239,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-09-23","resolves_on":"2026-10-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":104,"resolved_at":"2026-10-07 09:45:38.636055+00","correction":null},{"id":"3003","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"DE","claim":"EUR depreciates 0.87% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.873207.","probability":0.239,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-09-23","resolves_on":"2026-10-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":216,"resolved_at":"2026-10-07 09:45:38.629472+00","correction":null},{"id":"3002","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ET","claim":"ETB depreciates 0.98% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 161.410.","probability":0.22,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-09-23","resolves_on":"2026-10-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":88,"resolved_at":"2026-10-07 09:45:38.619554+00","correction":null},{"id":"3001","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"EG","claim":"EGP depreciates 2.06% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 51.6554.","probability":0.28,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-09-23","resolves_on":"2026-10-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":150,"resolved_at":"2026-10-07 09:45:38.611492+00","correction":null},{"id":"3000","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"DZ","claim":"DZD depreciates 0.54% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 133.906.","probability":0.234,"base_rate":0.247,"made_on":"2026-09-23","resolves_on":"2026-10-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":37,"resolved_at":"2026-10-07 09:45:38.604798+00","correction":null},{"id":"2999","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CZ","claim":"CZK depreciates 1.06% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 21.2527.","probability":0.281,"base_rate":0.26,"made_on":"2026-09-23","resolves_on":"2026-10-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":261,"resolved_at":"2026-10-07 09:45:38.593502+00","correction":null},{"id":"2998","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CO","claim":"COP depreciates 2.90% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3200.18.","probability":0.306,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-23","resolves_on":"2026-10-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":521,"resolved_at":"2026-10-07 09:45:38.584574+00","correction":null},{"id":"2997","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CL","claim":"CLP 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09:45:38.560475+00","correction":null},{"id":"2994","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CA","claim":"CAD depreciates 0.98% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.40544.","probability":0.233,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-23","resolves_on":"2026-10-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":144,"resolved_at":"2026-10-07 09:45:38.545582+00","correction":null},{"id":"2993","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BR","claim":"BRL depreciates 1.94% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 5.11220.","probability":0.252,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-09-23","resolves_on":"2026-10-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":216,"resolved_at":"2026-10-07 09:45:38.538152+00","correction":null},{"id":"2992","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BD","claim":"BDT depreciates 0.29% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 122.859.","probability":0.3,"base_rate":0.238,"made_on":"2026-09-23","resolves_on":"2026-10-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":23,"resolved_at":"2026-10-07 09:45:38.527587+00","correction":null},{"id":"2991","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AZ","claim":"AZN depreciates 0.27% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.70083.","probability":0.282,"base_rate":0.245,"made_on":"2026-09-23","resolves_on":"2026-10-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":14,"resolved_at":"2026-10-07 09:45:38.51863+00","correction":null},{"id":"2990","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AU","claim":"AUD depreciates 1.52% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.40639.","probability":0.22,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-09-23","resolves_on":"2026-10-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":260,"resolved_at":"2026-10-07 09:45:38.509201+00","correction":null},{"id":"2989","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AR","claim":"ARS depreciates 1.71% or more against USD at any point 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against USD at any point within 14 days, from 26.6328.","probability":0.238,"base_rate":0.269,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":82,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:39.110014+00","correction":null},{"id":"2985","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZA","claim":"ZAR depreciates 1.90% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 16.2477.","probability":0.225,"base_rate":0.247,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"hit","evidence_count":257,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:39.100342+00","correction":null},{"id":"2984","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"YE","claim":"YER depreciates 0.29% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 236.696.","probability":0.226,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":9,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:39.090124+00","correction":null},{"id":"2983","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BF","claim":"XOF 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09:45:39.059708+00","correction":null},{"id":"2980","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"VE","claim":"VES depreciates 7.50% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 852.417.","probability":0.21,"base_rate":0.257,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":234,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:39.050302+00","correction":null},{"id":"2979","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UZ","claim":"UZS depreciates 1.34% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 11841.6.","probability":0.217,"base_rate":0.26,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:39.040829+00","correction":null},{"id":"2978","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UG","claim":"UGX depreciates 1.40% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3850.74.","probability":0.277,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"hit","evidence_count":267,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:39.031498+00","correction":null},{"id":"2977","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UA","claim":"UAH depreciates 0.66% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 44.7095.","probability":0.211,"base_rate":0.247,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"hit","evidence_count":91,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:39.021548+00","correction":null},{"id":"2976","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TZ","claim":"TZS depreciates 0.65% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2645.98.","probability":0.246,"base_rate":0.262,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":42,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:39.01244+00","correction":null},{"id":"2975","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TW","claim":"TWD depreciates 0.84% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 31.7515.","probability":0.195,"base_rate":0.233,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":77,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:39.002+00","correction":null},{"id":"2974","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TR","claim":"TRY depreciates 0.80% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 48.8242.","probability":0.199,"base_rate":0.226,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":70,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:38.991196+00","correction":null},{"id":"2973","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TN","claim":"TND depreciates 0.79% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2.93611.","probability":0.241,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"hit","evidence_count":231,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:38.98078+00","correction":null},{"id":"2972","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TH","claim":"THB depreciates 1.36% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 33.2577.","probability":0.234,"base_rate":0.247,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":130,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:38.955242+00","correction":null},{"id":"2971","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SY","claim":"SYP depreciates 3.28% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 121.780.","probability":0.267,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":16,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:38.944439+00","correction":null},{"id":"2970","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SS","claim":"SSP depreciates 5.35% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 5657.54.","probability":0.294,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"hit","evidence_count":742,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:38.935016+00","correction":null},{"id":"2969","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SG","claim":"SGD 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09:45:38.904339+00","correction":null},{"id":"2966","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RW","claim":"RWF depreciates 0.35% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1477.88.","probability":0.253,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":12,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:38.894177+00","correction":null},{"id":"2965","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RU","claim":"RUB depreciates 3.88% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 83.9709.","probability":0.285,"base_rate":0.253,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":143,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:38.884142+00","correction":null},{"id":"2964","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RO","claim":"RON depreciates 1.26% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4.58637.","probability":0.231,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"hit","evidence_count":377,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:38.873842+00","correction":null},{"id":"2963","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PL","claim":"PLN depreciates 1.39% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3.79125.","probability":0.238,"base_rate":0.247,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"hit","evidence_count":307,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:38.863921+00","correction":null},{"id":"2962","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PK","claim":"PKR depreciates 0.25% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 277.426.","probability":0.23,"base_rate":0.253,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":2,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:38.853957+00","correction":null},{"id":"2961","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PH","claim":"PHP depreciates 1.50% or more against USD at any point 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against USD at any point within 14 days, from 153.390.","probability":0.236,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":59,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:38.813807+00","correction":null},{"id":"2957","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NO","claim":"NOK depreciates 1.46% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.43516.","probability":0.208,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"hit","evidence_count":207,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:38.804093+00","correction":null},{"id":"2956","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NG","claim":"NGN depreciates 0.85% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1330.69.","probability":0.204,"base_rate":0.233,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":4,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:38.794957+00","correction":null},{"id":"2955","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MZ","claim":"MZN 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6.36667.","probability":0.231,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"hit","evidence_count":58,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:38.733077+00","correction":null},{"id":"2949","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"LK","claim":"LKR depreciates 1.26% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 330.641.","probability":0.209,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":1,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:38.722526+00","correction":null},{"id":"2948","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KZ","claim":"KZT depreciates 1.57% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 447.701.","probability":0.206,"base_rate":0.247,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"hit","evidence_count":192,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:38.711028+00","correction":null},{"id":"2947","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KW","claim":"KWD depreciates 0.36% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.308357.","probability":0.222,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":28,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:38.700463+00","correction":null},{"id":"2946","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KR","claim":"KRW depreciates 1.69% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1375.64.","probability":0.23,"base_rate":0.253,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:38.68965+00","correction":null},{"id":"2945","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KH","claim":"KHR depreciates 0.58% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4054.81.","probability":0.23,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":4,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:38.679435+00","correction":null},{"id":"2944","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"JP","claim":"JPY depreciates 0.92% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 157.354.","probability":0.238,"base_rate":0.247,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":85,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:38.667272+00","correction":null},{"id":"2943","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IR","claim":"IRR depreciates 12.61% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.49759e+6.","probability":0.275,"base_rate":0.253,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"hit","evidence_count":1437,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:38.649125+00","correction":null},{"id":"2942","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IQ","claim":"IQD depreciates 0.25% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1311.51.","probability":0.239,"base_rate":0.253,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":2,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:38.638038+00","correction":null},{"id":"2941","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IN","claim":"INR 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09:45:38.601691+00","correction":null},{"id":"2938","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GH","claim":"GHS depreciates 1.95% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 11.5563.","probability":0.268,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":167,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:38.590705+00","correction":null},{"id":"2937","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GB","claim":"GBP depreciates 1.16% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.747749.","probability":0.23,"base_rate":0.253,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"hit","evidence_count":125,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:38.578775+00","correction":null},{"id":"2936","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"DE","claim":"EUR depreciates 0.87% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.871760.","probability":0.23,"base_rate":0.253,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"hit","evidence_count":233,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:38.567833+00","correction":null},{"id":"2935","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ET","claim":"ETB depreciates 1.01% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 161.385.","probability":0.212,"base_rate":0.253,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":90,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:38.556957+00","correction":null},{"id":"2934","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"EG","claim":"EGP depreciates 2.06% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 51.9283.","probability":0.271,"base_rate":0.253,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":97,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:38.547201+00","correction":null},{"id":"2933","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"DZ","claim":"DZD depreciates 0.52% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 133.801.","probability":0.236,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":29,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:38.53698+00","correction":null},{"id":"2932","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CZ","claim":"CZK depreciates 1.06% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 21.2078.","probability":0.272,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"hit","evidence_count":283,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:38.525725+00","correction":null},{"id":"2931","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CO","claim":"COP depreciates 3.04% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3173.06.","probability":0.307,"base_rate":0.253,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"hit","evidence_count":611,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:38.515349+00","correction":null},{"id":"2930","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CL","claim":"CLP depreciates 2.51% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 959.450.","probability":0.239,"base_rate":0.253,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"hit","evidence_count":305,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:38.505489+00","correction":null},{"id":"2929","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CH","claim":"CHF depreciates 1.43% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.821512.","probability":0.25,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"hit","evidence_count":166,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:38.49495+00","correction":null},{"id":"2928","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CD","claim":"CDF depreciates 1.38% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2307.87.","probability":0.217,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":27,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:38.484265+00","correction":null},{"id":"2927","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CA","claim":"CAD 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09:45:38.441801+00","correction":null},{"id":"2924","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AZ","claim":"AZN depreciates 0.27% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.70051.","probability":0.274,"base_rate":0.24,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":16,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:38.42502+00","correction":null},{"id":"2923","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AU","claim":"AUD depreciates 1.53% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.40433.","probability":0.196,"base_rate":0.24,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"hit","evidence_count":275,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:38.413804+00","correction":null},{"id":"2922","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AR","claim":"ARS depreciates 1.71% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1514.91.","probability":0.242,"base_rate":0.274,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":91,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:38.392447+00","correction":null},{"id":"2921","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AO","claim":"AOA depreciates 0.71% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 929.135.","probability":0.295,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":23,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:38.380367+00","correction":null},{"id":"2920","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AF","claim":"AFN depreciates 1.93% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 64.7345.","probability":0.271,"base_rate":0.253,"made_on":"2026-09-22","resolves_on":"2026-10-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":43,"resolved_at":"2026-10-06 09:45:38.363618+00","correction":null},{"id":"2919","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZW","claim":"ZWL depreciates 1.34% or more against USD at any 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more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 571.598.","probability":0.2,"base_rate":0.257,"made_on":"2026-09-21","resolves_on":"2026-10-05","status":"hit","evidence_count":200,"resolved_at":"2026-10-05 09:45:39.133685+00","correction":null},{"id":"2915","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CM","claim":"XAF depreciates 0.87% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 571.598.","probability":0.2,"base_rate":0.257,"made_on":"2026-09-21","resolves_on":"2026-10-05","status":"hit","evidence_count":200,"resolved_at":"2026-10-05 09:45:39.121986+00","correction":null},{"id":"2914","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"VN","claim":"VND depreciates 0.37% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 25994.9.","probability":0.217,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-09-21","resolves_on":"2026-10-05","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-10-05 09:45:39.109719+00","correction":null},{"id":"2913","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"VE","claim":"VES 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09:45:39.074635+00","correction":null},{"id":"2910","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UA","claim":"UAH depreciates 0.66% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 44.7465.","probability":0.176,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-21","resolves_on":"2026-10-05","status":"hit","evidence_count":83,"resolved_at":"2026-10-05 09:45:39.064075+00","correction":null},{"id":"2909","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TZ","claim":"TZS depreciates 0.65% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2646.45.","probability":0.231,"base_rate":0.264,"made_on":"2026-09-21","resolves_on":"2026-10-05","status":"miss","evidence_count":40,"resolved_at":"2026-10-05 09:45:39.054031+00","correction":null},{"id":"2908","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TW","claim":"TWD depreciates 0.82% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 31.8065.","probability":0.162,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-09-21","resolves_on":"2026-10-05","status":"miss","evidence_count":59,"resolved_at":"2026-10-05 09:45:39.034419+00","correction":null},{"id":"2907","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TR","claim":"TRY depreciates 0.80% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 48.7945.","probability":0.173,"base_rate":0.228,"made_on":"2026-09-21","resolves_on":"2026-10-05","status":"miss","evidence_count":75,"resolved_at":"2026-10-05 09:45:39.023843+00","correction":null},{"id":"2906","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TN","claim":"TND depreciates 0.72% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2.92541.","probability":0.218,"base_rate":0.257,"made_on":"2026-09-21","resolves_on":"2026-10-05","status":"hit","evidence_count":208,"resolved_at":"2026-10-05 09:45:39.013825+00","correction":null},{"id":"2905","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TH","claim":"THB depreciates 1.36% or more against USD at any 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against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.27661.","probability":0.195,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-09-21","resolves_on":"2026-10-05","status":"miss","evidence_count":30,"resolved_at":"2026-10-05 09:45:38.97011+00","correction":null},{"id":"2901","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SE","claim":"SEK depreciates 1.92% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.83639.","probability":0.213,"base_rate":0.264,"made_on":"2026-09-21","resolves_on":"2026-10-05","status":"hit","evidence_count":212,"resolved_at":"2026-10-05 09:45:38.959831+00","correction":null},{"id":"2900","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SD","claim":"SDG depreciates 19.89% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 513.515.","probability":0.263,"base_rate":0.241,"made_on":"2026-09-21","resolves_on":"2026-10-05","status":"miss","evidence_count":587,"resolved_at":"2026-10-05 09:45:38.949239+00","correction":null},{"id":"2899","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RW","claim":"RWF 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9.83634.","probability":0.188,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-19","resolves_on":"2026-10-03","status":"hit","evidence_count":212,"resolved_at":"2026-10-03 09:45:39.098662+00","correction":null},{"id":"2770","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SD","claim":"SDG depreciates 19.86% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 510.607.","probability":0.269,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-19","resolves_on":"2026-10-03","status":"miss","evidence_count":1595,"resolved_at":"2026-10-03 09:45:39.08988+00","correction":null},{"id":"2769","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RW","claim":"RWF depreciates 0.34% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1477.53.","probability":0.23,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-19","resolves_on":"2026-10-03","status":"miss","evidence_count":27,"resolved_at":"2026-10-03 09:45:39.079563+00","correction":null},{"id":"2768","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RU","claim":"RUB depreciates 3.88% or more against USD at any 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more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 62.8799.","probability":0.269,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-19","resolves_on":"2026-10-03","status":"miss","evidence_count":1,"resolved_at":"2026-10-03 09:45:39.033784+00","correction":null},{"id":"2764","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PE","claim":"PEN depreciates 0.62% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3.36448.","probability":0.183,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-09-19","resolves_on":"2026-10-03","status":"hit","evidence_count":255,"resolved_at":"2026-10-03 09:45:39.023906+00","correction":null},{"id":"2763","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NZ","claim":"NZD depreciates 1.88% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.74846.","probability":0.248,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-19","resolves_on":"2026-10-03","status":"hit","evidence_count":206,"resolved_at":"2026-10-03 09:45:39.01273+00","correction":null},{"id":"2762","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NP","claim":"NPR 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09:45:38.980586+00","correction":null},{"id":"2759","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MZ","claim":"MZN depreciates 0.38% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 63.8494.","probability":0.221,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-19","resolves_on":"2026-10-03","status":"hit","evidence_count":42,"resolved_at":"2026-10-03 09:45:38.969384+00","correction":null},{"id":"2758","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MY","claim":"MYR depreciates 1.22% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4.08109.","probability":0.178,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-19","resolves_on":"2026-10-03","status":"miss","evidence_count":10,"resolved_at":"2026-10-03 09:45:38.958373+00","correction":null},{"id":"2757","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MX","claim":"MXN depreciates 0.85% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 17.2121.","probability":0.201,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-09-19","resolves_on":"2026-10-03","status":"hit","evidence_count":622,"resolved_at":"2026-10-03 09:45:38.947196+00","correction":null},{"id":"2756","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MM","claim":"MMK depreciates 0.26% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2102.33.","probability":0.188,"base_rate":0.238,"made_on":"2026-09-19","resolves_on":"2026-10-03","status":"hit","evidence_count":81,"resolved_at":"2026-10-03 09:45:38.934839+00","correction":null},{"id":"2755","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MA","claim":"MAD depreciates 1.05% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.46561.","probability":0.302,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-19","resolves_on":"2026-10-03","status":"hit","evidence_count":438,"resolved_at":"2026-10-03 09:45:38.92474+00","correction":null},{"id":"2754","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"LY","claim":"LYD depreciates 0.50% or more against USD at any point 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against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.308118.","probability":0.193,"base_rate":0.261,"made_on":"2026-09-19","resolves_on":"2026-10-03","status":"miss","evidence_count":35,"resolved_at":"2026-10-03 09:45:38.879307+00","correction":null},{"id":"2750","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KR","claim":"KRW depreciates 1.63% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1386.89.","probability":0.178,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-19","resolves_on":"2026-10-03","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-10-03 09:45:38.867156+00","correction":null},{"id":"2749","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KH","claim":"KHR depreciates 0.52% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4047.40.","probability":0.198,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-19","resolves_on":"2026-10-03","status":"hit","evidence_count":99,"resolved_at":"2026-10-03 09:45:38.857337+00","correction":null},{"id":"2748","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"JP","claim":"JPY 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09:45:38.823245+00","correction":null},{"id":"2745","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ID","claim":"IDR depreciates 1.38% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 17775.9.","probability":0.164,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-09-19","resolves_on":"2026-10-03","status":"miss","evidence_count":118,"resolved_at":"2026-10-03 09:45:38.808077+00","correction":null},{"id":"2744","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"HU","claim":"HUF depreciates 1.94% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 316.879.","probability":0.216,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-19","resolves_on":"2026-10-03","status":"hit","evidence_count":334,"resolved_at":"2026-10-03 09:45:38.796766+00","correction":null},{"id":"2743","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GH","claim":"GHS depreciates 1.97% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 11.5522.","probability":0.27,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-19","resolves_on":"2026-10-03","status":"miss","evidence_count":155,"resolved_at":"2026-10-03 09:45:38.784683+00","correction":null},{"id":"2742","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GB","claim":"GBP depreciates 1.14% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.748117.","probability":0.197,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-19","resolves_on":"2026-10-03","status":"hit","evidence_count":120,"resolved_at":"2026-10-03 09:45:38.767841+00","correction":null},{"id":"2741","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"DE","claim":"EUR depreciates 0.86% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.871262.","probability":0.174,"base_rate":0.245,"made_on":"2026-09-19","resolves_on":"2026-10-03","status":"hit","evidence_count":201,"resolved_at":"2026-10-03 09:45:38.758286+00","correction":null},{"id":"2740","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ET","claim":"ETB depreciates 1.01% or more against USD at any 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09:45:38.689289+00","correction":null},{"id":"2734","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CH","claim":"CHF depreciates 1.40% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.823323.","probability":0.212,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-19","resolves_on":"2026-10-03","status":"hit","evidence_count":143,"resolved_at":"2026-10-03 09:45:38.677163+00","correction":null},{"id":"2733","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CD","claim":"CDF depreciates 1.36% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2310.46.","probability":0.17,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-19","resolves_on":"2026-10-03","status":"miss","evidence_count":83,"resolved_at":"2026-10-03 09:45:38.664149+00","correction":null},{"id":"2732","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CA","claim":"CAD depreciates 0.96% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 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more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2.92321.","probability":0.19,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-09-18","resolves_on":"2026-10-02","status":"hit","evidence_count":216,"resolved_at":"2026-10-02 09:45:39.100836+00","correction":null},{"id":"2711","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TH","claim":"THB depreciates 1.36% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 33.2854.","probability":0.212,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-18","resolves_on":"2026-10-02","status":"miss","evidence_count":115,"resolved_at":"2026-10-02 09:45:39.090601+00","correction":null},{"id":"2710","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SY","claim":"SYP depreciates 3.45% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 121.769.","probability":0.29,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-09-18","resolves_on":"2026-10-02","status":"miss","evidence_count":108,"resolved_at":"2026-10-02 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more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 921.402.","probability":0.326,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-09-18","resolves_on":"2026-10-02","status":"hit","evidence_count":107,"resolved_at":"2026-10-02 09:45:38.535194+00","correction":null},{"id":"2661","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AF","claim":"AFN depreciates 1.97% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 64.7083.","probability":0.284,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-18","resolves_on":"2026-10-02","status":"miss","evidence_count":33,"resolved_at":"2026-10-02 09:45:38.506025+00","correction":null},{"id":"2660","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZW","claim":"ZWL depreciates 1.36% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 26.6843.","probability":0.172,"base_rate":0.257,"made_on":"2026-09-17","resolves_on":"2026-10-01","status":"miss","evidence_count":63,"resolved_at":"2026-10-01 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against USD at any point within 14 days, from 44.6112.","probability":0.18,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-09-17","resolves_on":"2026-10-01","status":"hit","evidence_count":77,"resolved_at":"2026-10-01 09:45:39.022676+00","correction":null},{"id":"2650","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TZ","claim":"TZS depreciates 0.65% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2647.09.","probability":0.24,"base_rate":0.264,"made_on":"2026-09-17","resolves_on":"2026-10-01","status":"miss","evidence_count":46,"resolved_at":"2026-10-01 09:45:39.014544+00","correction":null},{"id":"2649","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TW","claim":"TWD depreciates 0.84% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 31.8414.","probability":0.15,"base_rate":0.234,"made_on":"2026-09-17","resolves_on":"2026-10-01","status":"miss","evidence_count":21,"resolved_at":"2026-10-01 09:45:39.005431+00","correction":null},{"id":"2648","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TR","claim":"TRY 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09:45:38.856614+00","correction":null},{"id":"2522","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UG","claim":"UGX depreciates 1.34% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3818.02.","probability":0.23,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-15","resolves_on":"2026-09-29","status":"hit","evidence_count":212,"resolved_at":"2026-09-29 09:45:38.847311+00","correction":null},{"id":"2521","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UA","claim":"UAH depreciates 0.66% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 44.6085.","probability":0.169,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-15","resolves_on":"2026-09-29","status":"hit","evidence_count":78,"resolved_at":"2026-09-29 09:45:38.834886+00","correction":null},{"id":"2520","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TZ","claim":"TZS depreciates 0.65% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 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62.9113.","probability":0.265,"base_rate":0.245,"made_on":"2026-09-15","resolves_on":"2026-09-29","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-29 09:45:38.682107+00","correction":null},{"id":"2505","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PE","claim":"PEN depreciates 0.64% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3.36773.","probability":0.178,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-15","resolves_on":"2026-09-29","status":"hit","evidence_count":149,"resolved_at":"2026-09-29 09:45:38.671695+00","correction":null},{"id":"2504","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NZ","claim":"NZD depreciates 1.86% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.73075.","probability":0.239,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-15","resolves_on":"2026-09-29","status":"hit","evidence_count":213,"resolved_at":"2026-09-29 09:45:38.661602+00","correction":null},{"id":"2503","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NP","claim":"NPR depreciates 1.11% or more against USD at any point 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0.308467.","probability":0.189,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-15","resolves_on":"2026-09-29","status":"miss","evidence_count":24,"resolved_at":"2026-09-29 09:45:38.542835+00","correction":null},{"id":"2491","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KR","claim":"KRW depreciates 1.63% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1347.20.","probability":0.156,"base_rate":0.245,"made_on":"2026-09-15","resolves_on":"2026-09-29","status":"hit","evidence_count":295,"resolved_at":"2026-09-29 09:45:38.532995+00","correction":null},{"id":"2490","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KH","claim":"KHR depreciates 0.52% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4039.02.","probability":0.202,"base_rate":0.261,"made_on":"2026-09-15","resolves_on":"2026-09-29","status":"hit","evidence_count":119,"resolved_at":"2026-09-29 09:45:38.522342+00","correction":null},{"id":"2489","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"JP","claim":"JPY depreciates 0.92% or more against USD at any 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09:45:38.46213+00","correction":null},{"id":"2483","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GB","claim":"GBP depreciates 1.13% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.740963.","probability":0.187,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-15","resolves_on":"2026-09-29","status":"hit","evidence_count":209,"resolved_at":"2026-09-29 09:45:38.451499+00","correction":null},{"id":"2482","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"DE","claim":"EUR depreciates 0.85% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.865688.","probability":0.192,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-09-15","resolves_on":"2026-09-29","status":"hit","evidence_count":157,"resolved_at":"2026-09-29 09:45:38.441545+00","correction":null},{"id":"2481","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ET","claim":"ETB depreciates 1.02% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 161.610.","probability":0.169,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-15","resolves_on":"2026-09-29","status":"miss","evidence_count":75,"resolved_at":"2026-09-29 09:45:38.43146+00","correction":null},{"id":"2480","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"EG","claim":"EGP depreciates 1.93% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 51.8270.","probability":0.229,"base_rate":0.245,"made_on":"2026-09-15","resolves_on":"2026-09-29","status":"miss","evidence_count":70,"resolved_at":"2026-09-29 09:45:38.420427+00","correction":null},{"id":"2479","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"DZ","claim":"DZD depreciates 0.52% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 133.413.","probability":0.184,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-15","resolves_on":"2026-09-29","status":"hit","evidence_count":113,"resolved_at":"2026-09-29 09:45:38.410308+00","correction":null},{"id":"2478","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CZ","claim":"CZK depreciates 0.91% or more against USD at any point 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928.644.","probability":0.316,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-15","resolves_on":"2026-09-29","status":"miss","evidence_count":28,"resolved_at":"2026-09-29 09:45:38.275096+00","correction":null},{"id":"2466","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AF","claim":"AFN depreciates 1.97% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 64.4255.","probability":0.287,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-15","resolves_on":"2026-09-29","status":"miss","evidence_count":77,"resolved_at":"2026-09-29 09:45:38.259369+00","correction":null},{"id":"2465","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZW","claim":"ZWL depreciates 1.71% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 26.6531.","probability":0.162,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-09-14","resolves_on":"2026-09-28","status":"miss","evidence_count":53,"resolved_at":"2026-09-28 09:45:39.292577+00","correction":null},{"id":"2464","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZA","claim":"ZAR depreciates 1.80% or more against USD at any 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more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 565.648.","probability":0.158,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-14","resolves_on":"2026-09-28","status":"hit","evidence_count":190,"resolved_at":"2026-09-28 09:45:39.243864+00","correction":null},{"id":"2460","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"VN","claim":"VND depreciates 0.37% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 25872.7.","probability":0.198,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-14","resolves_on":"2026-09-28","status":"hit","evidence_count":99,"resolved_at":"2026-09-28 09:45:39.231118+00","correction":null},{"id":"2459","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"VE","claim":"VES depreciates 7.62% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 842.207.","probability":0.164,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-09-14","resolves_on":"2026-09-28","status":"miss","evidence_count":176,"resolved_at":"2026-09-28 09:45:39.220659+00","correction":null},{"id":"2458","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UZ","claim":"UZS depreciates 1.38% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 11789.8.","probability":0.189,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-14","resolves_on":"2026-09-28","status":"miss","evidence_count":80,"resolved_at":"2026-09-28 09:45:39.207595+00","correction":null},{"id":"2457","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UG","claim":"UGX depreciates 1.34% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3796.34.","probability":0.226,"base_rate":0.241,"made_on":"2026-09-14","resolves_on":"2026-09-28","status":"hit","evidence_count":271,"resolved_at":"2026-09-28 09:45:39.194516+00","correction":null},{"id":"2456","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UA","claim":"UAH depreciates 0.66% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 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09:45:39.025906+00","correction":null},{"id":"2444","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RU","claim":"RUB depreciates 3.96% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 84.2391.","probability":0.334,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-14","resolves_on":"2026-09-28","status":"miss","evidence_count":29,"resolved_at":"2026-09-28 09:45:39.012573+00","correction":null},{"id":"2443","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RO","claim":"RON depreciates 1.16% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4.52715.","probability":0.162,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-09-14","resolves_on":"2026-09-28","status":"hit","evidence_count":246,"resolved_at":"2026-09-28 09:45:38.999291+00","correction":null},{"id":"2442","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PL","claim":"PLN depreciates 1.36% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 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within 14 days, from 4037.75.","probability":0.203,"base_rate":0.263,"made_on":"2026-09-14","resolves_on":"2026-09-28","status":"hit","evidence_count":123,"resolved_at":"2026-09-28 09:45:38.77655+00","correction":null},{"id":"2424","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"JP","claim":"JPY depreciates 0.92% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 153.612.","probability":0.225,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-14","resolves_on":"2026-09-28","status":"hit","evidence_count":330,"resolved_at":"2026-09-28 09:45:38.763679+00","correction":null},{"id":"2423","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IR","claim":"IRR depreciates 12.61% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.55947e+6.","probability":0.279,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-14","resolves_on":"2026-09-28","status":"miss","evidence_count":269,"resolved_at":"2026-09-28 09:45:38.750849+00","correction":null},{"id":"2422","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IN","claim":"INR depreciates 1.11% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 95.6140.","probability":0.166,"base_rate":0.261,"made_on":"2026-09-14","resolves_on":"2026-09-28","status":"miss","evidence_count":44,"resolved_at":"2026-09-28 09:45:38.737525+00","correction":null},{"id":"2421","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ID","claim":"IDR depreciates 1.43% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 17623.7.","probability":0.161,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-14","resolves_on":"2026-09-28","status":"hit","evidence_count":169,"resolved_at":"2026-09-28 09:45:38.722463+00","correction":null},{"id":"2420","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"HU","claim":"HUF depreciates 1.97% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 313.467.","probability":0.217,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-09-14","resolves_on":"2026-09-28","status":"hit","evidence_count":256,"resolved_at":"2026-09-28 09:45:38.708645+00","correction":null},{"id":"2419","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GH","claim":"GHS depreciates 1.95% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 11.4253.","probability":0.262,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-09-14","resolves_on":"2026-09-28","status":"miss","evidence_count":184,"resolved_at":"2026-09-28 09:45:38.691199+00","correction":null},{"id":"2418","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GB","claim":"GBP depreciates 1.16% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.739483.","probability":0.189,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-14","resolves_on":"2026-09-28","status":"hit","evidence_count":229,"resolved_at":"2026-09-28 09:45:38.678814+00","correction":null},{"id":"2417","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"DE","claim":"EUR depreciates 0.86% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 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point within 14 days, from 133.215.","probability":0.185,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-14","resolves_on":"2026-09-28","status":"hit","evidence_count":128,"resolved_at":"2026-09-28 09:45:38.626986+00","correction":null},{"id":"2413","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CZ","claim":"CZK depreciates 0.91% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 20.8963.","probability":0.217,"base_rate":0.241,"made_on":"2026-09-14","resolves_on":"2026-09-28","status":"hit","evidence_count":265,"resolved_at":"2026-09-28 09:45:38.611376+00","correction":null},{"id":"2412","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CO","claim":"COP depreciates 3.35% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3085.37.","probability":0.352,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-14","resolves_on":"2026-09-28","status":"hit","evidence_count":807,"resolved_at":"2026-09-28 09:45:38.598787+00","correction":null},{"id":"2411","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CL","claim":"CLP depreciates 2.49% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 940.949.","probability":0.189,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-14","resolves_on":"2026-09-28","status":"miss","evidence_count":234,"resolved_at":"2026-09-28 09:45:38.584549+00","correction":null},{"id":"2410","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CH","claim":"CHF depreciates 1.39% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.816582.","probability":0.208,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-09-14","resolves_on":"2026-09-28","status":"hit","evidence_count":156,"resolved_at":"2026-09-28 09:45:38.570799+00","correction":null},{"id":"2409","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CD","claim":"CDF depreciates 1.38% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2306.11.","probability":0.167,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-14","resolves_on":"2026-09-28","status":"miss","evidence_count":102,"resolved_at":"2026-09-28 09:45:38.554594+00","correction":null},{"id":"2408","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CA","claim":"CAD depreciates 0.96% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.38631.","probability":0.157,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-14","resolves_on":"2026-09-28","status":"hit","evidence_count":206,"resolved_at":"2026-09-28 09:45:38.532219+00","correction":null},{"id":"2407","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BR","claim":"BRL depreciates 2.01% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 5.12044.","probability":0.221,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-14","resolves_on":"2026-09-28","status":"miss","evidence_count":140,"resolved_at":"2026-09-28 09:45:38.518698+00","correction":null},{"id":"2406","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BD","claim":"BDT depreciates 0.28% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 123.334.","probability":0.343,"base_rate":0.268,"made_on":"2026-09-14","resolves_on":"2026-09-28","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-28 09:45:38.505633+00","correction":null},{"id":"2405","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AZ","claim":"AZN depreciates 0.26% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.70009.","probability":0.284,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-14","resolves_on":"2026-09-28","status":"hit","evidence_count":72,"resolved_at":"2026-09-28 09:45:38.490851+00","correction":null},{"id":"2404","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AU","claim":"AUD depreciates 1.56% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.39757.","probability":0.157,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-14","resolves_on":"2026-09-28","status":"hit","evidence_count":202,"resolved_at":"2026-09-28 09:45:38.474201+00","correction":null},{"id":"2403","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AR","claim":"ARS depreciates 1.82% or more against USD at any point 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against USD at any point within 14 days, from 26.6531.","probability":0.164,"base_rate":0.257,"made_on":"2026-09-13","resolves_on":"2026-09-27","status":"miss","evidence_count":53,"resolved_at":"2026-09-27 09:45:39.262228+00","correction":null},{"id":"2399","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZA","claim":"ZAR depreciates 1.80% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 16.1386.","probability":0.194,"base_rate":0.263,"made_on":"2026-09-13","resolves_on":"2026-09-27","status":"hit","evidence_count":181,"resolved_at":"2026-09-27 09:45:39.25172+00","correction":null},{"id":"2398","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"YE","claim":"YER depreciates 0.29% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 237.164.","probability":0.173,"base_rate":0.243,"made_on":"2026-09-13","resolves_on":"2026-09-27","status":"hit","evidence_count":67,"resolved_at":"2026-09-27 09:45:39.241769+00","correction":null},{"id":"2397","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BF","claim":"XOF 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09:45:39.205036+00","correction":null},{"id":"2394","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"VE","claim":"VES depreciates 7.62% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 842.207.","probability":0.165,"base_rate":0.26,"made_on":"2026-09-13","resolves_on":"2026-09-27","status":"miss","evidence_count":176,"resolved_at":"2026-09-27 09:45:39.194285+00","correction":null},{"id":"2393","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UZ","claim":"UZS depreciates 1.38% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 11770.9.","probability":0.199,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-09-13","resolves_on":"2026-09-27","status":"miss","evidence_count":96,"resolved_at":"2026-09-27 09:45:39.18273+00","correction":null},{"id":"2392","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UG","claim":"UGX depreciates 1.34% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3754.87.","probability":0.214,"base_rate":0.235,"made_on":"2026-09-13","resolves_on":"2026-09-27","status":"hit","evidence_count":384,"resolved_at":"2026-09-27 09:45:39.172238+00","correction":null},{"id":"2391","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UA","claim":"UAH depreciates 0.66% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 44.5812.","probability":0.171,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-09-13","resolves_on":"2026-09-27","status":"hit","evidence_count":84,"resolved_at":"2026-09-27 09:45:39.161638+00","correction":null},{"id":"2390","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TZ","claim":"TZS depreciates 0.65% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2646.93.","probability":0.272,"base_rate":0.272,"made_on":"2026-09-13","resolves_on":"2026-09-27","status":"miss","evidence_count":47,"resolved_at":"2026-09-27 09:45:39.152439+00","correction":null},{"id":"2389","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TW","claim":"TWD depreciates 0.84% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 31.5647.","probability":0.154,"base_rate":0.241,"made_on":"2026-09-13","resolves_on":"2026-09-27","status":"hit","evidence_count":95,"resolved_at":"2026-09-27 09:45:39.14047+00","correction":null},{"id":"2388","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TR","claim":"TRY depreciates 0.80% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 48.5981.","probability":0.199,"base_rate":0.241,"made_on":"2026-09-13","resolves_on":"2026-09-27","status":"miss","evidence_count":66,"resolved_at":"2026-09-27 09:45:39.120373+00","correction":null},{"id":"2387","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TN","claim":"TND depreciates 0.72% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2.90756.","probability":0.186,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-09-13","resolves_on":"2026-09-27","status":"hit","evidence_count":158,"resolved_at":"2026-09-27 09:45:39.110208+00","correction":null},{"id":"2386","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TH","claim":"THB depreciates 1.36% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 33.0269.","probability":0.217,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-09-13","resolves_on":"2026-09-27","status":"miss","evidence_count":127,"resolved_at":"2026-09-27 09:45:39.098843+00","correction":null},{"id":"2385","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SY","claim":"SYP depreciates 3.83% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 121.958.","probability":0.286,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-09-13","resolves_on":"2026-09-27","status":"miss","evidence_count":92,"resolved_at":"2026-09-27 09:45:39.088609+00","correction":null},{"id":"2384","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SS","claim":"SSP depreciates 6.50% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 5651.69.","probability":0.345,"base_rate":0.257,"made_on":"2026-09-13","resolves_on":"2026-09-27","status":"miss","evidence_count":605,"resolved_at":"2026-09-27 09:45:39.074778+00","correction":null},{"id":"2383","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SG","claim":"SGD 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09:45:38.875213+00","correction":null},{"id":"2366","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MA","claim":"MAD depreciates 1.00% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.39346.","probability":0.254,"base_rate":0.257,"made_on":"2026-09-13","resolves_on":"2026-09-27","status":"hit","evidence_count":238,"resolved_at":"2026-09-27 09:45:38.863463+00","correction":null},{"id":"2365","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"LY","claim":"LYD depreciates 0.50% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 6.32720.","probability":0.195,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-09-13","resolves_on":"2026-09-27","status":"hit","evidence_count":135,"resolved_at":"2026-09-27 09:45:38.851599+00","correction":null},{"id":"2364","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"LK","claim":"LKR depreciates 1.33% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 328.195.","probability":0.164,"base_rate":0.257,"made_on":"2026-09-13","resolves_on":"2026-09-27","status":"miss","evidence_count":112,"resolved_at":"2026-09-27 09:45:38.841639+00","correction":null},{"id":"2363","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KZ","claim":"KZT depreciates 1.59% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 450.911.","probability":0.19,"base_rate":0.255,"made_on":"2026-09-13","resolves_on":"2026-09-27","status":"miss","evidence_count":1,"resolved_at":"2026-09-27 09:45:38.829201+00","correction":null},{"id":"2362","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KW","claim":"KWD depreciates 0.37% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.308184.","probability":0.2,"base_rate":0.257,"made_on":"2026-09-13","resolves_on":"2026-09-27","status":"miss","evidence_count":33,"resolved_at":"2026-09-27 09:45:38.818694+00","correction":null},{"id":"2361","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KR","claim":"KRW depreciates 1.63% or more against USD at any point 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51.3422.","probability":0.217,"base_rate":0.241,"made_on":"2026-09-13","resolves_on":"2026-09-27","status":"miss","evidence_count":165,"resolved_at":"2026-09-27 09:45:38.680132+00","correction":null},{"id":"2349","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"DZ","claim":"DZD depreciates 0.52% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 133.116.","probability":0.186,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-09-13","resolves_on":"2026-09-27","status":"hit","evidence_count":136,"resolved_at":"2026-09-27 09:45:38.669705+00","correction":null},{"id":"2348","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CZ","claim":"CZK depreciates 0.91% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 20.8958.","probability":0.218,"base_rate":0.243,"made_on":"2026-09-13","resolves_on":"2026-09-27","status":"hit","evidence_count":265,"resolved_at":"2026-09-27 09:45:38.656468+00","correction":null},{"id":"2347","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CO","claim":"COP depreciates 3.35% or more against USD at any 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0.308232.","probability":0.21,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-09-12","resolves_on":"2026-09-26","status":"miss","evidence_count":32,"resolved_at":"2026-09-26 09:45:38.66841+00","correction":null},{"id":"2296","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KR","claim":"KRW depreciates 1.63% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1342.53.","probability":0.159,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-09-12","resolves_on":"2026-09-26","status":"hit","evidence_count":330,"resolved_at":"2026-09-26 09:45:38.657206+00","correction":null},{"id":"2295","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KH","claim":"KHR depreciates 0.52% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4044.03.","probability":0.205,"base_rate":0.267,"made_on":"2026-09-12","resolves_on":"2026-09-26","status":"hit","evidence_count":107,"resolved_at":"2026-09-26 09:45:38.642847+00","correction":null},{"id":"2294","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"JP","claim":"JPY depreciates 0.92% or more against USD at any point 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more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 17606.1.","probability":0.164,"base_rate":0.257,"made_on":"2026-09-12","resolves_on":"2026-09-26","status":"hit","evidence_count":171,"resolved_at":"2026-09-26 09:45:38.593862+00","correction":null},{"id":"2290","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"HU","claim":"HUF depreciates 1.97% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 313.524.","probability":0.219,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-09-12","resolves_on":"2026-09-26","status":"hit","evidence_count":254,"resolved_at":"2026-09-26 09:45:38.581027+00","correction":null},{"id":"2289","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GH","claim":"GHS depreciates 1.94% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 11.4134.","probability":0.251,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-12","resolves_on":"2026-09-26","status":"miss","evidence_count":144,"resolved_at":"2026-09-26 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09:45:38.392989+00","correction":null},{"id":"2274","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AR","claim":"ARS depreciates 1.82% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1509.91.","probability":0.164,"base_rate":0.257,"made_on":"2026-09-12","resolves_on":"2026-09-26","status":"miss","evidence_count":93,"resolved_at":"2026-09-26 09:45:38.373972+00","correction":null},{"id":"2273","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AO","claim":"AOA depreciates 0.71% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 929.012.","probability":0.315,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-12","resolves_on":"2026-09-26","status":"miss","evidence_count":21,"resolved_at":"2026-09-26 09:45:38.351796+00","correction":null},{"id":"2272","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AF","claim":"AFN depreciates 2.00% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 64.5934.","probability":0.286,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-09-12","resolves_on":"2026-09-26","status":"miss","evidence_count":51,"resolved_at":"2026-09-26 09:45:38.327915+00","correction":null},{"id":"2271","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZW","claim":"ZWL depreciates 1.91% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 26.6758.","probability":0.157,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-11","resolves_on":"2026-09-25","status":"miss","evidence_count":44,"resolved_at":"2026-09-25 09:45:39.216436+00","correction":null},{"id":"2270","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZA","claim":"ZAR depreciates 1.80% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 16.1853.","probability":0.215,"base_rate":0.267,"made_on":"2026-09-11","resolves_on":"2026-09-25","status":"miss","evidence_count":152,"resolved_at":"2026-09-25 09:45:39.177396+00","correction":null},{"id":"2269","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"YE","claim":"YER depreciates 0.29% or more against USD at any 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09:45:39.105109+00","correction":null},{"id":"2263","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UG","claim":"UGX depreciates 1.34% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3763.47.","probability":0.234,"base_rate":0.239,"made_on":"2026-09-11","resolves_on":"2026-09-25","status":"hit","evidence_count":360,"resolved_at":"2026-09-25 09:45:39.093497+00","correction":null},{"id":"2262","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UA","claim":"UAH depreciates 0.66% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 44.6184.","probability":0.174,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-09-11","resolves_on":"2026-09-25","status":"hit","evidence_count":75,"resolved_at":"2026-09-25 09:45:39.081287+00","correction":null},{"id":"2261","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TZ","claim":"TZS depreciates 0.67% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 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09:45:38.805481+00","correction":null},{"id":"2238","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MM","claim":"MMK depreciates 0.26% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2101.84.","probability":0.197,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-11","resolves_on":"2026-09-25","status":"hit","evidence_count":83,"resolved_at":"2026-09-25 09:45:38.794077+00","correction":null},{"id":"2237","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MA","claim":"MAD depreciates 0.96% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.37114.","probability":0.23,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-11","resolves_on":"2026-09-25","status":"hit","evidence_count":263,"resolved_at":"2026-09-25 09:45:38.784298+00","correction":null},{"id":"2236","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"LY","claim":"LYD depreciates 0.50% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 6.32735.","probability":0.198,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-11","resolves_on":"2026-09-25","status":"hit","evidence_count":135,"resolved_at":"2026-09-25 09:45:38.774273+00","correction":null},{"id":"2235","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"LK","claim":"LKR depreciates 1.35% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 328.257.","probability":0.157,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-11","resolves_on":"2026-09-25","status":"miss","evidence_count":110,"resolved_at":"2026-09-25 09:45:38.762777+00","correction":null},{"id":"2234","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KZ","claim":"KZT depreciates 1.59% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 449.730.","probability":0.192,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-09-11","resolves_on":"2026-09-25","status":"miss","evidence_count":27,"resolved_at":"2026-09-25 09:45:38.749899+00","correction":null},{"id":"2233","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KW","claim":"KWD depreciates 0.39% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.308137.","probability":0.211,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-11","resolves_on":"2026-09-25","status":"miss","evidence_count":35,"resolved_at":"2026-09-25 09:45:38.738626+00","correction":null},{"id":"2232","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KR","claim":"KRW depreciates 1.63% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1345.06.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-11","resolves_on":"2026-09-25","status":"hit","evidence_count":311,"resolved_at":"2026-09-25 09:45:38.725357+00","correction":null},{"id":"2231","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KH","claim":"KHR depreciates 0.58% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4044.18.","probability":0.184,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-11","resolves_on":"2026-09-25","status":"hit","evidence_count":107,"resolved_at":"2026-09-25 09:45:38.713507+00","correction":null},{"id":"2230","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"JP","claim":"JPY depreciates 0.92% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 154.250.","probability":0.228,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-09-11","resolves_on":"2026-09-25","status":"hit","evidence_count":288,"resolved_at":"2026-09-25 09:45:38.700177+00","correction":null},{"id":"2229","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IR","claim":"IRR depreciates 12.61% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.45353e+6.","probability":0.283,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-09-11","resolves_on":"2026-09-25","status":"miss","evidence_count":729,"resolved_at":"2026-09-25 09:45:38.686334+00","correction":null},{"id":"2228","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IN","claim":"INR depreciates 1.11% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 95.5137.","probability":0.169,"base_rate":0.267,"made_on":"2026-09-11","resolves_on":"2026-09-25","status":"miss","evidence_count":55,"resolved_at":"2026-09-25 09:45:38.673112+00","correction":null},{"id":"2227","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ID","claim":"IDR depreciates 1.43% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 17561.8.","probability":0.165,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-09-11","resolves_on":"2026-09-25","status":"hit","evidence_count":197,"resolved_at":"2026-09-25 09:45:38.658716+00","correction":null},{"id":"2226","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"HU","claim":"HUF depreciates 2.02% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 313.964.","probability":0.211,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-11","resolves_on":"2026-09-25","status":"hit","evidence_count":239,"resolved_at":"2026-09-25 09:45:38.64545+00","correction":null},{"id":"2225","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GH","claim":"GHS depreciates 1.95% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 11.4170.","probability":0.252,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-11","resolves_on":"2026-09-25","status":"miss","evidence_count":141,"resolved_at":"2026-09-25 09:45:38.632645+00","correction":null},{"id":"2224","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GB","claim":"GBP depreciates 1.16% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.739741.","probability":0.219,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-09-11","resolves_on":"2026-09-25","status":"hit","evidence_count":226,"resolved_at":"2026-09-25 09:45:38.619823+00","correction":null},{"id":"2223","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"DE","claim":"EUR depreciates 0.86% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.860738.","probability":0.156,"base_rate":0.244,"made_on":"2026-09-11","resolves_on":"2026-09-25","status":"hit","evidence_count":208,"resolved_at":"2026-09-25 09:45:38.608588+00","correction":null},{"id":"2222","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ET","claim":"ETB depreciates 1.03% or more against USD at any 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more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 20.8663.","probability":0.22,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-11","resolves_on":"2026-09-25","status":"hit","evidence_count":280,"resolved_at":"2026-09-25 09:45:38.555972+00","correction":null},{"id":"2218","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CO","claim":"COP depreciates 3.04% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3107.50.","probability":0.346,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-09-11","resolves_on":"2026-09-25","status":"hit","evidence_count":505,"resolved_at":"2026-09-25 09:45:38.542948+00","correction":null},{"id":"2217","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CL","claim":"CLP depreciates 2.49% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 927.686.","probability":0.21,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-09-11","resolves_on":"2026-09-25","status":"hit","evidence_count":376,"resolved_at":"2026-09-25 09:45:38.53004+00","correction":null},{"id":"2216","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CH","claim":"CHF 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09:45:38.490824+00","correction":null},{"id":"2213","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BR","claim":"BRL depreciates 2.01% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 5.11099.","probability":0.224,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-11","resolves_on":"2026-09-25","status":"miss","evidence_count":126,"resolved_at":"2026-09-25 09:45:38.477505+00","correction":null},{"id":"2212","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BD","claim":"BDT depreciates 0.28% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 123.238.","probability":0.364,"base_rate":0.274,"made_on":"2026-09-11","resolves_on":"2026-09-25","status":"miss","evidence_count":8,"resolved_at":"2026-09-25 09:45:38.463494+00","correction":null},{"id":"2211","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AU","claim":"AUD depreciates 1.56% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.39472.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-11","resolves_on":"2026-09-25","status":"hit","evidence_count":221,"resolved_at":"2026-09-25 09:45:38.447288+00","correction":null},{"id":"2210","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AR","claim":"ARS depreciates 1.82% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1513.00.","probability":0.165,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-09-11","resolves_on":"2026-09-25","status":"miss","evidence_count":38,"resolved_at":"2026-09-25 09:45:38.430433+00","correction":null},{"id":"2209","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AO","claim":"AOA depreciates 0.71% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 925.654.","probability":0.316,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-11","resolves_on":"2026-09-25","status":"miss","evidence_count":43,"resolved_at":"2026-09-25 09:45:38.40695+00","correction":null},{"id":"2208","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AF","claim":"AFN depreciates 2.00% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 64.8243.","probability":0.287,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-11","resolves_on":"2026-09-25","status":"miss","evidence_count":15,"resolved_at":"2026-09-25 09:45:38.380506+00","correction":null},{"id":"2207","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZW","claim":"ZWL depreciates 1.91% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 26.6908.","probability":0.158,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-10","resolves_on":"2026-09-24","status":"miss","evidence_count":38,"resolved_at":"2026-09-24 09:45:38.961052+00","correction":null},{"id":"2206","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZA","claim":"ZAR depreciates 1.82% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 16.0405.","probability":0.211,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-10","resolves_on":"2026-09-24","status":"hit","evidence_count":198,"resolved_at":"2026-09-24 09:45:38.951412+00","correction":null},{"id":"2205","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"YE","claim":"YER depreciates 0.29% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 236.861.","probability":0.185,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-10","resolves_on":"2026-09-24","status":"hit","evidence_count":80,"resolved_at":"2026-09-24 09:45:38.94172+00","correction":null},{"id":"2204","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BF","claim":"XOF depreciates 0.86% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 563.832.","probability":0.162,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-09-10","resolves_on":"2026-09-24","status":"hit","evidence_count":207,"resolved_at":"2026-09-24 09:45:38.931993+00","correction":null},{"id":"2203","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CM","claim":"XAF depreciates 0.86% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 563.832.","probability":0.162,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-09-10","resolves_on":"2026-09-24","status":"hit","evidence_count":207,"resolved_at":"2026-09-24 09:45:38.921613+00","correction":null},{"id":"2202","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"VN","claim":"VND 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09:45:38.894732+00","correction":null},{"id":"2199","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UG","claim":"UGX depreciates 1.34% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3749.64.","probability":0.231,"base_rate":0.233,"made_on":"2026-09-10","resolves_on":"2026-09-24","status":"hit","evidence_count":399,"resolved_at":"2026-09-24 09:45:38.883283+00","correction":null},{"id":"2198","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UA","claim":"UAH depreciates 0.66% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 44.6439.","probability":0.184,"base_rate":0.261,"made_on":"2026-09-10","resolves_on":"2026-09-24","status":"miss","evidence_count":49,"resolved_at":"2026-09-24 09:45:38.873225+00","correction":null},{"id":"2197","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TZ","claim":"TZS depreciates 0.67% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 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against USD at any point within 14 days, from 5654.22.","probability":0.335,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-09-10","resolves_on":"2026-09-24","status":"miss","evidence_count":39,"resolved_at":"2026-09-24 09:45:38.793552+00","correction":null},{"id":"2190","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SG","claim":"SGD depreciates 0.53% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.26423.","probability":0.176,"base_rate":0.278,"made_on":"2026-09-10","resolves_on":"2026-09-24","status":"hit","evidence_count":119,"resolved_at":"2026-09-24 09:45:38.78221+00","correction":null},{"id":"2189","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SE","claim":"SEK depreciates 1.91% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.59154.","probability":0.158,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-10","resolves_on":"2026-09-24","status":"hit","evidence_count":329,"resolved_at":"2026-09-24 09:45:38.771995+00","correction":null},{"id":"2188","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SD","claim":"SDG 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09:45:38.96072+00","correction":null},{"id":"2049","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TR","claim":"TRY depreciates 0.80% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 48.4580.","probability":0.2,"base_rate":0.242,"made_on":"2026-09-08","resolves_on":"2026-09-22","status":"miss","evidence_count":76,"resolved_at":"2026-09-22 09:45:38.949471+00","correction":null},{"id":"2048","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TN","claim":"TND depreciates 0.72% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2.90682.","probability":0.192,"base_rate":0.26,"made_on":"2026-09-08","resolves_on":"2026-09-22","status":"hit","evidence_count":101,"resolved_at":"2026-09-22 09:45:38.931276+00","correction":null},{"id":"2047","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TH","claim":"THB depreciates 1.36% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 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against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2100.30.","probability":0.191,"base_rate":0.242,"made_on":"2026-09-08","resolves_on":"2026-09-22","status":"hit","evidence_count":91,"resolved_at":"2026-09-22 09:45:38.711473+00","correction":null},{"id":"2026","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MA","claim":"MAD depreciates 0.87% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.38721.","probability":0.21,"base_rate":0.26,"made_on":"2026-09-08","resolves_on":"2026-09-22","status":"hit","evidence_count":160,"resolved_at":"2026-09-22 09:45:38.699664+00","correction":null},{"id":"2025","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"LY","claim":"LYD depreciates 0.50% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 6.34586.","probability":0.201,"base_rate":0.26,"made_on":"2026-09-08","resolves_on":"2026-09-22","status":"hit","evidence_count":105,"resolved_at":"2026-09-22 09:45:38.688244+00","correction":null},{"id":"2024","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"LK","claim":"LKR 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09:45:38.6559+00","correction":null},{"id":"2021","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KR","claim":"KRW depreciates 1.64% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1345.38.","probability":0.164,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-09-08","resolves_on":"2026-09-22","status":"hit","evidence_count":309,"resolved_at":"2026-09-22 09:45:38.646272+00","correction":null},{"id":"2020","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KH","claim":"KHR depreciates 0.58% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4038.21.","probability":0.188,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-08","resolves_on":"2026-09-22","status":"hit","evidence_count":122,"resolved_at":"2026-09-22 09:45:38.635628+00","correction":null},{"id":"2019","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"JP","claim":"JPY depreciates 0.92% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 154.415.","probability":0.259,"base_rate":0.265,"made_on":"2026-09-08","resolves_on":"2026-09-22","status":"hit","evidence_count":190,"resolved_at":"2026-09-22 09:45:38.622679+00","correction":null},{"id":"2018","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IR","claim":"IRR depreciates 13.15% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.48040e+6.","probability":0.259,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-09-08","resolves_on":"2026-09-22","status":"miss","evidence_count":534,"resolved_at":"2026-09-22 09:45:38.613786+00","correction":null},{"id":"2017","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IQ","claim":"IQD depreciates 0.25% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1311.26.","probability":0.218,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-09-08","resolves_on":"2026-09-22","status":"hit","evidence_count":86,"resolved_at":"2026-09-22 09:45:38.603713+00","correction":null},{"id":"2016","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IN","claim":"INR depreciates 1.12% or more against USD at any 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more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 11.4050.","probability":0.238,"base_rate":0.26,"made_on":"2026-09-08","resolves_on":"2026-09-22","status":"miss","evidence_count":152,"resolved_at":"2026-09-22 09:45:38.563823+00","correction":null},{"id":"2012","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GB","claim":"GBP depreciates 1.16% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.738631.","probability":0.227,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-09-08","resolves_on":"2026-09-22","status":"hit","evidence_count":130,"resolved_at":"2026-09-22 09:45:38.553417+00","correction":null},{"id":"2011","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"DE","claim":"EUR depreciates 0.86% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.860364.","probability":0.159,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-09-08","resolves_on":"2026-09-22","status":"hit","evidence_count":132,"resolved_at":"2026-09-22 09:45:38.542475+00","correction":null},{"id":"2010","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ET","claim":"ETB depreciates 1.07% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 161.211.","probability":0.173,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-09-08","resolves_on":"2026-09-22","status":"miss","evidence_count":43,"resolved_at":"2026-09-22 09:45:38.531574+00","correction":null},{"id":"2009","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"EG","claim":"EGP depreciates 1.63% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 50.9190.","probability":0.214,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-09-08","resolves_on":"2026-09-22","status":"hit","evidence_count":249,"resolved_at":"2026-09-22 09:45:38.521582+00","correction":null},{"id":"2008","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"DZ","claim":"DZD depreciates 0.52% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 133.246.","probability":0.192,"base_rate":0.26,"made_on":"2026-09-08","resolves_on":"2026-09-22","status":"hit","evidence_count":126,"resolved_at":"2026-09-22 09:45:38.512008+00","correction":null},{"id":"2007","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CZ","claim":"CZK depreciates 0.85% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 20.8137.","probability":0.206,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-08","resolves_on":"2026-09-22","status":"hit","evidence_count":189,"resolved_at":"2026-09-22 09:45:38.50146+00","correction":null},{"id":"2006","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CO","claim":"COP depreciates 2.57% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3132.33.","probability":0.323,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-09-08","resolves_on":"2026-09-22","status":"miss","evidence_count":130,"resolved_at":"2026-09-22 09:45:38.489581+00","correction":null},{"id":"2005","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CL","claim":"CLP depreciates 2.41% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 933.491.","probability":0.209,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-09-08","resolves_on":"2026-09-22","status":"hit","evidence_count":303,"resolved_at":"2026-09-22 09:45:38.478776+00","correction":null},{"id":"2004","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CH","claim":"CHF depreciates 1.40% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.809244.","probability":0.224,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-08","resolves_on":"2026-09-22","status":"hit","evidence_count":191,"resolved_at":"2026-09-22 09:45:38.466558+00","correction":null},{"id":"2003","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CD","claim":"CDF depreciates 1.41% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2296.64.","probability":0.178,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-08","resolves_on":"2026-09-22","status":"hit","evidence_count":143,"resolved_at":"2026-09-22 09:45:38.456121+00","correction":null},{"id":"2002","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CA","claim":"CAD depreciates 0.97% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.38116.","probability":0.159,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-09-08","resolves_on":"2026-09-22","status":"hit","evidence_count":153,"resolved_at":"2026-09-22 09:45:38.445817+00","correction":null},{"id":"2001","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BR","claim":"BRL depreciates 2.14% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 5.12619.","probability":0.227,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-09-08","resolves_on":"2026-09-22","status":"miss","evidence_count":48,"resolved_at":"2026-09-22 09:45:38.435703+00","correction":null},{"id":"2000","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BD","claim":"BDT depreciates 0.28% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 122.953.","probability":0.35,"base_rate":0.265,"made_on":"2026-09-08","resolves_on":"2026-09-22","status":"hit","evidence_count":31,"resolved_at":"2026-09-22 09:45:38.416201+00","correction":null},{"id":"1999","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AU","claim":"AUD depreciates 1.56% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.38532.","probability":0.164,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-09-08","resolves_on":"2026-09-22","status":"miss","evidence_count":153,"resolved_at":"2026-09-22 09:45:38.400267+00","correction":null},{"id":"1998","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AR","claim":"ARS depreciates 1.90% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1511.15.","probability":0.159,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-09-08","resolves_on":"2026-09-22","status":"miss","evidence_count":26,"resolved_at":"2026-09-22 09:45:38.379011+00","correction":null},{"id":"1997","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AO","claim":"AOA depreciates 0.71% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 926.579.","probability":0.306,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-08","resolves_on":"2026-09-22","status":"miss","evidence_count":33,"resolved_at":"2026-09-22 09:45:38.358307+00","correction":null},{"id":"1996","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AF","claim":"AFN depreciates 2.02% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 64.8122.","probability":0.291,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-09-08","resolves_on":"2026-09-22","status":"miss","evidence_count":17,"resolved_at":"2026-09-22 09:45:38.335706+00","correction":null},{"id":"1995","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZW","claim":"ZWL depreciates 1.95% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 26.5591.","probability":0.157,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"miss","evidence_count":111,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:39.198339+00","correction":null},{"id":"1994","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZA","claim":"ZAR depreciates 1.82% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 15.9574.","probability":0.242,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"hit","evidence_count":230,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:39.186594+00","correction":null},{"id":"1993","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"YE","claim":"YER depreciates 0.31% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 236.926.","probability":0.207,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"hit","evidence_count":77,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:39.175252+00","correction":null},{"id":"1992","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BF","claim":"XOF depreciates 0.87% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 564.826.","probability":0.161,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"hit","evidence_count":120,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:39.163029+00","correction":null},{"id":"1991","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CM","claim":"XAF depreciates 0.87% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 564.826.","probability":0.161,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"hit","evidence_count":120,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:39.151694+00","correction":null},{"id":"1990","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"VN","claim":"VND depreciates 0.38% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 25999.4.","probability":0.219,"base_rate":0.26,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"hit","evidence_count":49,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:39.140471+00","correction":null},{"id":"1989","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"VE","claim":"VES depreciates 7.83% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 813.736.","probability":0.158,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"miss","evidence_count":440,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:39.127904+00","correction":null},{"id":"1988","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UZ","claim":"UZS depreciates 1.52% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 11799.5.","probability":0.201,"base_rate":0.26,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"miss","evidence_count":71,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:39.117403+00","correction":null},{"id":"1987","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UG","claim":"UGX depreciates 1.29% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3759.00.","probability":0.257,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"hit","evidence_count":373,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:39.108177+00","correction":null},{"id":"1986","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UA","claim":"UAH depreciates 0.66% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 44.5589.","probability":0.188,"base_rate":0.267,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"miss","evidence_count":42,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:39.095406+00","correction":null},{"id":"1985","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TZ","claim":"TZS depreciates 0.65% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2642.88.","probability":0.28,"base_rate":0.269,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"miss","evidence_count":62,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:39.084005+00","correction":null},{"id":"1984","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TW","claim":"TWD depreciates 0.84% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 31.6318.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"miss","evidence_count":73,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:39.073146+00","correction":null},{"id":"1983","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TR","claim":"TRY depreciates 0.80% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 48.4603.","probability":0.201,"base_rate":0.244,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"miss","evidence_count":71,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:39.061161+00","correction":null},{"id":"1982","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TN","claim":"TND depreciates 0.79% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2.90864.","probability":0.189,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"hit","evidence_count":95,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:39.032396+00","correction":null},{"id":"1981","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TH","claim":"THB depreciates 1.36% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 32.9216.","probability":0.183,"base_rate":0.244,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"miss","evidence_count":132,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:39.022106+00","correction":null},{"id":"1980","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SY","claim":"SYP depreciates 4.01% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 121.693.","probability":0.284,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"miss","evidence_count":114,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:39.009127+00","correction":null},{"id":"1979","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SS","claim":"SSP depreciates 7.04% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 5651.28.","probability":0.311,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"miss","evidence_count":44,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.997032+00","correction":null},{"id":"1978","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SG","claim":"SGD depreciates 0.57% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.26710.","probability":0.157,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"hit","evidence_count":75,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.983837+00","correction":null},{"id":"1977","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SE","claim":"SEK depreciates 1.92% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.57170.","probability":0.161,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"hit","evidence_count":277,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.972013+00","correction":null},{"id":"1976","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SD","claim":"SDG depreciates 19.89% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 458.784.","probability":0.269,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"hit","evidence_count":2905,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.959137+00","correction":null},{"id":"1975","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RW","claim":"RWF depreciates 0.35% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1475.78.","probability":0.23,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"hit","evidence_count":39,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.94538+00","correction":null},{"id":"1974","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RU","claim":"RUB depreciates 3.96% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 86.0816.","probability":0.328,"base_rate":0.26,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"miss","evidence_count":39,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.934451+00","correction":null},{"id":"1973","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RO","claim":"RON depreciates 1.22% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4.52097.","probability":0.161,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"hit","evidence_count":151,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.92377+00","correction":null},{"id":"1972","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PL","claim":"PLN depreciates 1.36% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3.71400.","probability":0.192,"base_rate":0.26,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"hit","evidence_count":238,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.912149+00","correction":null},{"id":"1971","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PK","claim":"PKR 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09:45:38.875762+00","correction":null},{"id":"1968","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NZ","claim":"NZD depreciates 1.64% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.70010.","probability":0.193,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"hit","evidence_count":289,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.863615+00","correction":null},{"id":"1967","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NP","claim":"NPR depreciates 1.12% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 151.251.","probability":0.157,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"hit","evidence_count":161,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.850529+00","correction":null},{"id":"1966","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NO","claim":"NOK depreciates 1.63% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.30348.","probability":0.157,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"miss","evidence_count":127,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.837832+00","correction":null},{"id":"1965","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NG","claim":"NGN depreciates 0.85% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1321.98.","probability":0.151,"base_rate":0.237,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"hit","evidence_count":104,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.825383+00","correction":null},{"id":"1964","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MZ","claim":"MZN depreciates 0.38% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 63.6421.","probability":0.23,"base_rate":0.262,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"hit","evidence_count":74,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.811217+00","correction":null},{"id":"1963","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MY","claim":"MYR depreciates 1.28% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4.04434.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"hit","evidence_count":129,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.800989+00","correction":null},{"id":"1962","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MX","claim":"MXN depreciates 0.84% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 16.8894.","probability":0.174,"base_rate":0.26,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"hit","evidence_count":200,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.789599+00","correction":null},{"id":"1961","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MM","claim":"MMK depreciates 0.28% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2100.03.","probability":0.192,"base_rate":0.244,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"hit","evidence_count":92,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.778169+00","correction":null},{"id":"1960","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MA","claim":"MAD depreciates 0.87% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.35269.","probability":0.198,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"hit","evidence_count":197,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.766349+00","correction":null},{"id":"1959","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"LY","claim":"LYD depreciates 0.50% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 6.34599.","probability":0.202,"base_rate":0.262,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"hit","evidence_count":105,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.754897+00","correction":null},{"id":"1958","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"LK","claim":"LKR depreciates 1.56% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 327.866.","probability":0.157,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"miss","evidence_count":123,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.74359+00","correction":null},{"id":"1957","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KZ","claim":"KZT depreciates 1.60% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 455.296.","probability":0.197,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.733129+00","correction":null},{"id":"1956","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KW","claim":"KWD depreciates 0.39% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.308258.","probability":0.225,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"miss","evidence_count":31,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.720803+00","correction":null},{"id":"1955","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KR","claim":"KRW depreciates 1.64% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1346.56.","probability":0.165,"base_rate":0.26,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"hit","evidence_count":299,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.709423+00","correction":null},{"id":"1954","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KH","claim":"KHR depreciates 0.60% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4038.67.","probability":0.184,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"hit","evidence_count":120,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.696183+00","correction":null},{"id":"1953","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"JP","claim":"JPY depreciates 0.92% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 156.177.","probability":0.269,"base_rate":0.267,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"miss","evidence_count":62,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.684806+00","correction":null},{"id":"1952","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IR","claim":"IRR depreciates 13.15% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.56218e+6.","probability":0.26,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.67281+00","correction":null},{"id":"1951","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IN","claim":"INR depreciates 1.12% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 94.5473.","probability":0.165,"base_rate":0.26,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"hit","evidence_count":158,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.659952+00","correction":null},{"id":"1950","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ID","claim":"IDR depreciates 1.47% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 17655.3.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"miss","evidence_count":77,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.64781+00","correction":null},{"id":"1949","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"HU","claim":"HUF depreciates 1.94% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 312.018.","probability":0.207,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"miss","evidence_count":177,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.635251+00","correction":null},{"id":"1948","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GH","claim":"GHS depreciates 1.89% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 11.3647.","probability":0.225,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"miss","evidence_count":188,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.624616+00","correction":null},{"id":"1947","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GB","claim":"GBP depreciates 1.16% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.739722.","probability":0.228,"base_rate":0.26,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"miss","evidence_count":115,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.61329+00","correction":null},{"id":"1946","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"DE","claim":"EUR depreciates 0.86% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.861072.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"hit","evidence_count":119,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.601337+00","correction":null},{"id":"1945","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ET","claim":"ETB depreciates 1.07% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 161.367.","probability":0.174,"base_rate":0.26,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"miss","evidence_count":33,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.589448+00","correction":null},{"id":"1944","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"EG","claim":"EGP depreciates 1.63% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 50.8919.","probability":0.224,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"hit","evidence_count":255,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.57746+00","correction":null},{"id":"1943","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"DZ","claim":"DZD depreciates 0.54% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 133.204.","probability":0.184,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"hit","evidence_count":129,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.564652+00","correction":null},{"id":"1942","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CZ","claim":"CZK depreciates 0.85% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 20.8294.","probability":0.193,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"hit","evidence_count":180,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.55363+00","correction":null},{"id":"1941","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CO","claim":"COP depreciates 2.54% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3140.83.","probability":0.319,"base_rate":0.26,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"miss","evidence_count":79,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.541452+00","correction":null},{"id":"1940","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CL","claim":"CLP depreciates 2.39% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 932.979.","probability":0.21,"base_rate":0.26,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"hit","evidence_count":309,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.530108+00","correction":null},{"id":"1939","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CH","claim":"CHF depreciates 1.42% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.809887.","probability":0.22,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"hit","evidence_count":183,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.517855+00","correction":null},{"id":"1938","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CD","claim":"CDF depreciates 1.43% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2303.01.","probability":0.189,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"miss","evidence_count":115,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.504662+00","correction":null},{"id":"1937","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CA","claim":"CAD depreciates 0.97% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.38308.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"hit","evidence_count":117,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.492439+00","correction":null},{"id":"1936","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BR","claim":"BRL depreciates 2.14% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 5.12207.","probability":0.228,"base_rate":0.26,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"miss","evidence_count":56,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.476888+00","correction":null},{"id":"1935","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BD","claim":"BDT depreciates 0.28% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 122.928.","probability":0.338,"base_rate":0.26,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"hit","evidence_count":33,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.45583+00","correction":null},{"id":"1934","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AU","claim":"AUD depreciates 1.56% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.38768.","probability":0.165,"base_rate":0.26,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"miss","evidence_count":135,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.438175+00","correction":null},{"id":"1933","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AR","claim":"ARS depreciates 1.90% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1507.37.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"miss","evidence_count":51,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.415818+00","correction":null},{"id":"1932","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AO","claim":"AOA depreciates 0.71% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 921.561.","probability":0.307,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"hit","evidence_count":88,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.392534+00","correction":null},{"id":"1931","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AF","claim":"AFN depreciates 2.02% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 65.0408.","probability":0.292,"base_rate":0.26,"made_on":"2026-09-07","resolves_on":"2026-09-21","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-21 09:45:38.350515+00","correction":null},{"id":"1930","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZW","claim":"ZWL depreciates 1.95% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 26.5591.","probability":0.158,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-06","resolves_on":"2026-09-20","status":"miss","evidence_count":111,"resolved_at":"2026-09-20 09:45:39.075345+00","correction":null},{"id":"1929","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZA","claim":"ZAR 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09:45:39.04186+00","correction":null},{"id":"1926","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CM","claim":"XAF depreciates 0.87% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 564.821.","probability":0.163,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-09-06","resolves_on":"2026-09-20","status":"hit","evidence_count":117,"resolved_at":"2026-09-20 09:45:39.031354+00","correction":null},{"id":"1925","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"VN","claim":"VND depreciates 0.39% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 26006.5.","probability":0.179,"base_rate":0.223,"made_on":"2026-09-06","resolves_on":"2026-09-20","status":"hit","evidence_count":47,"resolved_at":"2026-09-20 09:45:39.021109+00","correction":null},{"id":"1924","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"VE","claim":"VES depreciates 7.83% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 813.736.","probability":0.159,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-09-06","resolves_on":"2026-09-20","status":"miss","evidence_count":440,"resolved_at":"2026-09-20 09:45:39.010038+00","correction":null},{"id":"1923","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UZ","claim":"UZS depreciates 1.53% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 11792.9.","probability":0.189,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-06","resolves_on":"2026-09-20","status":"miss","evidence_count":77,"resolved_at":"2026-09-20 09:45:38.998124+00","correction":null},{"id":"1922","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UG","claim":"UGX depreciates 1.25% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3711.34.","probability":0.258,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-06","resolves_on":"2026-09-20","status":"hit","evidence_count":506,"resolved_at":"2026-09-20 09:45:38.986561+00","correction":null},{"id":"1921","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UA","claim":"UAH depreciates 0.71% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 44.6010.","probability":0.175,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-06","resolves_on":"2026-09-20","status":"miss","evidence_count":21,"resolved_at":"2026-09-20 09:45:38.974174+00","correction":null},{"id":"1920","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TZ","claim":"TZS depreciates 0.65% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2638.74.","probability":0.267,"base_rate":0.264,"made_on":"2026-09-06","resolves_on":"2026-09-20","status":"hit","evidence_count":78,"resolved_at":"2026-09-20 09:45:38.962331+00","correction":null},{"id":"1919","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TW","claim":"TWD depreciates 0.85% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 31.6384.","probability":0.17,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-06","resolves_on":"2026-09-20","status":"miss","evidence_count":71,"resolved_at":"2026-09-20 09:45:38.950327+00","correction":null},{"id":"1918","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TR","claim":"TRY depreciates 0.80% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 48.4240.","probability":0.202,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-06","resolves_on":"2026-09-20","status":"miss","evidence_count":78,"resolved_at":"2026-09-20 09:45:38.933719+00","correction":null},{"id":"1917","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TN","claim":"TND depreciates 0.72% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2.90888.","probability":0.181,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-09-06","resolves_on":"2026-09-20","status":"hit","evidence_count":94,"resolved_at":"2026-09-20 09:45:38.921419+00","correction":null},{"id":"1916","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TH","claim":"THB depreciates 1.36% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 32.9160.","probability":0.179,"base_rate":0.238,"made_on":"2026-09-06","resolves_on":"2026-09-20","status":"miss","evidence_count":134,"resolved_at":"2026-09-20 09:45:38.909891+00","correction":null},{"id":"1915","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SY","claim":"SYP depreciates 4.01% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 121.836.","probability":0.285,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-06","resolves_on":"2026-09-20","status":"miss","evidence_count":102,"resolved_at":"2026-09-20 09:45:38.898668+00","correction":null},{"id":"1914","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SS","claim":"SSP depreciates 7.04% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 5651.32.","probability":0.312,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-06","resolves_on":"2026-09-20","status":"miss","evidence_count":44,"resolved_at":"2026-09-20 09:45:38.887295+00","correction":null},{"id":"1913","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SG","claim":"SGD depreciates 0.57% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.26671.","probability":0.158,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-06","resolves_on":"2026-09-20","status":"hit","evidence_count":78,"resolved_at":"2026-09-20 09:45:38.877256+00","correction":null},{"id":"1912","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SE","claim":"SEK depreciates 1.92% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.56503.","probability":0.163,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-09-06","resolves_on":"2026-09-20","status":"hit","evidence_count":284,"resolved_at":"2026-09-20 09:45:38.867206+00","correction":null},{"id":"1911","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SD","claim":"SDG depreciates 19.91% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 508.592.","probability":0.27,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-06","resolves_on":"2026-09-20","status":"miss","evidence_count":1641,"resolved_at":"2026-09-20 09:45:38.857261+00","correction":null},{"id":"1910","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RW","claim":"RWF depreciates 0.34% or more against USD at any 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09:45:38.759733+00","correction":null},{"id":"1901","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NO","claim":"NOK depreciates 1.63% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.30338.","probability":0.158,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-06","resolves_on":"2026-09-20","status":"miss","evidence_count":127,"resolved_at":"2026-09-20 09:45:38.749677+00","correction":null},{"id":"1900","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NG","claim":"NGN depreciates 0.85% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1323.32.","probability":0.152,"base_rate":0.238,"made_on":"2026-09-06","resolves_on":"2026-09-20","status":"hit","evidence_count":94,"resolved_at":"2026-09-20 09:45:38.738926+00","correction":null},{"id":"1899","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MZ","claim":"MZN depreciates 0.38% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 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09:45:38.606192+00","correction":null},{"id":"1887","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IR","claim":"IRR depreciates 13.31% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.52537e+6.","probability":0.257,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-06","resolves_on":"2026-09-20","status":"miss","evidence_count":241,"resolved_at":"2026-09-20 09:45:38.594804+00","correction":null},{"id":"1886","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IN","claim":"INR depreciates 1.14% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 94.5116.","probability":0.166,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-06","resolves_on":"2026-09-20","status":"hit","evidence_count":160,"resolved_at":"2026-09-20 09:45:38.583202+00","correction":null},{"id":"1885","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ID","claim":"IDR depreciates 1.48% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 17666.8.","probability":0.157,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-06","resolves_on":"2026-09-20","status":"miss","evidence_count":62,"resolved_at":"2026-09-20 09:45:38.571052+00","correction":null},{"id":"1884","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"HU","claim":"HUF depreciates 1.80% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 312.078.","probability":0.203,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-06","resolves_on":"2026-09-20","status":"miss","evidence_count":164,"resolved_at":"2026-09-20 09:45:38.559764+00","correction":null},{"id":"1883","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GH","claim":"GHS depreciates 1.85% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 11.3597.","probability":0.217,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-09-06","resolves_on":"2026-09-20","status":"hit","evidence_count":192,"resolved_at":"2026-09-20 09:45:38.548426+00","correction":null},{"id":"1882","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GB","claim":"GBP depreciates 1.16% or more against USD at any 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or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 50.9435.","probability":0.234,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-06","resolves_on":"2026-09-20","status":"hit","evidence_count":245,"resolved_at":"2026-09-20 09:45:38.502551+00","correction":null},{"id":"1878","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"DZ","claim":"DZD depreciates 0.52% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 133.336.","probability":0.181,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-09-06","resolves_on":"2026-09-20","status":"hit","evidence_count":119,"resolved_at":"2026-09-20 09:45:38.491002+00","correction":null},{"id":"1877","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CZ","claim":"CZK depreciates 0.83% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 20.8263.","probability":0.185,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-06","resolves_on":"2026-09-20","status":"hit","evidence_count":182,"resolved_at":"2026-09-20 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0.809902.","probability":0.212,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-06","resolves_on":"2026-09-20","status":"hit","evidence_count":183,"resolved_at":"2026-09-20 09:45:38.445394+00","correction":null},{"id":"1873","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CD","claim":"CDF depreciates 1.43% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2291.28.","probability":0.19,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-09-06","resolves_on":"2026-09-20","status":"hit","evidence_count":167,"resolved_at":"2026-09-20 09:45:38.435098+00","correction":null},{"id":"1872","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CA","claim":"CAD depreciates 0.98% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.38261.","probability":0.152,"base_rate":0.238,"made_on":"2026-09-06","resolves_on":"2026-09-20","status":"hit","evidence_count":120,"resolved_at":"2026-09-20 09:45:38.418246+00","correction":null},{"id":"1871","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BR","claim":"BRL depreciates 2.15% or more against USD at any 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09:45:38.321544+00","correction":null},{"id":"1865","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZW","claim":"ZWL depreciates 1.95% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 26.5591.","probability":0.159,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-09-05","resolves_on":"2026-09-19","status":"miss","evidence_count":111,"resolved_at":"2026-09-19 09:45:39.192087+00","correction":null},{"id":"1864","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZA","claim":"ZAR depreciates 1.84% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 15.9662.","probability":0.258,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-05","resolves_on":"2026-09-19","status":"hit","evidence_count":224,"resolved_at":"2026-09-19 09:45:39.181853+00","correction":null},{"id":"1863","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"YE","claim":"YER depreciates 0.29% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 236.902.","probability":0.205,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-09-05","resolves_on":"2026-09-19","status":"miss","evidence_count":14,"resolved_at":"2026-09-19 09:45:39.172466+00","correction":null},{"id":"1862","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BF","claim":"XOF depreciates 0.87% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 564.855.","probability":0.164,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-09-05","resolves_on":"2026-09-19","status":"hit","evidence_count":117,"resolved_at":"2026-09-19 09:45:39.16463+00","correction":null},{"id":"1861","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CM","claim":"XAF depreciates 0.87% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 564.855.","probability":0.164,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-09-05","resolves_on":"2026-09-19","status":"hit","evidence_count":117,"resolved_at":"2026-09-19 09:45:39.149876+00","correction":null},{"id":"1860","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"VN","claim":"VND depreciates 0.39% or more against USD at any point 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against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3716.89.","probability":0.254,"base_rate":0.242,"made_on":"2026-09-05","resolves_on":"2026-09-19","status":"hit","evidence_count":272,"resolved_at":"2026-09-19 09:45:39.108218+00","correction":null},{"id":"1856","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UA","claim":"UAH depreciates 0.71% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 44.5989.","probability":0.185,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-05","resolves_on":"2026-09-19","status":"miss","evidence_count":21,"resolved_at":"2026-09-19 09:45:39.097886+00","correction":null},{"id":"1855","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TZ","claim":"TZS depreciates 0.65% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2641.56.","probability":0.255,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-09-05","resolves_on":"2026-09-19","status":"miss","evidence_count":28,"resolved_at":"2026-09-19 09:45:39.089601+00","correction":null},{"id":"1854","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TW","claim":"TWD 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09:45:39.060027+00","correction":null},{"id":"1851","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TH","claim":"THB depreciates 1.30% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 32.9145.","probability":0.185,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-05","resolves_on":"2026-09-19","status":"hit","evidence_count":133,"resolved_at":"2026-09-19 09:45:39.046664+00","correction":null},{"id":"1850","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SY","claim":"SYP depreciates 4.01% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 121.841.","probability":0.286,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-09-05","resolves_on":"2026-09-19","status":"miss","evidence_count":10,"resolved_at":"2026-09-19 09:45:39.037936+00","correction":null},{"id":"1849","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SS","claim":"SSP depreciates 7.04% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 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09:45:38.525343+00","correction":null},{"id":"1336","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"SO","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in SO within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"unresolvable","evidence_count":null,"resolved_at":"2026-09-19 09:45:38.510533+00","correction":null},{"id":"1335","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"SD","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in SD within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"unresolvable","evidence_count":null,"resolved_at":"2026-09-19 09:45:38.488357+00","correction":null},{"id":"1330","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"NE","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in NE within 14 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455.594.","probability":0.2,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-09-04","resolves_on":"2026-09-18","status":"miss","evidence_count":4,"resolved_at":"2026-09-18 09:45:38.811074+00","correction":null},{"id":"1762","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KW","claim":"KWD depreciates 0.36% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.308482.","probability":0.215,"base_rate":0.268,"made_on":"2026-09-04","resolves_on":"2026-09-18","status":"miss","evidence_count":8,"resolved_at":"2026-09-18 09:45:38.799086+00","correction":null},{"id":"1761","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KR","claim":"KRW depreciates 1.68% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1356.73.","probability":0.164,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-09-04","resolves_on":"2026-09-18","status":"hit","evidence_count":175,"resolved_at":"2026-09-18 09:45:38.786737+00","correction":null},{"id":"1760","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KH","claim":"KHR depreciates 0.46% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4045.17.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-04","resolves_on":"2026-09-18","status":"miss","evidence_count":9,"resolved_at":"2026-09-18 09:45:38.775851+00","correction":null},{"id":"1759","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"JP","claim":"JPY depreciates 0.93% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 156.020.","probability":0.282,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-09-04","resolves_on":"2026-09-18","status":"miss","evidence_count":10,"resolved_at":"2026-09-18 09:45:38.765697+00","correction":null},{"id":"1758","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IR","claim":"IRR depreciates 13.15% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.45350e+6.","probability":0.268,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-09-04","resolves_on":"2026-09-18","status":"miss","evidence_count":748,"resolved_at":"2026-09-18 09:45:38.756502+00","correction":null},{"id":"1757","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IN","claim":"INR depreciates 1.14% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 94.5405.","probability":0.186,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-09-04","resolves_on":"2026-09-18","status":"hit","evidence_count":157,"resolved_at":"2026-09-18 09:45:38.746444+00","correction":null},{"id":"1756","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ID","claim":"IDR depreciates 1.48% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 17656.6.","probability":0.159,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-09-04","resolves_on":"2026-09-18","status":"miss","evidence_count":48,"resolved_at":"2026-09-18 09:45:38.737037+00","correction":null},{"id":"1755","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"HU","claim":"HUF depreciates 1.79% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 313.535.","probability":0.206,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-04","resolves_on":"2026-09-18","status":"miss","evidence_count":117,"resolved_at":"2026-09-18 09:45:38.727019+00","correction":null},{"id":"1754","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GH","claim":"GHS 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133.301.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-04","resolves_on":"2026-09-18","status":"miss","evidence_count":38,"resolved_at":"2026-09-18 09:45:38.665261+00","correction":null},{"id":"1748","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CZ","claim":"CZK depreciates 0.81% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 20.8269.","probability":0.169,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-04","resolves_on":"2026-09-18","status":"hit","evidence_count":171,"resolved_at":"2026-09-18 09:45:38.656349+00","correction":null},{"id":"1747","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CO","claim":"COP depreciates 2.54% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3154.72.","probability":0.295,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-09-04","resolves_on":"2026-09-18","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-18 09:45:38.64628+00","correction":null},{"id":"1746","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CL","claim":"CLP depreciates 2.39% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 936.834.","probability":0.2,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-09-04","resolves_on":"2026-09-18","status":"miss","evidence_count":217,"resolved_at":"2026-09-18 09:45:38.637201+00","correction":null},{"id":"1745","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CH","claim":"CHF depreciates 1.39% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.808206.","probability":0.192,"base_rate":0.244,"made_on":"2026-09-04","resolves_on":"2026-09-18","status":"hit","evidence_count":204,"resolved_at":"2026-09-18 09:45:38.62907+00","correction":null},{"id":"1744","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CD","claim":"CDF depreciates 1.41% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2290.23.","probability":0.178,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-04","resolves_on":"2026-09-18","status":"miss","evidence_count":89,"resolved_at":"2026-09-18 09:45:38.617404+00","correction":null},{"id":"1743","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CA","claim":"CAD depreciates 0.98% or more 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63.7490.","probability":0.207,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-03","resolves_on":"2026-09-17","status":"miss","evidence_count":17,"resolved_at":"2026-09-17 09:45:39.048036+00","correction":null},{"id":"1705","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MY","claim":"MYR depreciates 1.38% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4.04324.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-09-03","resolves_on":"2026-09-17","status":"miss","evidence_count":108,"resolved_at":"2026-09-17 09:45:39.038257+00","correction":null},{"id":"1704","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MX","claim":"MXN depreciates 0.85% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 16.9910.","probability":0.174,"base_rate":0.26,"made_on":"2026-09-03","resolves_on":"2026-09-17","status":"hit","evidence_count":119,"resolved_at":"2026-09-17 09:45:39.027294+00","correction":null},{"id":"1703","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MM","claim":"MMK depreciates 0.26% or more against USD at any point 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against USD at any point within 14 days, from 449.295.","probability":0.261,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-02","resolves_on":"2026-09-16","status":"hit","evidence_count":2118,"resolved_at":"2026-09-16 09:45:39.287797+00","correction":null},{"id":"1652","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RW","claim":"RWF depreciates 0.34% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1475.35.","probability":0.212,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-02","resolves_on":"2026-09-16","status":"miss","evidence_count":9,"resolved_at":"2026-09-16 09:45:39.276934+00","correction":null},{"id":"1651","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RU","claim":"RUB depreciates 3.94% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 86.7935.","probability":0.293,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-02","resolves_on":"2026-09-16","status":"miss","evidence_count":19,"resolved_at":"2026-09-16 09:45:39.264996+00","correction":null},{"id":"1650","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RO","claim":"RON 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09:45:39.230381+00","correction":null},{"id":"1647","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PH","claim":"PHP depreciates 1.44% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 62.5025.","probability":0.22,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-02","resolves_on":"2026-09-16","status":"miss","evidence_count":65,"resolved_at":"2026-09-16 09:45:39.220084+00","correction":null},{"id":"1646","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PE","claim":"PEN depreciates 0.70% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3.36368.","probability":0.161,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-02","resolves_on":"2026-09-16","status":"miss","evidence_count":12,"resolved_at":"2026-09-16 09:45:39.21102+00","correction":null},{"id":"1645","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NZ","claim":"NZD depreciates 1.36% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 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09:45:39.069747+00","correction":null},{"id":"1633","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KW","claim":"KWD depreciates 0.37% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.308894.","probability":0.199,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-09-02","resolves_on":"2026-09-16","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-16 09:45:39.058891+00","correction":null},{"id":"1632","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KR","claim":"KRW depreciates 1.69% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1373.78.","probability":0.161,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-02","resolves_on":"2026-09-16","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-16 09:45:39.047659+00","correction":null},{"id":"1631","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KH","claim":"KHR depreciates 0.52% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4041.53.","probability":0.163,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-09-02","resolves_on":"2026-09-16","status":"miss","evidence_count":18,"resolved_at":"2026-09-16 09:45:39.037664+00","correction":null},{"id":"1630","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"JP","claim":"JPY depreciates 0.93% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 160.114.","probability":0.271,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-02","resolves_on":"2026-09-16","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-16 09:45:39.024766+00","correction":null},{"id":"1629","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IR","claim":"IRR depreciates 12.61% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.34194e+6.","probability":0.271,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-02","resolves_on":"2026-09-16","status":"hit","evidence_count":1641,"resolved_at":"2026-09-16 09:45:39.005381+00","correction":null},{"id":"1628","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IN","claim":"INR depreciates 1.14% or more against USD at any 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more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 11.2662.","probability":0.195,"base_rate":0.264,"made_on":"2026-09-02","resolves_on":"2026-09-16","status":"hit","evidence_count":205,"resolved_at":"2026-09-16 09:45:38.959762+00","correction":null},{"id":"1624","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GB","claim":"GBP depreciates 1.16% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.739407.","probability":0.207,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-02","resolves_on":"2026-09-16","status":"miss","evidence_count":36,"resolved_at":"2026-09-16 09:45:38.948563+00","correction":null},{"id":"1623","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"DE","claim":"EUR depreciates 0.87% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.862503.","probability":0.161,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-02","resolves_on":"2026-09-16","status":"miss","evidence_count":49,"resolved_at":"2026-09-16 09:45:38.93795+00","correction":null},{"id":"1622","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ET","claim":"ETB depreciates 1.11% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 161.438.","probability":0.157,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-02","resolves_on":"2026-09-16","status":"miss","evidence_count":60,"resolved_at":"2026-09-16 09:45:38.92339+00","correction":null},{"id":"1621","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"EG","claim":"EGP depreciates 1.90% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 50.9242.","probability":0.261,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-09-02","resolves_on":"2026-09-16","status":"hit","evidence_count":224,"resolved_at":"2026-09-16 09:45:38.912709+00","correction":null},{"id":"1620","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"DZ","claim":"DZD depreciates 0.52% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 133.370.","probability":0.158,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-02","resolves_on":"2026-09-16","status":"miss","evidence_count":21,"resolved_at":"2026-09-16 09:45:38.900878+00","correction":null},{"id":"1619","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CZ","claim":"CZK depreciates 0.81% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 20.8562.","probability":0.158,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-02","resolves_on":"2026-09-16","status":"hit","evidence_count":98,"resolved_at":"2026-09-16 09:45:38.890034+00","correction":null},{"id":"1618","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CO","claim":"COP depreciates 2.50% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3212.46.","probability":0.275,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-09-02","resolves_on":"2026-09-16","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-16 09:45:38.88091+00","correction":null},{"id":"1617","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CL","claim":"CLP depreciates 2.49% or more against USD at any point 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09:45:38.446191+00","correction":null},{"id":"1607","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZW","claim":"ZWL depreciates 1.97% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 26.6663.","probability":0.145,"base_rate":0.226,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":71,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:39.382703+00","correction":null},{"id":"1606","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZA","claim":"ZAR depreciates 1.90% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 16.1152.","probability":0.276,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":84,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:39.37441+00","correction":null},{"id":"1605","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"YE","claim":"YER depreciates 0.29% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 236.711.","probability":0.214,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":22,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:39.363346+00","correction":null},{"id":"1604","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BF","claim":"XOF depreciates 0.87% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 565.055.","probability":0.169,"base_rate":0.266,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":46,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:39.353245+00","correction":null},{"id":"1603","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CM","claim":"XAF depreciates 0.87% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 565.055.","probability":0.169,"base_rate":0.266,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":46,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:39.343788+00","correction":null},{"id":"1602","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"VN","claim":"VND depreciates 0.39% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 26010.6.","probability":0.171,"base_rate":0.224,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":6,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:39.334065+00","correction":null},{"id":"1601","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"VE","claim":"VES depreciates 7.88% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 798.326.","probability":0.165,"base_rate":0.261,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":550,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:39.324785+00","correction":null},{"id":"1600","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UZ","claim":"UZS depreciates 1.53% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 11817.0.","probability":0.217,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":2,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:39.31616+00","correction":null},{"id":"1599","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UG","claim":"UGX depreciates 1.24% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3714.44.","probability":0.268,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"hit","evidence_count":279,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:39.30713+00","correction":null},{"id":"1598","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UA","claim":"UAH depreciates 0.71% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 44.5787.","probability":0.212,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":37,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:39.296725+00","correction":null},{"id":"1597","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TZ","claim":"TZS depreciates 0.65% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2641.87.","probability":0.246,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":26,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:39.287461+00","correction":null},{"id":"1596","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TW","claim":"TWD 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09:45:39.256322+00","correction":null},{"id":"1593","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TH","claim":"THB depreciates 1.30% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 33.1634.","probability":0.185,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":29,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:39.24686+00","correction":null},{"id":"1592","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SY","claim":"SYP depreciates 3.83% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 121.720.","probability":0.259,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":20,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:39.235652+00","correction":null},{"id":"1591","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SS","claim":"SSP depreciates 7.04% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 5844.28.","probability":0.305,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":11,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:39.225668+00","correction":null},{"id":"1590","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SG","claim":"SGD depreciates 0.57% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.27174.","probability":0.164,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":10,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:39.213848+00","correction":null},{"id":"1589","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SE","claim":"SEK depreciates 1.92% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.58069.","probability":0.169,"base_rate":0.266,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":186,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:39.203116+00","correction":null},{"id":"1588","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SD","claim":"SDG depreciates 19.91% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 454.132.","probability":0.272,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":1989,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:39.192478+00","correction":null},{"id":"1587","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RW","claim":"RWF depreciates 0.34% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1477.08.","probability":0.214,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:39.181789+00","correction":null},{"id":"1586","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RU","claim":"RUB depreciates 3.94% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 86.4095.","probability":0.294,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":64,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:39.169553+00","correction":null},{"id":"1585","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RO","claim":"RON depreciates 1.26% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4.53357.","probability":0.164,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":39,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:39.156323+00","correction":null},{"id":"1584","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PL","claim":"PLN depreciates 1.34% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3.72952.","probability":0.158,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":77,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:39.147117+00","correction":null},{"id":"1583","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PK","claim":"PKR depreciates 0.25% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 277.701.","probability":0.163,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":6,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:39.136286+00","correction":null},{"id":"1582","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PH","claim":"PHP 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09:45:39.107417+00","correction":null},{"id":"1579","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NP","claim":"NPR depreciates 1.14% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 152.335.","probability":0.205,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":47,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:39.098142+00","correction":null},{"id":"1578","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NO","claim":"NOK depreciates 1.64% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.34210.","probability":0.159,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:39.086118+00","correction":null},{"id":"1577","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NG","claim":"NGN depreciates 0.85% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1337.73.","probability":0.167,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:39.075681+00","correction":null},{"id":"1576","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MZ","claim":"MZN depreciates 0.38% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 63.5953.","probability":0.209,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"hit","evidence_count":41,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:39.063888+00","correction":null},{"id":"1575","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MY","claim":"MYR depreciates 1.44% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4.02721.","probability":0.158,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":122,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:39.05324+00","correction":null},{"id":"1574","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MX","claim":"MXN depreciates 0.85% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 17.0077.","probability":0.177,"base_rate":0.264,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":67,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:39.044038+00","correction":null},{"id":"1573","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MM","claim":"MMK depreciates 0.26% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2101.59.","probability":0.167,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":1,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:39.035745+00","correction":null},{"id":"1572","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MA","claim":"MAD depreciates 0.79% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.29276.","probability":0.164,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"hit","evidence_count":178,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:39.026097+00","correction":null},{"id":"1571","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"LY","claim":"LYD depreciates 0.50% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 6.33761.","probability":0.182,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":24,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:39.015905+00","correction":null},{"id":"1570","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"LK","claim":"LKR depreciates 1.57% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 327.840.","probability":0.164,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":23,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:39.005311+00","correction":null},{"id":"1569","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KZ","claim":"KZT depreciates 1.87% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 461.733.","probability":0.176,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:38.99461+00","correction":null},{"id":"1568","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KW","claim":"KWD 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09:45:38.965088+00","correction":null},{"id":"1565","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"JP","claim":"JPY depreciates 0.93% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 159.788.","probability":0.272,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":20,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:38.955307+00","correction":null},{"id":"1564","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IR","claim":"IRR depreciates 12.60% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.46882e+6.","probability":0.258,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":636,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:38.945486+00","correction":null},{"id":"1563","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IN","claim":"INR depreciates 1.14% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 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more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 162.264.","probability":0.167,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":9,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:38.865358+00","correction":null},{"id":"1556","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"EG","claim":"EGP depreciates 1.90% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 50.8706.","probability":0.272,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":188,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:38.854493+00","correction":null},{"id":"1555","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"DZ","claim":"DZD depreciates 0.52% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 133.342.","probability":0.159,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":6,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:38.843875+00","correction":null},{"id":"1554","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CZ","claim":"CZK 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09:45:38.810469+00","correction":null},{"id":"1551","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CH","claim":"CHF depreciates 1.39% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.808631.","probability":0.182,"base_rate":0.242,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":109,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:38.800008+00","correction":null},{"id":"1550","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CD","claim":"CDF depreciates 1.43% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2292.04.","probability":0.182,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":61,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:38.788824+00","correction":null},{"id":"1549","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CA","claim":"CAD depreciates 0.98% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.38630.","probability":0.158,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":26,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:38.777223+00","correction":null},{"id":"1548","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BR","claim":"BRL depreciates 2.15% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 5.17940.","probability":0.226,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:38.767064+00","correction":null},{"id":"1547","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BD","claim":"BDT depreciates 0.26% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 123.130.","probability":0.341,"base_rate":0.28,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":17,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:38.757957+00","correction":null},{"id":"1546","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AU","claim":"AUD depreciates 1.63% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.39586.","probability":0.158,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":41,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:38.747404+00","correction":null},{"id":"1545","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AR","claim":"ARS depreciates 2.08% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1509.47.","probability":0.163,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":37,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:38.73708+00","correction":null},{"id":"1544","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AO","claim":"AOA depreciates 0.68% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 927.949.","probability":0.282,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":43,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:38.726087+00","correction":null},{"id":"1543","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AF","claim":"AFN depreciates 2.00% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 64.8992.","probability":0.258,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-09-01","resolves_on":"2026-09-15","status":"miss","evidence_count":36,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:38.71376+00","correction":null},{"id":"922","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"TD","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in TD within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"unresolvable","evidence_count":null,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:38.427216+00","correction":null},{"id":"920","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"SS","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in SS within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"unresolvable","evidence_count":null,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:38.408283+00","correction":null},{"id":"919","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"SO","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in SO within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"unresolvable","evidence_count":null,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:38.390559+00","correction":null},{"id":"918","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"SD","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in SD within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"unresolvable","evidence_count":null,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:38.369889+00","correction":null},{"id":"911","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"ML","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in ML within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"unresolvable","evidence_count":null,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:38.347567+00","correction":null},{"id":"898","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"CF","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in CF within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"unresolvable","evidence_count":null,"resolved_at":"2026-09-15 09:45:38.317596+00","correction":null},{"id":"1514","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NP","claim":"NPR depreciates 1.14% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 152.928.","probability":0.206,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-31","resolves_on":"2026-09-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":7,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:40.426421+00","correction":null},{"id":"1513","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NO","claim":"NOK depreciates 1.64% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.36038.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-31","resolves_on":"2026-09-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:40.416329+00","correction":null},{"id":"1512","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NG","claim":"NGN depreciates 0.85% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1338.83.","probability":0.177,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-31","resolves_on":"2026-09-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:40.405398+00","correction":null},{"id":"1511","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MZ","claim":"MZN depreciates 0.38% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 63.6525.","probability":0.211,"base_rate":0.26,"made_on":"2026-08-31","resolves_on":"2026-09-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":32,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:40.394826+00","correction":null},{"id":"1510","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MY","claim":"MYR depreciates 1.44% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4.02588.","probability":0.159,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-31","resolves_on":"2026-09-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":110,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:40.385798+00","correction":null},{"id":"1509","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MX","claim":"MXN depreciates 0.85% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 17.0308.","probability":0.187,"base_rate":0.266,"made_on":"2026-08-31","resolves_on":"2026-09-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:40.37609+00","correction":null},{"id":"1508","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MM","claim":"MMK depreciates 0.26% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2100.76.","probability":0.168,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-31","resolves_on":"2026-09-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":5,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:40.366369+00","correction":null},{"id":"1507","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MA","claim":"MAD 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09:45:40.333692+00","correction":null},{"id":"1504","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KZ","claim":"KZT depreciates 1.87% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 464.019.","probability":0.177,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-31","resolves_on":"2026-09-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:40.323802+00","correction":null},{"id":"1503","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KW","claim":"KWD depreciates 0.37% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.308224.","probability":0.202,"base_rate":0.26,"made_on":"2026-08-31","resolves_on":"2026-09-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":22,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:40.314033+00","correction":null},{"id":"1502","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KR","claim":"KRW depreciates 1.69% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1376.60.","probability":0.164,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-08-31","resolves_on":"2026-09-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:40.304968+00","correction":null},{"id":"1501","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KH","claim":"KHR depreciates 0.52% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4041.90.","probability":0.183,"base_rate":0.26,"made_on":"2026-08-31","resolves_on":"2026-09-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":17,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:40.294227+00","correction":null},{"id":"1500","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"JP","claim":"JPY depreciates 0.93% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 160.045.","probability":0.273,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-08-31","resolves_on":"2026-09-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":4,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:40.283978+00","correction":null},{"id":"1499","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IR","claim":"IRR depreciates 11.85% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.57284e+6.","probability":0.259,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-31","resolves_on":"2026-09-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:40.275069+00","correction":null},{"id":"1498","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IN","claim":"INR depreciates 1.14% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 95.5816.","probability":0.209,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-08-31","resolves_on":"2026-09-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":3,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:40.2657+00","correction":null},{"id":"1497","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ID","claim":"IDR depreciates 1.53% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 17733.6.","probability":0.164,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-08-31","resolves_on":"2026-09-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":18,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:40.254862+00","correction":null},{"id":"1496","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"HU","claim":"HUF depreciates 1.80% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 314.785.","probability":0.228,"base_rate":0.244,"made_on":"2026-08-31","resolves_on":"2026-09-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":88,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:40.243157+00","correction":null},{"id":"1495","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GH","claim":"GHS depreciates 1.77% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 11.2023.","probability":0.192,"base_rate":0.26,"made_on":"2026-08-31","resolves_on":"2026-09-14","status":"hit","evidence_count":199,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:40.232262+00","correction":null},{"id":"1494","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GB","claim":"GBP depreciates 1.16% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.738249.","probability":0.209,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-08-31","resolves_on":"2026-09-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":45,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:40.217324+00","correction":null},{"id":"1493","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"DE","claim":"EUR 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09:45:39.99796+00","correction":null},{"id":"1490","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"DZ","claim":"DZD depreciates 0.52% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 133.217.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-31","resolves_on":"2026-09-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":16,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:39.845246+00","correction":null},{"id":"1489","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CZ","claim":"CZK depreciates 0.81% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 20.8020.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-31","resolves_on":"2026-09-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":49,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:39.744282+00","correction":null},{"id":"1488","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CO","claim":"COP depreciates 1.72% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3170.24.","probability":0.268,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-31","resolves_on":"2026-09-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":133,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:39.719974+00","correction":null},{"id":"1487","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CL","claim":"CLP depreciates 2.49% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 927.578.","probability":0.2,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-08-31","resolves_on":"2026-09-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":144,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:39.69116+00","correction":null},{"id":"1486","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CH","claim":"CHF depreciates 1.39% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.808043.","probability":0.183,"base_rate":0.244,"made_on":"2026-08-31","resolves_on":"2026-09-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":106,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:39.676498+00","correction":null},{"id":"1485","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CD","claim":"CDF depreciates 1.43% or more against USD at any 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against USD at any point within 14 days, from 123.268.","probability":0.328,"base_rate":0.274,"made_on":"2026-08-31","resolves_on":"2026-09-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":5,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:39.594504+00","correction":null},{"id":"1481","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AU","claim":"AUD depreciates 1.63% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.39592.","probability":0.159,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-31","resolves_on":"2026-09-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":23,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:39.572901+00","correction":null},{"id":"1480","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AR","claim":"ARS depreciates 2.08% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1513.04.","probability":0.164,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-08-31","resolves_on":"2026-09-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":14,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:39.548304+00","correction":null},{"id":"1479","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AO","claim":"AOA 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09:45:39.494885+00","correction":null},{"id":"1541","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZA","claim":"ZAR depreciates 1.90% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 16.1311.","probability":0.286,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-31","resolves_on":"2026-09-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":34,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:39.479102+00","correction":null},{"id":"1540","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"YE","claim":"YER depreciates 0.29% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 236.646.","probability":0.224,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-31","resolves_on":"2026-09-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":24,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:39.44883+00","correction":null},{"id":"1539","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BF","claim":"XOF depreciates 0.87% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 565.531.","probability":0.17,"base_rate":0.268,"made_on":"2026-08-31","resolves_on":"2026-09-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":14,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:39.436657+00","correction":null},{"id":"1538","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CM","claim":"XAF depreciates 0.87% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 565.531.","probability":0.17,"base_rate":0.268,"made_on":"2026-08-31","resolves_on":"2026-09-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":14,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:39.420049+00","correction":null},{"id":"1537","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"VN","claim":"VND depreciates 0.39% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 26006.4.","probability":0.172,"base_rate":0.226,"made_on":"2026-08-31","resolves_on":"2026-09-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":7,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:39.40393+00","correction":null},{"id":"1536","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"VE","claim":"VES depreciates 7.88% or more against USD at any point 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against USD at any point within 14 days, from 44.5467.","probability":0.223,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-31","resolves_on":"2026-09-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":44,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:39.274745+00","correction":null},{"id":"1532","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TZ","claim":"TZS depreciates 0.65% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2645.59.","probability":0.247,"base_rate":0.26,"made_on":"2026-08-31","resolves_on":"2026-09-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":12,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:39.194154+00","correction":null},{"id":"1531","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TW","claim":"TWD depreciates 0.86% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 31.6493.","probability":0.214,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-31","resolves_on":"2026-09-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":34,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:39.14822+00","correction":null},{"id":"1530","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TR","claim":"TRY 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09:45:39.020635+00","correction":null},{"id":"1527","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SY","claim":"SYP depreciates 3.45% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 121.688.","probability":0.265,"base_rate":0.26,"made_on":"2026-08-31","resolves_on":"2026-09-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":23,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:39.004174+00","correction":null},{"id":"1526","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SS","claim":"SSP depreciates 7.04% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 5771.79.","probability":0.306,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-31","resolves_on":"2026-09-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":137,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:38.989141+00","correction":null},{"id":"1525","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SG","claim":"SGD depreciates 0.57% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.27383.","probability":0.165,"base_rate":0.26,"made_on":"2026-08-31","resolves_on":"2026-09-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:38.968347+00","correction":null},{"id":"1524","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SE","claim":"SEK depreciates 1.92% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.59610.","probability":0.17,"base_rate":0.268,"made_on":"2026-08-31","resolves_on":"2026-09-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":108,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:38.958165+00","correction":null},{"id":"1523","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SD","claim":"SDG depreciates 19.89% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 458.597.","probability":0.259,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-31","resolves_on":"2026-09-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":1872,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:38.949002+00","correction":null},{"id":"1522","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RW","claim":"RWF depreciates 0.34% or more against USD at any 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more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3.74298.","probability":0.168,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-31","resolves_on":"2026-09-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:38.909372+00","correction":null},{"id":"1518","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PK","claim":"PKR depreciates 0.25% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 277.820.","probability":0.164,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-08-31","resolves_on":"2026-09-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":2,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:38.898876+00","correction":null},{"id":"1517","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PH","claim":"PHP depreciates 1.42% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 62.3694.","probability":0.223,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-31","resolves_on":"2026-09-14","status":"miss","evidence_count":59,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:38.889825+00","correction":null},{"id":"1516","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PE","claim":"PEN 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09:45:38.508879+00","correction":null},{"id":"267","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"ML","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in ML within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"unresolvable","evidence_count":null,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:38.493938+00","correction":null},{"id":"274","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"SD","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in SD within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"unresolvable","evidence_count":null,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:38.475659+00","correction":null},{"id":"275","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"SO","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in SO within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"unresolvable","evidence_count":null,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:38.455412+00","correction":null},{"id":"276","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"SS","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in SS within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"unresolvable","evidence_count":null,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:38.428943+00","correction":null},{"id":"278","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"TD","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in TD within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"unresolvable","evidence_count":null,"resolved_at":"2026-09-14 09:45:38.389724+00","correction":null},{"id":"1456","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RU","claim":"RUB depreciates 3.94% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 85.9095.","probability":0.297,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-30","resolves_on":"2026-09-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":122,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:39.773062+00","correction":null},{"id":"1455","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RO","claim":"RON depreciates 1.27% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4.51674.","probability":0.157,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-08-30","resolves_on":"2026-09-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":44,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:39.76343+00","correction":null},{"id":"1454","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PL","claim":"PLN depreciates 1.34% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3.74035.","probability":0.178,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-30","resolves_on":"2026-09-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":7,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:39.752968+00","correction":null},{"id":"1453","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PK","claim":"PKR 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09:45:39.718566+00","correction":null},{"id":"1450","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NZ","claim":"NZD depreciates 1.63% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.68955.","probability":0.157,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-08-30","resolves_on":"2026-09-13","status":"hit","evidence_count":186,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:39.704655+00","correction":null},{"id":"1449","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NP","claim":"NPR depreciates 1.14% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 153.032.","probability":0.216,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-30","resolves_on":"2026-09-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:39.693411+00","correction":null},{"id":"1448","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NO","claim":"NOK depreciates 2.05% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.36239.","probability":0.157,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-08-30","resolves_on":"2026-09-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:39.670599+00","correction":null},{"id":"1447","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NG","claim":"NGN depreciates 0.85% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1339.05.","probability":0.188,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-30","resolves_on":"2026-09-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:39.66113+00","correction":null},{"id":"1446","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MZ","claim":"MZN depreciates 0.38% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 63.7490.","probability":0.212,"base_rate":0.262,"made_on":"2026-08-30","resolves_on":"2026-09-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":17,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:39.650178+00","correction":null},{"id":"1445","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MY","claim":"MYR depreciates 1.44% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4.02581.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-30","resolves_on":"2026-09-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":107,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:39.639603+00","correction":null},{"id":"1444","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MX","claim":"MXN depreciates 0.85% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 17.0169.","probability":0.188,"base_rate":0.268,"made_on":"2026-08-30","resolves_on":"2026-09-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":8,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:39.628576+00","correction":null},{"id":"1443","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MM","claim":"MMK depreciates 0.26% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2100.14.","probability":0.169,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-30","resolves_on":"2026-09-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":8,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:39.616509+00","correction":null},{"id":"1442","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MA","claim":"MAD depreciates 0.85% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.25070.","probability":0.157,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-08-30","resolves_on":"2026-09-13","status":"hit","evidence_count":154,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:39.604939+00","correction":null},{"id":"1441","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"LY","claim":"LYD depreciates 0.50% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 6.33608.","probability":0.185,"base_rate":0.262,"made_on":"2026-08-30","resolves_on":"2026-09-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":26,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:39.589813+00","correction":null},{"id":"1440","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"LK","claim":"LKR depreciates 1.66% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 328.313.","probability":0.152,"base_rate":0.238,"made_on":"2026-08-30","resolves_on":"2026-09-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:39.579051+00","correction":null},{"id":"1439","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KZ","claim":"KZT 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within 14 days, from 123.183.","probability":0.316,"base_rate":0.268,"made_on":"2026-08-30","resolves_on":"2026-09-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":9,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:39.329344+00","correction":null},{"id":"1416","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AU","claim":"AUD depreciates 1.63% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.39470.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-30","resolves_on":"2026-09-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":32,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:39.318167+00","correction":null},{"id":"1415","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AR","claim":"ARS depreciates 2.08% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1513.04.","probability":0.165,"base_rate":0.26,"made_on":"2026-08-30","resolves_on":"2026-09-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":14,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:39.30778+00","correction":null},{"id":"1414","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AO","claim":"AOA depreciates 0.67% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 927.291.","probability":0.28,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-30","resolves_on":"2026-09-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":50,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:39.296476+00","correction":null},{"id":"1413","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AF","claim":"AFN depreciates 1.93% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 64.6829.","probability":0.256,"base_rate":0.26,"made_on":"2026-08-30","resolves_on":"2026-09-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":69,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:39.283791+00","correction":null},{"id":"1477","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZW","claim":"ZWL depreciates 1.97% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 26.4987.","probability":0.147,"base_rate":0.23,"made_on":"2026-08-30","resolves_on":"2026-09-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":134,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:39.271647+00","correction":null},{"id":"1476","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZA","claim":"ZAR depreciates 1.90% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 16.1117.","probability":0.297,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-30","resolves_on":"2026-09-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":46,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:39.259916+00","correction":null},{"id":"1475","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"YE","claim":"YER depreciates 0.31% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 237.021.","probability":0.234,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-30","resolves_on":"2026-09-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":8,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:39.249395+00","correction":null},{"id":"1474","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BF","claim":"XOF depreciates 0.88% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 565.130.","probability":0.162,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-30","resolves_on":"2026-09-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":21,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:39.238139+00","correction":null},{"id":"1473","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CM","claim":"XAF depreciates 0.88% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 565.130.","probability":0.162,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-30","resolves_on":"2026-09-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":21,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:39.227494+00","correction":null},{"id":"1472","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"VN","claim":"VND depreciates 0.39% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 26050.9.","probability":0.173,"base_rate":0.228,"made_on":"2026-08-30","resolves_on":"2026-09-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:39.217463+00","correction":null},{"id":"1471","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"VE","claim":"VES depreciates 7.88% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 794.992.","probability":0.186,"base_rate":0.265,"made_on":"2026-08-30","resolves_on":"2026-09-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":594,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:39.209966+00","correction":null},{"id":"1470","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UZ","claim":"UZS depreciates 1.53% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 11810.7.","probability":0.238,"base_rate":0.26,"made_on":"2026-08-30","resolves_on":"2026-09-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":8,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:39.199498+00","correction":null},{"id":"1469","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UG","claim":"UGX depreciates 1.25% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3721.03.","probability":0.261,"base_rate":0.238,"made_on":"2026-08-30","resolves_on":"2026-09-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":114,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:39.188895+00","correction":null},{"id":"1468","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UA","claim":"UAH depreciates 0.71% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 44.5606.","probability":0.233,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-30","resolves_on":"2026-09-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":41,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:39.178003+00","correction":null},{"id":"1467","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TZ","claim":"TZS depreciates 0.65% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2641.21.","probability":0.248,"base_rate":0.262,"made_on":"2026-08-30","resolves_on":"2026-09-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":22,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:39.168112+00","correction":null},{"id":"1466","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TW","claim":"TWD depreciates 0.86% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 31.6623.","probability":0.224,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-30","resolves_on":"2026-09-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":30,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:39.157983+00","correction":null},{"id":"1465","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TR","claim":"TRY depreciates 0.80% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 48.2489.","probability":0.211,"base_rate":0.26,"made_on":"2026-08-30","resolves_on":"2026-09-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":73,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:39.149422+00","correction":null},{"id":"1464","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TN","claim":"TND depreciates 0.72% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2.90697.","probability":0.162,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-30","resolves_on":"2026-09-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":38,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:39.137904+00","correction":null},{"id":"1463","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TH","claim":"THB depreciates 1.30% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 33.0071.","probability":0.197,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-30","resolves_on":"2026-09-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":76,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:39.126679+00","correction":null},{"id":"1462","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SY","claim":"SYP depreciates 3.45% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 121.809.","probability":0.262,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-30","resolves_on":"2026-09-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":13,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:39.116044+00","correction":null},{"id":"1461","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SS","claim":"SSP depreciates 7.07% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 5799.23.","probability":0.307,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-30","resolves_on":"2026-09-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":89,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:39.104101+00","correction":null},{"id":"1460","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SG","claim":"SGD depreciates 0.60% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.27321.","probability":0.157,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-08-30","resolves_on":"2026-09-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":5,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:39.09297+00","correction":null},{"id":"1459","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SE","claim":"SEK depreciates 1.92% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.58007.","probability":0.171,"base_rate":0.27,"made_on":"2026-08-30","resolves_on":"2026-09-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":124,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:39.065688+00","correction":null},{"id":"1458","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SD","claim":"SDG depreciates 19.86% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 545.404.","probability":0.251,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-30","resolves_on":"2026-09-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:39.057147+00","correction":null},{"id":"1457","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RW","claim":"RWF depreciates 0.34% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1477.01.","probability":0.211,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-08-30","resolves_on":"2026-09-13","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:39.041037+00","correction":null},{"id":"1328","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"ML","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in ML within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:38.995872+00","correction":null},{"id":"120","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"SS","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in SS within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"unresolvable","evidence_count":null,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:38.616276+00","correction":null},{"id":"119","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"SO","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in SO within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"unresolvable","evidence_count":null,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:38.601378+00","correction":null},{"id":"118","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"SD","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in SD within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"unresolvable","evidence_count":null,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:38.582349+00","correction":null},{"id":"111","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"ML","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in ML within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"unresolvable","evidence_count":null,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:38.558193+00","correction":null},{"id":"98","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"CF","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in CF within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"unresolvable","evidence_count":null,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:38.518779+00","correction":null},{"id":"122","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"TD","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in TD within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"unresolvable","evidence_count":null,"resolved_at":"2026-09-13 09:45:38.470682+00","correction":null},{"id":"1350","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AR","claim":"ARS depreciates 2.08% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1513.04.","probability":0.166,"base_rate":0.262,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":14,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:40.551706+00","correction":null},{"id":"1349","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AO","claim":"AOA depreciates 0.64% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 929.672.","probability":0.281,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":24,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:40.537864+00","correction":null},{"id":"1348","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AF","claim":"AFN depreciates 1.93% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 64.8357.","probability":0.243,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":46,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:40.525266+00","correction":null},{"id":"1347","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"YE","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in YE within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:40.513193+00","correction":null},{"id":"1346","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"VN","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in VN within 14 days.","probability":0.4,"base_rate":0.4,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:40.497846+00","correction":{"cause":"ooni-hourly-bucket","corrected_status":"hit","note":"The evidence rows for this window held one hour of each day rather than the whole day, because the collector did not state a time grain to OONI. Re-fetched at day grain, the window shows 1 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"1345","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"VE","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in VE within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:40.481514+00","correction":{"cause":"final-day-unseen","corrected_status":"hit","note":"Resolved 2026-09-12 09:45Z, before OONI had stored any evidence for 2026-09-12, the last day of this call's own window. That day carries a confirmed block. On the full window the evidence now shows 1 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"1344","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"UZ","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in UZ within 14 days.","probability":0.4,"base_rate":0.4,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:40.464813+00","correction":{"cause":"ooni-hourly-bucket","corrected_status":"hit","note":"The evidence rows for this window held one hour of each day rather than the whole day, because the collector did not state a time grain to OONI. Re-fetched at day grain, the window shows 5 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"1343","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"UG","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in UG within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:40.448846+00","correction":null},{"id":"1342","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"TZ","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in TZ within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:40.430076+00","correction":null},{"id":"1341","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"TR","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in TR within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"hit","evidence_count":14,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:40.409494+00","correction":null},{"id":"1340","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"TH","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in TH within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"hit","evidence_count":2,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:40.398163+00","correction":null},{"id":"1338","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"SY","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in SY within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:40.375958+00","correction":null},{"id":"1334","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"SA","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in SA within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"hit","evidence_count":5,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:40.329867+00","correction":null},{"id":"1333","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"RU","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in RU within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"hit","evidence_count":14,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:40.31887+00","correction":null},{"id":"1332","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"PK","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in PK within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:40.304463+00","correction":null},{"id":"1331","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"NG","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in NG within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:40.281066+00","correction":null},{"id":"1329","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"MM","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in MM within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"hit","evidence_count":2,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:40.247337+00","correction":null},{"id":"1327","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"LY","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in LY within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:40.222939+00","correction":null},{"id":"1326","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"LB","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in LB within 14 days.","probability":0.3,"base_rate":0.3,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:40.207717+00","correction":null},{"id":"1325","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"KZ","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in KZ within 14 days.","probability":0.2,"base_rate":0.2,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"hit","evidence_count":1,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:40.18972+00","correction":null},{"id":"1324","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"KE","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in KE within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:40.176784+00","correction":{"cause":"ooni-hourly-bucket","corrected_status":"hit","note":"The evidence rows for this window held one hour of each day rather than the whole day, because the collector did not state a time grain to OONI. Re-fetched at day grain, the window shows 6 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"1323","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"IR","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in IR within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"hit","evidence_count":14,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:40.158193+00","correction":null},{"id":"1322","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"IQ","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in IQ within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:40.142949+00","correction":null},{"id":"1321","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"IN","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in IN within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"hit","evidence_count":13,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:40.12439+00","correction":null},{"id":"1320","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"HT","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in HT within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:40.113902+00","correction":null},{"id":"1319","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"ET","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in ET within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:40.097243+00","correction":null},{"id":"1318","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"EG","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in EG within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:40.073888+00","correction":{"cause":"final-day-unseen","corrected_status":"hit","note":"Resolved 2026-09-12 09:45Z, before OONI had stored any evidence for 2026-09-12, the last day of this call's own window. That day carries a confirmed block. On the full window the evidence now shows 15 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"1317","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"CU","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in CU within 14 days.","probability":0.2,"base_rate":0.2,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:40.048963+00","correction":{"cause":"final-day-unseen","corrected_status":"hit","note":"Resolved 2026-09-12 09:45Z, before OONI had stored any evidence for 2026-09-12, the last day of this call's own window. That day carries a confirmed block. On the full window the evidence now shows 2 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"1316","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"CN","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in CN within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"hit","evidence_count":9,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:40.028336+00","correction":null},{"id":"1314","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"CD","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in CD within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:40.000581+00","correction":null},{"id":"1313","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"BY","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in BY within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.982865+00","correction":null},{"id":"1312","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"BF","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in BF within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.936826+00","correction":null},{"id":"1311","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"BD","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in BD within 14 days.","probability":0.4,"base_rate":0.4,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.918408+00","correction":{"cause":"final-day-unseen","corrected_status":"hit","note":"Resolved 2026-09-12 09:45Z, before OONI had stored any evidence for 2026-09-12, the last day of this call's own window. That day carries a confirmed block. On the full window the evidence now shows 9 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"1310","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"AZ","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in AZ within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.898231+00","correction":null},{"id":"1309","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"AF","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in AF within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.877579+00","correction":{"cause":"final-day-unseen","corrected_status":"hit","note":"Resolved 2026-09-12 09:45Z, before OONI had stored any evidence for 2026-09-12, the last day of this call's own window. That day carries a confirmed block. On the full window the evidence now shows 4 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"1412","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZW","claim":"ZWL depreciates 1.97% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 26.4987.","probability":0.148,"base_rate":0.231,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":134,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.848631+00","correction":null},{"id":"1411","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZA","claim":"ZAR depreciates 1.92% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 16.0924.","probability":0.293,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":58,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.833852+00","correction":null},{"id":"1410","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"YE","claim":"YER depreciates 0.31% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 237.027.","probability":0.236,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":8,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.820941+00","correction":null},{"id":"1409","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BF","claim":"XOF depreciates 0.88% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 565.007.","probability":0.163,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":23,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.808092+00","correction":null},{"id":"1408","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CM","claim":"XAF depreciates 0.88% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 565.007.","probability":0.163,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":23,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.797854+00","correction":null},{"id":"1407","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"VN","claim":"VND depreciates 0.39% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 26057.0.","probability":0.174,"base_rate":0.23,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.784489+00","correction":null},{"id":"1406","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"VE","claim":"VES depreciates 7.88% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 794.992.","probability":0.197,"base_rate":0.267,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":594,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.771646+00","correction":null},{"id":"1405","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UZ","claim":"UZS depreciates 1.53% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 11810.7.","probability":0.248,"base_rate":0.262,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":8,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.755638+00","correction":null},{"id":"1404","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UG","claim":"UGX depreciates 1.25% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3725.44.","probability":0.271,"base_rate":0.24,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":102,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.73753+00","correction":null},{"id":"1403","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UA","claim":"UAH depreciates 0.73% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 44.5608.","probability":0.229,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":41,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.724174+00","correction":null},{"id":"1402","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TZ","claim":"TZS depreciates 0.65% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2642.80.","probability":0.25,"base_rate":0.264,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":11,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.71067+00","correction":null},{"id":"1401","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TW","claim":"TWD depreciates 0.86% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 31.6561.","probability":0.234,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":32,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.698858+00","correction":null},{"id":"1400","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TR","claim":"TRY depreciates 0.80% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 48.2288.","probability":0.212,"base_rate":0.262,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":78,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.687224+00","correction":null},{"id":"1399","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TN","claim":"TND depreciates 0.72% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2.90740.","probability":0.163,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":36,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.675139+00","correction":null},{"id":"1398","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TH","claim":"THB depreciates 1.36% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 33.0244.","probability":0.197,"base_rate":0.238,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":71,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.6636+00","correction":null},{"id":"1397","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SY","claim":"SYP depreciates 3.28% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 121.819.","probability":0.258,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":12,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.652698+00","correction":null},{"id":"1396","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SS","claim":"SSP depreciates 7.07% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 5804.74.","probability":0.308,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":79,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.640944+00","correction":null},{"id":"1395","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SG","claim":"SGD depreciates 0.60% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.27248.","probability":0.158,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":11,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.628325+00","correction":null},{"id":"1394","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SE","claim":"SEK depreciates 1.92% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.57366.","probability":0.173,"base_rate":0.273,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":130,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.617799+00","correction":null},{"id":"1393","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SD","claim":"SDG depreciates 19.89% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 544.852.","probability":0.248,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":10,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.606269+00","correction":null},{"id":"1392","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RW","claim":"RWF depreciates 0.34% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1477.29.","probability":0.212,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.591814+00","correction":null},{"id":"1391","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RU","claim":"RUB depreciates 3.96% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 86.0332.","probability":0.298,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":108,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.578073+00","correction":null},{"id":"1390","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RO","claim":"RON depreciates 1.27% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4.51689.","probability":0.158,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":44,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.56641+00","correction":null},{"id":"1389","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PL","claim":"PLN depreciates 1.36% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3.73591.","probability":0.189,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":19,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.552064+00","correction":null},{"id":"1388","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PK","claim":"PKR depreciates 0.25% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 277.911.","probability":0.166,"base_rate":0.262,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.540414+00","correction":null},{"id":"1387","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PH","claim":"PHP depreciates 1.38% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 62.3350.","probability":0.211,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":64,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.528309+00","correction":null},{"id":"1386","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PE","claim":"PEN depreciates 0.70% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3.35331.","probability":0.166,"base_rate":0.262,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":39,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.516047+00","correction":null},{"id":"1385","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NZ","claim":"NZD depreciates 1.63% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.68940.","probability":0.158,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"hit","evidence_count":187,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.501479+00","correction":null},{"id":"1384","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NP","claim":"NPR depreciates 1.14% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 152.854.","probability":0.226,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":12,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.489871+00","correction":null},{"id":"1383","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NO","claim":"NOK depreciates 2.05% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.35946.","probability":0.158,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":3,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.475133+00","correction":null},{"id":"1382","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NG","claim":"NGN depreciates 0.88% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1338.68.","probability":0.193,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":3,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.463237+00","correction":null},{"id":"1381","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MZ","claim":"MZN depreciates 0.38% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 63.7702.","probability":0.213,"base_rate":0.264,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":11,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.449797+00","correction":null},{"id":"1380","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MY","claim":"MYR depreciates 1.45% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4.02581.","probability":0.162,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":107,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.437417+00","correction":null},{"id":"1379","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MX","claim":"MXN depreciates 0.86% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 17.0115.","probability":0.171,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":11,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.426667+00","correction":null},{"id":"1378","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MM","claim":"MMK depreciates 0.28% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2100.19.","probability":0.161,"base_rate":0.238,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":8,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.41451+00","correction":null},{"id":"1377","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MA","claim":"MAD depreciates 0.85% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.25118.","probability":0.158,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"hit","evidence_count":147,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.402965+00","correction":null},{"id":"1376","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"LY","claim":"LYD depreciates 0.50% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 6.33606.","probability":0.186,"base_rate":0.264,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":26,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.390238+00","correction":null},{"id":"1375","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"LK","claim":"LKR depreciates 1.66% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 328.294.","probability":0.153,"base_rate":0.24,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":1,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.379996+00","correction":null},{"id":"1374","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KZ","claim":"KZT depreciates 1.88% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 464.342.","probability":0.18,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.363682+00","correction":null},{"id":"1373","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KW","claim":"KWD depreciates 0.39% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.308661.","probability":0.203,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":8,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.352205+00","correction":null},{"id":"1372","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KR","claim":"KRW depreciates 1.73% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1377.94.","probability":0.157,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.342098+00","correction":null},{"id":"1371","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KH","claim":"KHR depreciates 0.58% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4043.82.","probability":0.176,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":12,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.331516+00","correction":null},{"id":"1370","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"JP","claim":"JPY depreciates 0.94% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 159.925.","probability":0.262,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":12,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.317868+00","correction":null},{"id":"1369","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IR","claim":"IRR depreciates 11.83% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.43644e+6.","probability":0.257,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":950,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.302264+00","correction":null},{"id":"1368","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IN","claim":"INR depreciates 1.15% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 95.5339.","probability":0.225,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":12,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.290744+00","correction":null},{"id":"1367","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ID","claim":"IDR depreciates 1.55% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 17701.3.","probability":0.162,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":36,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.277171+00","correction":null},{"id":"1366","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"HU","claim":"HUF depreciates 1.80% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 314.132.","probability":0.249,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":109,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.265487+00","correction":null},{"id":"1365","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GH","claim":"GHS depreciates 1.77% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 11.2533.","probability":0.199,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":145,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.252565+00","correction":null},{"id":"1364","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GB","claim":"GBP depreciates 1.16% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.737868.","probability":0.212,"base_rate":0.262,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":50,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.239655+00","correction":null},{"id":"1363","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"DE","claim":"EUR depreciates 0.88% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.861354.","probability":0.162,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":23,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.228349+00","correction":null},{"id":"1362","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ET","claim":"ETB depreciates 1.12% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 161.156.","probability":0.18,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":77,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.217639+00","correction":null},{"id":"1361","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"EG","claim":"EGP depreciates 1.93% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 50.2526.","probability":0.284,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"hit","evidence_count":219,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.199507+00","correction":null},{"id":"1360","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"DZ","claim":"DZD depreciates 0.52% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 133.078.","probability":0.163,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":26,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.188555+00","correction":null},{"id":"1359","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CZ","claim":"CZK depreciates 0.81% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 20.7633.","probability":0.163,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":67,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.174515+00","correction":null},{"id":"1358","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CO","claim":"COP depreciates 1.72% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3107.65.","probability":0.243,"base_rate":0.238,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"hit","evidence_count":337,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.161398+00","correction":null},{"id":"1357","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CL","claim":"CLP depreciates 2.49% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 925.202.","probability":0.203,"base_rate":0.262,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":140,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.135334+00","correction":null},{"id":"1356","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CH","claim":"CHF depreciates 1.39% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.808088.","probability":0.185,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":99,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.124233+00","correction":null},{"id":"1355","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CD","claim":"CDF depreciates 1.43% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2292.08.","probability":0.186,"base_rate":0.264,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":57,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.109016+00","correction":null},{"id":"1354","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CA","claim":"CAD depreciates 0.98% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.38879.","probability":0.162,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":3,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.097995+00","correction":null},{"id":"1353","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BR","claim":"BRL depreciates 2.19% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 5.16386.","probability":0.211,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":31,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.083934+00","correction":null},{"id":"1352","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BD","claim":"BDT depreciates 0.26% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 123.208.","probability":0.303,"base_rate":0.262,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":7,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.07068+00","correction":null},{"id":"1351","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AU","claim":"AUD depreciates 1.66% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.39455.","probability":0.157,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-08-29","resolves_on":"2026-09-12","status":"miss","evidence_count":33,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:39.053027+00","correction":null},{"id":"7","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"CF","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in CF within 14 days.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-22","resolves_on":"2026-09-05","status":"unresolvable","evidence_count":null,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:38.564152+00","correction":null},{"id":"31","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"TD","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in TD within 14 days.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-22","resolves_on":"2026-09-05","status":"unresolvable","evidence_count":null,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:38.54043+00","correction":null},{"id":"29","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"SS","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in SS within 14 days.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-22","resolves_on":"2026-09-05","status":"unresolvable","evidence_count":null,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:38.516117+00","correction":null},{"id":"27","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"SD","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in SD within 14 days.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-22","resolves_on":"2026-09-05","status":"unresolvable","evidence_count":null,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:38.481125+00","correction":null},{"id":"20","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"ML","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in ML within 14 days.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-22","resolves_on":"2026-09-05","status":"unresolvable","evidence_count":null,"resolved_at":"2026-09-12 09:45:38.437652+00","correction":null},{"id":"1240","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"UZ","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in UZ within 14 days.","probability":0.4,"base_rate":0.4,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:40.079944+00","correction":{"cause":"final-day-unseen","corrected_status":"hit","note":"Resolved 2026-09-11 09:45Z, before OONI had stored any evidence for 2026-09-11, the last day of this call's own window. That day carries a confirmed block. On the full window the evidence now shows 6 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"1239","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"UG","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in UG within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:40.064533+00","correction":null},{"id":"1238","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"TZ","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in TZ within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:40.052144+00","correction":null},{"id":"1237","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"TR","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in TR within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"hit","evidence_count":14,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:40.039165+00","correction":null},{"id":"1236","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"TH","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in TH within 14 days.","probability":0.8,"base_rate":0.8,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"hit","evidence_count":3,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:40.028998+00","correction":null},{"id":"1234","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"SY","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in SY within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:40.009458+00","correction":null},{"id":"1230","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"SA","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in SA within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"hit","evidence_count":4,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.968647+00","correction":null},{"id":"1229","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"RU","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in RU within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"hit","evidence_count":14,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.95887+00","correction":null},{"id":"1228","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"PK","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in PK within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.948157+00","correction":null},{"id":"1227","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"NG","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in NG within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.933673+00","correction":null},{"id":"1225","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"MM","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in MM within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"hit","evidence_count":2,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.909875+00","correction":null},{"id":"1223","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"LY","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in LY within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.888662+00","correction":null},{"id":"1222","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"LB","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in LB within 14 days.","probability":0.3,"base_rate":0.3,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.875431+00","correction":null},{"id":"1221","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"KZ","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in KZ within 14 days.","probability":0.2,"base_rate":0.2,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"hit","evidence_count":1,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.861003+00","correction":null},{"id":"1220","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"KE","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in KE within 14 days.","probability":0.2,"base_rate":0.2,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.851451+00","correction":{"cause":"ooni-hourly-bucket","corrected_status":"hit","note":"The evidence rows for this window held one hour of each day rather than the whole day, because the collector did not state a time grain to OONI. Re-fetched at day grain, the window shows 6 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"1219","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"IR","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in IR within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"hit","evidence_count":14,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.834845+00","correction":null},{"id":"1218","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"IQ","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in IQ within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.824836+00","correction":null},{"id":"1217","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"IN","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in IN within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"hit","evidence_count":13,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.810109+00","correction":null},{"id":"1216","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"HT","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in HT within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.801682+00","correction":null},{"id":"1215","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"ET","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in ET within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.786206+00","correction":null},{"id":"1214","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"EG","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in EG within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.770348+00","correction":{"cause":"final-day-unseen","corrected_status":"hit","note":"Resolved 2026-09-11 09:45Z, before OONI had stored any evidence for 2026-09-11, the last day of this call's own window. That day carries a confirmed block. On the full window the evidence now shows 15 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"1213","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"CU","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in CU within 14 days.","probability":0.2,"base_rate":0.2,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.756166+00","correction":{"cause":"ooni-hourly-bucket","corrected_status":"hit","note":"The evidence rows for this window held one hour of each day rather than the whole day, because the collector did not state a time grain to OONI. Re-fetched at day grain, the window shows 1 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"1212","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"CN","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in CN within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"hit","evidence_count":9,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.740807+00","correction":null},{"id":"1210","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"CD","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in CD within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.722725+00","correction":null},{"id":"1209","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"BY","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in BY within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.707278+00","correction":null},{"id":"1208","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"BF","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in BF within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.691521+00","correction":null},{"id":"1207","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"BD","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in BD within 14 days.","probability":0.5,"base_rate":0.5,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.677247+00","correction":{"cause":"final-day-unseen","corrected_status":"hit","note":"Resolved 2026-09-11 09:45Z, before OONI had stored any evidence for 2026-09-11, the last day of this call's own window. That day carries a confirmed block. On the full window the evidence now shows 8 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"1206","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"AZ","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in AZ within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.662653+00","correction":null},{"id":"1205","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"AF","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in AF within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.647491+00","correction":{"cause":"ooni-hourly-bucket","corrected_status":"hit","note":"The evidence rows for this window held one hour of each day rather than the whole day, because the collector did not state a time grain to OONI. Re-fetched at day grain, the window shows 3 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"1308","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZW","claim":"ZWL depreciates 1.97% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 26.4933.","probability":0.149,"base_rate":0.233,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":136,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.63065+00","correction":null},{"id":"1307","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZA","claim":"ZAR depreciates 1.92% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 15.9889.","probability":0.294,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":123,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.61894+00","correction":null},{"id":"1306","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"YE","claim":"YER depreciates 0.31% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 236.967.","probability":0.237,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":11,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.608264+00","correction":null},{"id":"1305","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BF","claim":"XOF depreciates 0.88% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 562.999.","probability":0.164,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":59,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.596018+00","correction":null},{"id":"1304","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CM","claim":"XAF depreciates 0.88% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 562.999.","probability":0.164,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":59,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.585522+00","correction":null},{"id":"1303","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"VN","claim":"VND depreciates 0.39% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 26044.8.","probability":0.175,"base_rate":0.231,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":5,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.573887+00","correction":null},{"id":"1302","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"VE","claim":"VES depreciates 7.88% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 791.667.","probability":0.207,"base_rate":0.27,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":516,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.562182+00","correction":null},{"id":"1301","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UZ","claim":"UZS depreciates 1.53% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 11811.5.","probability":0.259,"base_rate":0.264,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":7,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.552845+00","correction":null},{"id":"1300","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UG","claim":"UGX depreciates 1.25% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3703.84.","probability":0.281,"base_rate":0.242,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"hit","evidence_count":161,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.540641+00","correction":null},{"id":"1299","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UA","claim":"UAH depreciates 0.73% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 44.5508.","probability":0.231,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":43,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.529939+00","correction":null},{"id":"1298","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TZ","claim":"TZS depreciates 0.65% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2642.50.","probability":0.251,"base_rate":0.267,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":12,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.519498+00","correction":null},{"id":"1297","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TW","claim":"TWD depreciates 0.86% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 31.6785.","probability":0.245,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":25,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.506826+00","correction":null},{"id":"1296","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TR","claim":"TRY depreciates 0.80% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 48.1625.","probability":0.213,"base_rate":0.264,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"hit","evidence_count":82,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.495903+00","correction":null},{"id":"1295","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TN","claim":"TND depreciates 0.72% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2.90409.","probability":0.164,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":48,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.48377+00","correction":null},{"id":"1294","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TH","claim":"THB depreciates 1.36% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 32.8681.","probability":0.198,"base_rate":0.24,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":119,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.474184+00","correction":null},{"id":"1293","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SY","claim":"SYP depreciates 2.91% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 121.700.","probability":0.259,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":16,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.461057+00","correction":null},{"id":"1292","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SS","claim":"SSP depreciates 7.07% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 5758.93.","probability":0.31,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":159,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.449477+00","correction":null},{"id":"1291","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SG","claim":"SGD depreciates 0.60% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.27105.","probability":0.159,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":22,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.437762+00","correction":null},{"id":"1290","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SE","claim":"SEK depreciates 1.92% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.51681.","probability":0.174,"base_rate":0.275,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":159,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.425846+00","correction":null},{"id":"1289","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SD","claim":"SDG depreciates 19.89% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 544.507.","probability":0.249,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":16,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.414944+00","correction":null},{"id":"1288","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RW","claim":"RWF depreciates 0.34% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1475.72.","probability":0.214,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":11,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.402779+00","correction":null},{"id":"1287","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RU","claim":"RUB depreciates 3.96% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 85.8724.","probability":0.299,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":127,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.390896+00","correction":null},{"id":"1286","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RO","claim":"RON 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09:45:39.360793+00","correction":null},{"id":"1283","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PH","claim":"PHP depreciates 1.26% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 61.9435.","probability":0.226,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"hit","evidence_count":128,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.350894+00","correction":null},{"id":"1282","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PE","claim":"PEN depreciates 0.70% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3.35156.","probability":0.168,"base_rate":0.264,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":44,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.34046+00","correction":null},{"id":"1281","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NZ","claim":"NZD depreciates 1.63% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.67972.","probability":0.159,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"hit","evidence_count":245,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.328787+00","correction":null},{"id":"1280","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NP","claim":"NPR depreciates 1.14% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 152.949.","probability":0.228,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":5,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.31821+00","correction":null},{"id":"1279","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NO","claim":"NOK depreciates 2.05% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.32646.","probability":0.159,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":39,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.305233+00","correction":null},{"id":"1278","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NG","claim":"NGN depreciates 0.88% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1339.96.","probability":0.203,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.294732+00","correction":null},{"id":"1277","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MZ","claim":"MZN depreciates 0.38% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 63.7590.","probability":0.215,"base_rate":0.267,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":13,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.284214+00","correction":null},{"id":"1276","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MY","claim":"MYR depreciates 1.45% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4.03112.","probability":0.163,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":94,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.271862+00","correction":null},{"id":"1275","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MX","claim":"MXN depreciates 0.86% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 16.9667.","probability":0.172,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":38,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.262062+00","correction":null},{"id":"1274","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MM","claim":"MMK depreciates 0.28% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2099.65.","probability":0.162,"base_rate":0.24,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":10,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.25092+00","correction":null},{"id":"1273","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MA","claim":"MAD depreciates 0.85% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.24833.","probability":0.159,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"hit","evidence_count":151,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.240832+00","correction":null},{"id":"1272","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"LY","claim":"LYD 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09:45:39.207726+00","correction":null},{"id":"1269","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KW","claim":"KWD depreciates 0.39% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.308462.","probability":0.205,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":14,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.197043+00","correction":null},{"id":"1268","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KR","claim":"KRW depreciates 1.73% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1381.57.","probability":0.158,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.185584+00","correction":null},{"id":"1267","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KH","claim":"KHR depreciates 0.58% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4043.79.","probability":0.177,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":13,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.174761+00","correction":null},{"id":"1266","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"JP","claim":"JPY depreciates 0.94% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 159.327.","probability":0.263,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":49,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.163271+00","correction":null},{"id":"1265","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IR","claim":"IRR depreciates 11.43% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.45511e+6.","probability":0.258,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":809,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.152229+00","correction":null},{"id":"1264","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IN","claim":"INR depreciates 1.15% or more against USD at any 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more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 11.2325.","probability":0.21,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":164,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.106275+00","correction":null},{"id":"1260","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GB","claim":"GBP depreciates 1.16% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.735818.","probability":0.213,"base_rate":0.264,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":78,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.096114+00","correction":null},{"id":"1259","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"DE","claim":"EUR depreciates 0.88% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.858266.","probability":0.163,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":59,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.085971+00","correction":null},{"id":"1258","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ET","claim":"ETB depreciates 1.12% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 161.188.","probability":0.181,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":75,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.075606+00","correction":null},{"id":"1257","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"EG","claim":"EGP depreciates 1.93% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 50.2473.","probability":0.294,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"hit","evidence_count":217,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.06119+00","correction":null},{"id":"1256","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"DZ","claim":"DZD depreciates 0.52% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 133.081.","probability":0.164,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":26,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.051268+00","correction":null},{"id":"1255","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CZ","claim":"CZK depreciates 0.81% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 20.7167.","probability":0.164,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"hit","evidence_count":82,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.03982+00","correction":null},{"id":"1254","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CO","claim":"COP depreciates 1.59% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3114.72.","probability":0.245,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"hit","evidence_count":314,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.026169+00","correction":null},{"id":"1253","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CL","claim":"CLP depreciates 2.49% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 920.112.","probability":0.204,"base_rate":0.264,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":182,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:39.009834+00","correction":null},{"id":"1252","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CH","claim":"CHF depreciates 1.39% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.804244.","probability":0.186,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":114,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:38.99963+00","correction":null},{"id":"1251","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CD","claim":"CDF depreciates 1.43% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2291.14.","probability":0.187,"base_rate":0.267,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":60,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:38.987746+00","correction":null},{"id":"1250","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CA","claim":"CAD depreciates 0.98% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.38576.","probability":0.163,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":25,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:38.973225+00","correction":null},{"id":"1249","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BR","claim":"BRL depreciates 2.19% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 5.15200.","probability":0.212,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":54,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:38.961142+00","correction":null},{"id":"1248","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BD","claim":"BDT depreciates 0.26% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 123.169.","probability":0.29,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":8,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:38.950777+00","correction":null},{"id":"1247","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AU","claim":"AUD 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09:45:38.915749+00","correction":null},{"id":"1244","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AF","claim":"AFN depreciates 1.93% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 64.9743.","probability":0.231,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":24,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:38.902874+00","correction":null},{"id":"1243","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"YE","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in YE within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:38.890512+00","correction":null},{"id":"1242","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"VN","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in VN within 14 days.","probability":0.4,"base_rate":0.4,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:38.874546+00","correction":{"cause":"ooni-hourly-bucket","corrected_status":"hit","note":"The evidence rows for this window held one hour of each day rather than the whole day, because the collector did not state a time grain to OONI. Re-fetched at day grain, the window shows 1 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"1241","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"VE","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in VE within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-28","resolves_on":"2026-09-11","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:38.860131+00","correction":null},{"id":"1127","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"SD","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in SD within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-11 09:45:38.829857+00","correction":null},{"id":"1126","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"SA","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in SA within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"hit","evidence_count":4,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:40.19591+00","correction":null},{"id":"1125","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"RU","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in RU within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"hit","evidence_count":14,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:40.183067+00","correction":null},{"id":"1124","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"PK","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in PK within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:40.170589+00","correction":null},{"id":"1123","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"NG","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in NG within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:40.152819+00","correction":null},{"id":"1121","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"MM","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in MM within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"hit","evidence_count":2,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:40.125444+00","correction":null},{"id":"1119","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"LY","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in LY within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:40.102737+00","correction":null},{"id":"1118","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"LB","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in LB within 14 days.","probability":0.3,"base_rate":0.3,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:40.083497+00","correction":null},{"id":"1117","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"KZ","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in KZ within 14 days.","probability":0.2,"base_rate":0.2,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"hit","evidence_count":1,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:40.065693+00","correction":null},{"id":"1116","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"KE","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in KE within 14 days.","probability":0.2,"base_rate":0.2,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:40.053711+00","correction":{"cause":"ooni-hourly-bucket","corrected_status":"hit","note":"The evidence rows for this window held one hour of each day rather than the whole day, because the collector did not state a time grain to OONI. Re-fetched at day grain, the window shows 7 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"1115","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"IR","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in IR within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"hit","evidence_count":14,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:40.03693+00","correction":null},{"id":"1114","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"IQ","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in IQ within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:40.02598+00","correction":null},{"id":"1113","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"IN","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in IN within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"hit","evidence_count":13,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:40.007086+00","correction":null},{"id":"1112","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"HT","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in HT within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.996612+00","correction":null},{"id":"1111","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"ET","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in ET within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.980702+00","correction":null},{"id":"1110","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"EG","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in EG within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.963098+00","correction":{"cause":"final-day-unseen","corrected_status":"hit","note":"Resolved 2026-09-10 09:45Z, before OONI had stored any evidence for 2026-09-10, the last day of this call's own window. That day carries a confirmed block. On the full window the evidence now shows 14 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"1109","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"CU","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in CU within 14 days.","probability":0.3,"base_rate":0.3,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.947946+00","correction":{"cause":"ooni-hourly-bucket","corrected_status":"hit","note":"The evidence rows for this window held one hour of each day rather than the whole day, because the collector did not state a time grain to OONI. Re-fetched at day grain, the window shows 1 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"1108","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"CN","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in CN within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"hit","evidence_count":9,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.931606+00","correction":null},{"id":"1106","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"CD","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in CD within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.910702+00","correction":null},{"id":"1105","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"BY","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in BY within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.895388+00","correction":null},{"id":"1104","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"BF","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in BF within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.877372+00","correction":null},{"id":"1103","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"BD","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in BD within 14 days.","probability":0.5,"base_rate":0.5,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.861343+00","correction":{"cause":"final-day-unseen","corrected_status":"hit","note":"Resolved 2026-09-10 09:45Z, before OONI had stored any evidence for 2026-09-10, the last day of this call's own window. That day carries a confirmed block. On the full window the evidence now shows 7 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"1102","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"AZ","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in AZ within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.846161+00","correction":null},{"id":"1101","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"AF","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in AF within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.831726+00","correction":{"cause":"ooni-hourly-bucket","corrected_status":"hit","note":"The evidence rows for this window held one hour of each day rather than the whole day, because the collector did not state a time grain to OONI. Re-fetched at day grain, the window shows 3 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"1204","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZW","claim":"ZWL depreciates 1.97% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 26.6291.","probability":0.15,"base_rate":0.235,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":85,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.814636+00","correction":null},{"id":"1203","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZA","claim":"ZAR depreciates 1.92% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 15.9479.","probability":0.295,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":130,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.803106+00","correction":null},{"id":"1202","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"YE","claim":"YER depreciates 0.31% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 237.073.","probability":0.238,"base_rate":0.261,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.793309+00","correction":null},{"id":"1201","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BF","claim":"XOF depreciates 0.88% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 562.682.","probability":0.165,"base_rate":0.261,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":65,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.783312+00","correction":null},{"id":"1200","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CM","claim":"XAF depreciates 0.88% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 562.682.","probability":0.165,"base_rate":0.261,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":65,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.773154+00","correction":null},{"id":"1199","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"VN","claim":"VND depreciates 0.39% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 26062.2.","probability":0.162,"base_rate":0.225,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.761298+00","correction":null},{"id":"1198","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"VE","claim":"VES depreciates 7.88% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 791.325.","probability":0.218,"base_rate":0.272,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":460,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.750515+00","correction":null},{"id":"1197","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UZ","claim":"UZS depreciates 1.53% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 11818.7.","probability":0.269,"base_rate":0.267,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":1,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.737835+00","correction":null},{"id":"1196","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UG","claim":"UGX depreciates 1.25% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3709.30.","probability":0.283,"base_rate":0.244,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"hit","evidence_count":134,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.727728+00","correction":null},{"id":"1195","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UA","claim":"UAH depreciates 0.73% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 44.5672.","probability":0.232,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":39,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.714396+00","correction":null},{"id":"1194","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TZ","claim":"TZS depreciates 0.65% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2644.38.","probability":0.252,"base_rate":0.269,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":5,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.703978+00","correction":null},{"id":"1193","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TW","claim":"TWD depreciates 0.86% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 31.8260.","probability":0.255,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.691713+00","correction":null},{"id":"1192","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TR","claim":"TRY depreciates 0.80% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 48.1525.","probability":0.215,"base_rate":0.267,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":75,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.681668+00","correction":null},{"id":"1191","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TN","claim":"TND depreciates 0.72% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2.90229.","probability":0.165,"base_rate":0.261,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":54,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.66997+00","correction":null},{"id":"1190","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TH","claim":"THB depreciates 1.36% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 32.7961.","probability":0.2,"base_rate":0.242,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"hit","evidence_count":141,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.659063+00","correction":null},{"id":"1189","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SY","claim":"SYP depreciates 2.87% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 121.822.","probability":0.265,"base_rate":0.261,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":2,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.648111+00","correction":null},{"id":"1188","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SS","claim":"SSP depreciates 7.07% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 5702.64.","probability":0.311,"base_rate":0.261,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":260,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.636124+00","correction":null},{"id":"1187","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SG","claim":"SGD depreciates 0.60% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.27093.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":23,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.622585+00","correction":null},{"id":"1186","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SE","claim":"SEK depreciates 1.92% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.52286.","probability":0.175,"base_rate":0.277,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":115,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.611972+00","correction":null},{"id":"1185","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SD","claim":"SDG depreciates 19.89% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 544.270.","probability":0.25,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":21,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.60159+00","correction":null},{"id":"1184","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RW","claim":"RWF depreciates 0.34% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1474.82.","probability":0.215,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":17,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.588374+00","correction":null},{"id":"1183","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RU","claim":"RUB depreciates 3.96% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 84.3057.","probability":0.3,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":315,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.575854+00","correction":null},{"id":"1182","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RO","claim":"RON depreciates 1.27% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4.50576.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":69,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.566565+00","correction":null},{"id":"1181","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PL","claim":"PLN depreciates 1.36% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3.69337.","probability":0.2,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":134,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.55303+00","correction":null},{"id":"1180","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PK","claim":"PKR depreciates 0.25% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 277.657.","probability":0.169,"base_rate":0.267,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":9,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.541229+00","correction":null},{"id":"1179","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PH","claim":"PHP depreciates 1.26% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 61.6697.","probability":0.228,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"hit","evidence_count":173,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.527994+00","correction":null},{"id":"1178","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PE","claim":"PEN depreciates 0.70% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3.35028.","probability":0.169,"base_rate":0.267,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":48,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.516215+00","correction":null},{"id":"1177","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NZ","claim":"NZD depreciates 1.63% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.68080.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"hit","evidence_count":179,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.503664+00","correction":null},{"id":"1176","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NP","claim":"NPR depreciates 1.14% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 152.750.","probability":0.229,"base_rate":0.261,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":18,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.491158+00","correction":null},{"id":"1175","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NO","claim":"NOK depreciates 2.05% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.34332.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":20,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.477399+00","correction":null},{"id":"1174","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NG","claim":"NGN depreciates 0.88% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1345.62.","probability":0.205,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.4666+00","correction":null},{"id":"1173","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MZ","claim":"MZN depreciates 0.38% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 63.7672.","probability":0.216,"base_rate":0.269,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":12,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.453757+00","correction":null},{"id":"1172","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MY","claim":"MYR depreciates 1.45% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4.02663.","probability":0.164,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":105,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.440766+00","correction":null},{"id":"1171","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MX","claim":"MXN depreciates 0.86% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 16.9488.","probability":0.173,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":48,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.430062+00","correction":null},{"id":"1170","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MM","claim":"MMK depreciates 0.28% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2100.20.","probability":0.163,"base_rate":0.242,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":7,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.417705+00","correction":null},{"id":"1169","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MA","claim":"MAD depreciates 0.85% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.25770.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"hit","evidence_count":140,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.407313+00","correction":null},{"id":"1168","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"LY","claim":"LYD depreciates 0.50% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 6.33603.","probability":0.189,"base_rate":0.269,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":26,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.396341+00","correction":null},{"id":"1167","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"LK","claim":"LKR depreciates 1.66% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 328.341.","probability":0.155,"base_rate":0.244,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":9,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.38459+00","correction":null},{"id":"1166","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KZ","claim":"KZT depreciates 1.88% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 459.839.","probability":0.182,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":98,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.371528+00","correction":null},{"id":"1165","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KW","claim":"KWD depreciates 0.39% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.308184.","probability":0.206,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":23,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.360223+00","correction":null},{"id":"1164","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KR","claim":"KRW depreciates 1.73% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1384.61.","probability":0.159,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.345845+00","correction":null},{"id":"1163","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KH","claim":"KHR depreciates 0.58% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4043.78.","probability":0.179,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":13,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.33377+00","correction":null},{"id":"1162","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"JP","claim":"JPY depreciates 0.94% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 159.235.","probability":0.264,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":55,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.322012+00","correction":null},{"id":"1161","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IR","claim":"IRR depreciates 10.28% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.44348e+6.","probability":0.25,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":896,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.310662+00","correction":null},{"id":"1160","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IN","claim":"INR depreciates 1.15% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 95.4659.","probability":0.228,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":19,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.297739+00","correction":null},{"id":"1159","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ID","claim":"IDR depreciates 1.55% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 17745.3.","probability":0.164,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":11,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.285957+00","correction":null},{"id":"1158","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"HU","claim":"HUF depreciates 1.80% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 310.029.","probability":0.26,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"hit","evidence_count":243,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.273684+00","correction":null},{"id":"1157","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GH","claim":"GHS depreciates 1.77% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 11.1950.","probability":0.211,"base_rate":0.261,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"hit","evidence_count":195,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.262233+00","correction":null},{"id":"1156","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GB","claim":"GBP depreciates 1.16% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.735113.","probability":0.215,"base_rate":0.267,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":88,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.249838+00","correction":null},{"id":"1155","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"DE","claim":"EUR depreciates 0.88% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.857811.","probability":0.164,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":65,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.23774+00","correction":null},{"id":"1154","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ET","claim":"ETB depreciates 1.12% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 161.307.","probability":0.182,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":68,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.228516+00","correction":null},{"id":"1153","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"EG","claim":"EGP depreciates 1.93% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 50.2322.","probability":0.305,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":193,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.21706+00","correction":null},{"id":"1152","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"DZ","claim":"DZD depreciates 0.52% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 133.029.","probability":0.165,"base_rate":0.261,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":30,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.206176+00","correction":null},{"id":"1151","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CZ","claim":"CZK depreciates 0.81% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 20.6682.","probability":0.165,"base_rate":0.261,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"hit","evidence_count":106,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.194743+00","correction":null},{"id":"1150","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CO","claim":"COP depreciates 1.49% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3092.83.","probability":0.237,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"hit","evidence_count":387,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.182593+00","correction":null},{"id":"1149","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CL","claim":"CLP depreciates 2.49% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 912.962.","probability":0.205,"base_rate":0.267,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"hit","evidence_count":261,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.170781+00","correction":null},{"id":"1148","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CH","claim":"CHF depreciates 1.39% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.805051.","probability":0.188,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":103,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.146733+00","correction":null},{"id":"1147","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CD","claim":"CDF depreciates 1.43% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2291.30.","probability":0.189,"base_rate":0.269,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":59,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.13378+00","correction":null},{"id":"1146","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CA","claim":"CAD depreciates 0.98% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.38709.","probability":0.164,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":15,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.12173+00","correction":null},{"id":"1145","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BR","claim":"BRL depreciates 2.19% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 5.15033.","probability":0.214,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":57,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.109919+00","correction":null},{"id":"1144","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BD","claim":"BDT depreciates 0.26% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 122.830.","probability":0.291,"base_rate":0.258,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"hit","evidence_count":36,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.097581+00","correction":null},{"id":"1143","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AU","claim":"AUD depreciates 1.66% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.39301.","probability":0.159,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":44,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.086601+00","correction":null},{"id":"1142","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AR","claim":"ARS depreciates 2.08% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1514.16.","probability":0.169,"base_rate":0.267,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":6,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.076504+00","correction":null},{"id":"1141","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AO","claim":"AOA depreciates 0.64% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 924.720.","probability":0.269,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"hit","evidence_count":78,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.066221+00","correction":null},{"id":"1140","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AF","claim":"AFN depreciates 1.88% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 65.1447.","probability":0.232,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.050444+00","correction":null},{"id":"1139","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"YE","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in YE within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.037068+00","correction":null},{"id":"1138","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"VN","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in VN within 14 days.","probability":0.4,"base_rate":0.4,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.02207+00","correction":{"cause":"ooni-hourly-bucket","corrected_status":"hit","note":"The evidence rows for this window held one hour of each day rather than the whole day, because the collector did not state a time grain to OONI. Re-fetched at day grain, the window shows 1 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"1137","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"VE","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in VE within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:39.002315+00","correction":null},{"id":"1136","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"UZ","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in UZ within 14 days.","probability":0.4,"base_rate":0.4,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:38.986252+00","correction":{"cause":"final-day-unseen","corrected_status":"hit","note":"Resolved 2026-09-10 09:45Z, before OONI had stored any evidence for 2026-09-10, the last day of this call's own window. That day carries a confirmed block. On the full window the evidence now shows 5 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"1135","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"UG","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in UG within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:38.97088+00","correction":null},{"id":"1134","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"TZ","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in TZ within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:38.95432+00","correction":null},{"id":"1133","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"TR","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in TR within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"hit","evidence_count":14,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:38.937109+00","correction":null},{"id":"1132","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"TH","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in TH within 14 days.","probability":0.8,"base_rate":0.8,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"hit","evidence_count":3,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:38.928191+00","correction":null},{"id":"1130","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"SY","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in SY within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-27","resolves_on":"2026-09-10","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-10 09:45:38.903505+00","correction":null},{"id":"1021","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"RU","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in RU within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"hit","evidence_count":14,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.831241+00","correction":null},{"id":"1020","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"PK","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in PK within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.822718+00","correction":null},{"id":"1019","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"NG","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in NG within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.809602+00","correction":null},{"id":"1017","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"MM","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in MM within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"hit","evidence_count":3,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.793816+00","correction":null},{"id":"1015","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"LY","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in LY within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.783219+00","correction":null},{"id":"1013","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"KZ","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in KZ within 14 days.","probability":0.2,"base_rate":0.2,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"hit","evidence_count":1,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.768108+00","correction":null},{"id":"1012","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"KE","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in KE within 14 days.","probability":0.2,"base_rate":0.2,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.758136+00","correction":{"cause":"ooni-hourly-bucket","corrected_status":"hit","note":"The evidence rows for this window held one hour of each day rather than the whole day, because the collector did not state a time grain to OONI. Re-fetched at day grain, the window shows 7 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"1011","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"IR","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in IR within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"hit","evidence_count":14,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.745072+00","correction":null},{"id":"1010","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"IQ","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in IQ within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.736071+00","correction":null},{"id":"1009","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"IN","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in IN within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"hit","evidence_count":13,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.720161+00","correction":null},{"id":"1008","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"HT","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in HT within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.709877+00","correction":null},{"id":"1007","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"ET","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in ET within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.695132+00","correction":null},{"id":"1006","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"EG","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in EG within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.680131+00","correction":{"cause":"final-day-unseen","corrected_status":"hit","note":"Resolved 2026-09-09 09:45Z, before OONI had stored any evidence for 2026-09-09, the last day of this call's own window. That day carries a confirmed block. On the full window the evidence now shows 14 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"1005","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"CU","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in CU within 14 days.","probability":0.3,"base_rate":0.3,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.66576+00","correction":{"cause":"ooni-hourly-bucket","corrected_status":"hit","note":"The evidence rows for this window held one hour of each day rather than the whole day, because the collector did not state a time grain to OONI. Re-fetched at day grain, the window shows 1 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"1002","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"CD","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in CD within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.640746+00","correction":null},{"id":"1001","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"BY","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in BY within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.625205+00","correction":null},{"id":"1000","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"BF","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in BF within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.608366+00","correction":null},{"id":"999","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"BD","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in BD within 14 days.","probability":0.5,"base_rate":0.5,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.594208+00","correction":{"cause":"final-day-unseen","corrected_status":"hit","note":"Resolved 2026-09-09 09:45Z, before OONI had stored any evidence for 2026-09-09, the last day of this call's own window. That day carries a confirmed block. On the full window the evidence now shows 7 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"998","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"AZ","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in AZ within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.580534+00","correction":null},{"id":"997","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"AF","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in AF within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.567612+00","correction":{"cause":"final-day-unseen","corrected_status":"hit","note":"Resolved 2026-09-09 09:45Z, before OONI had stored any evidence for 2026-09-09, the last day of this call's own window. That day carries a confirmed block. On the full window the evidence now shows 3 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"1004","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"CN","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in CN within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"hit","evidence_count":9,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.551968+00","correction":null},{"id":"1096","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CM","claim":"XAF depreciates 0.89% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 562.095.","probability":0.162,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":75,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.540439+00","correction":null},{"id":"1095","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"VN","claim":"VND depreciates 0.38% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 26059.9.","probability":0.193,"base_rate":0.261,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":1,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.529782+00","correction":null},{"id":"1093","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UZ","claim":"UZS depreciates 1.53% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 11802.9.","probability":0.28,"base_rate":0.269,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":14,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.52095+00","correction":null},{"id":"1092","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UG","claim":"UGX depreciates 1.25% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3697.35.","probability":0.284,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"hit","evidence_count":167,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.508016+00","correction":null},{"id":"1091","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UA","claim":"UAH depreciates 0.73% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 44.6760.","probability":0.233,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":15,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.497281+00","correction":null},{"id":"1090","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TZ","claim":"TZS depreciates 0.65% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2619.72.","probability":0.254,"base_rate":0.271,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"hit","evidence_count":99,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.486938+00","correction":null},{"id":"1089","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TW","claim":"TWD depreciates 0.86% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 31.8477.","probability":0.265,"base_rate":0.261,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.474933+00","correction":null},{"id":"1088","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TR","claim":"TRY depreciates 0.80% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 48.1083.","probability":0.216,"base_rate":0.269,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":75,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.465235+00","correction":null},{"id":"1085","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SY","claim":"SYP depreciates 2.87% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 121.695.","probability":0.262,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":12,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.453794+00","correction":null},{"id":"1084","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SS","claim":"SSP depreciates 7.07% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 5832.51.","probability":0.298,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":31,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.444852+00","correction":null},{"id":"1083","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SG","claim":"SGD depreciates 0.70% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.26961.","probability":0.162,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":33,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.429689+00","correction":null},{"id":"1082","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SE","claim":"SEK depreciates 1.93% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.47513.","probability":0.157,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":166,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.420048+00","correction":null},{"id":"1081","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SD","claim":"SDG depreciates 19.89% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 460.656.","probability":0.251,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":1840,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.410444+00","correction":null},{"id":"1077","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PL","claim":"PLN depreciates 1.36% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3.68754.","probability":0.202,"base_rate":0.261,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"hit","evidence_count":150,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.398743+00","correction":null},{"id":"1076","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PK","claim":"PKR depreciates 0.25% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 277.526.","probability":0.17,"base_rate":0.269,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":14,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.388506+00","correction":null},{"id":"1061","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KW","claim":"KWD depreciates 0.39% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.308447.","probability":0.207,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":14,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.375742+00","correction":null},{"id":"1100","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZW","claim":"ZWL depreciates 1.97% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 26.6291.","probability":0.151,"base_rate":0.237,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":85,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.364608+00","correction":null},{"id":"1099","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZA","claim":"ZAR depreciates 1.92% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 15.9415.","probability":0.297,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":134,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.352338+00","correction":null},{"id":"1098","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"YE","claim":"YER depreciates 0.32% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 237.010.","probability":0.229,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":3,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.343037+00","correction":null},{"id":"1097","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BF","claim":"XOF depreciates 0.89% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 562.095.","probability":0.162,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":75,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.333773+00","correction":null},{"id":"1094","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"VE","claim":"VES depreciates 7.88% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 787.520.","probability":0.228,"base_rate":0.274,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":414,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.324938+00","correction":null},{"id":"1087","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TN","claim":"TND depreciates 0.79% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2.89888.","probability":0.162,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":66,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.314936+00","correction":null},{"id":"1086","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TH","claim":"THB depreciates 1.36% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 32.7185.","probability":0.201,"base_rate":0.244,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"hit","evidence_count":165,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.301284+00","correction":null},{"id":"1080","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RW","claim":"RWF depreciates 0.34% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1474.34.","probability":0.216,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":20,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.2914+00","correction":null},{"id":"1079","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RU","claim":"RUB depreciates 3.96% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 84.0630.","probability":0.302,"base_rate":0.261,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":345,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.280876+00","correction":null},{"id":"1078","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RO","claim":"RON depreciates 1.30% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4.50400.","probability":0.162,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":73,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.269423+00","correction":null},{"id":"1075","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PH","claim":"PHP depreciates 1.26% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 61.6850.","probability":0.229,"base_rate":0.261,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"hit","evidence_count":170,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.258973+00","correction":null},{"id":"1074","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PE","claim":"PEN depreciates 0.70% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3.35221.","probability":0.17,"base_rate":0.269,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":42,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.250614+00","correction":null},{"id":"1073","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NZ","claim":"NZD depreciates 1.63% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.67443.","probability":0.162,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"hit","evidence_count":216,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.240242+00","correction":null},{"id":"1072","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NP","claim":"NPR depreciates 1.15% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 152.683.","probability":0.225,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":23,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.230364+00","correction":null},{"id":"1071","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NO","claim":"NOK depreciates 2.16% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.31795.","probability":0.157,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":48,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.219129+00","correction":null},{"id":"1070","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NG","claim":"NGN depreciates 0.88% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1350.75.","probability":0.206,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.20998+00","correction":null},{"id":"1069","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MZ","claim":"MZN depreciates 0.39% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 63.7163.","probability":0.184,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":16,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.199789+00","correction":null},{"id":"1068","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MY","claim":"MYR depreciates 1.45% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4.04675.","probability":0.165,"base_rate":0.261,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":36,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.190503+00","correction":null},{"id":"1067","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MX","claim":"MXN depreciates 0.86% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 16.9467.","probability":0.174,"base_rate":0.261,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":50,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.180874+00","correction":null},{"id":"1066","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MM","claim":"MMK depreciates 0.28% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2100.00.","probability":0.164,"base_rate":0.244,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":8,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.170431+00","correction":null},{"id":"1065","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MA","claim":"MAD depreciates 0.86% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.24868.","probability":0.162,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"hit","evidence_count":150,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.16079+00","correction":null},{"id":"1064","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"LY","claim":"LYD depreciates 0.50% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 6.32674.","probability":0.19,"base_rate":0.271,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":41,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.149864+00","correction":null},{"id":"1063","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"LK","claim":"LKR depreciates 1.66% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 328.459.","probability":0.157,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":5,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.140755+00","correction":null},{"id":"1062","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KZ","claim":"KZT depreciates 1.88% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 457.551.","probability":0.184,"base_rate":0.261,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":148,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.130363+00","correction":null},{"id":"1060","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KR","claim":"KRW depreciates 1.73% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1383.12.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":11,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.120162+00","correction":null},{"id":"1059","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KH","claim":"KHR depreciates 0.60% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4033.74.","probability":0.175,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":37,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.1119+00","correction":null},{"id":"1058","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"JP","claim":"JPY depreciates 0.94% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 159.247.","probability":0.265,"base_rate":0.261,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":54,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.101301+00","correction":null},{"id":"1057","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IR","claim":"IRR depreciates 10.24% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.47079e+6.","probability":0.242,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":694,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.090752+00","correction":null},{"id":"1056","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IN","claim":"INR depreciates 1.15% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 95.4276.","probability":0.229,"base_rate":0.261,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":23,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.079827+00","correction":null},{"id":"1055","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ID","claim":"IDR depreciates 1.55% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 17714.6.","probability":0.165,"base_rate":0.261,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":28,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.068303+00","correction":null},{"id":"1054","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"HU","claim":"HUF depreciates 1.94% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 309.788.","probability":0.262,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"hit","evidence_count":251,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.054166+00","correction":null},{"id":"1053","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GH","claim":"GHS depreciates 1.83% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 11.1820.","probability":0.198,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"hit","evidence_count":202,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.042228+00","correction":null},{"id":"1052","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GB","claim":"GBP depreciates 1.16% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.733061.","probability":0.216,"base_rate":0.269,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"hit","evidence_count":116,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.031724+00","correction":null},{"id":"1051","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"DE","claim":"EUR depreciates 0.88% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.856908.","probability":0.165,"base_rate":0.261,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":75,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.022725+00","correction":null},{"id":"1050","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ET","claim":"ETB depreciates 1.12% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 160.955.","probability":0.184,"base_rate":0.261,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":90,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.013392+00","correction":null},{"id":"1049","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"EG","claim":"EGP depreciates 1.93% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 50.4232.","probability":0.315,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":132,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:39.003026+00","correction":null},{"id":"1048","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"DZ","claim":"DZD depreciates 0.54% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 133.054.","probability":0.157,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":28,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:38.992553+00","correction":null},{"id":"1047","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CZ","claim":"CZK depreciates 0.83% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 20.6418.","probability":0.157,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"hit","evidence_count":119,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:38.981729+00","correction":null},{"id":"1046","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CO","claim":"COP depreciates 1.39% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3062.96.","probability":0.224,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"hit","evidence_count":488,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:38.970724+00","correction":null},{"id":"1045","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CL","claim":"CLP depreciates 2.49% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 913.136.","probability":0.207,"base_rate":0.269,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"hit","evidence_count":260,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:38.959086+00","correction":null},{"id":"1044","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CH","claim":"CHF depreciates 1.40% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.802198.","probability":0.184,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":139,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:38.932762+00","correction":null},{"id":"1043","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CD","claim":"CDF depreciates 1.44% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2291.41.","probability":0.157,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":51,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:38.91832+00","correction":null},{"id":"1042","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CA","claim":"CAD depreciates 0.98% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.38396.","probability":0.165,"base_rate":0.261,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":38,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:38.909785+00","correction":null},{"id":"1041","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BR","claim":"BRL depreciates 2.19% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 5.15450.","probability":0.215,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":49,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:38.900164+00","correction":null},{"id":"1040","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BD","claim":"BDT depreciates 0.26% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 122.568.","probability":0.293,"base_rate":0.261,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"hit","evidence_count":57,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:38.889074+00","correction":null},{"id":"1039","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AU","claim":"AUD depreciates 1.66% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.39695.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":16,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:38.88023+00","correction":null},{"id":"1038","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AR","claim":"ARS depreciates 2.08% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1511.53.","probability":0.17,"base_rate":0.269,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":17,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:38.872841+00","correction":null},{"id":"1037","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AO","claim":"AOA depreciates 0.64% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 926.236.","probability":0.266,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":61,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:38.8615+00","correction":null},{"id":"1036","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AF","claim":"AFN depreciates 1.82% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 65.0629.","probability":0.242,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":13,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:38.849845+00","correction":null},{"id":"1035","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"YE","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in YE within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:38.839845+00","correction":null},{"id":"1033","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"VE","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in VE within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:38.824319+00","correction":null},{"id":"1032","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"UZ","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in UZ within 14 days.","probability":0.4,"base_rate":0.4,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:38.808891+00","correction":{"cause":"ooni-hourly-bucket","corrected_status":"hit","note":"The evidence rows for this window held one hour of each day rather than the whole day, because the collector did not state a time grain to OONI. Re-fetched at day grain, the window shows 4 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"1026","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"SY","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in SY within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:38.793563+00","correction":null},{"id":"1014","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"LB","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in LB within 14 days.","probability":0.3,"base_rate":0.3,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:38.748501+00","correction":null},{"id":"1034","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"VN","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in VN within 14 days.","probability":0.4,"base_rate":0.4,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:38.731804+00","correction":{"cause":"ooni-hourly-bucket","corrected_status":"hit","note":"The evidence rows for this window held one hour of each day rather than the whole day, because the collector did not state a time grain to OONI. Re-fetched at day grain, the window shows 2 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"1031","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"UG","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in UG within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:38.71572+00","correction":null},{"id":"1030","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"TZ","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in TZ within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:38.702996+00","correction":null},{"id":"1029","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"TR","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in TR within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"hit","evidence_count":14,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:38.688397+00","correction":null},{"id":"1028","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"TH","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in TH within 14 days.","probability":0.8,"base_rate":0.8,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"hit","evidence_count":3,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:38.678315+00","correction":null},{"id":"1022","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"SA","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in SA within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-26","resolves_on":"2026-09-09","status":"hit","evidence_count":4,"resolved_at":"2026-09-09 09:45:38.64049+00","correction":null},{"id":"907","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"KE","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in KE within 14 days.","probability":0.2,"base_rate":0.2,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:40.282538+00","correction":{"cause":"ooni-hourly-bucket","corrected_status":"hit","note":"The evidence rows for this window held one hour of each day rather than the whole day, because the collector did not state a time grain to OONI. Re-fetched at day grain, the window shows 7 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"906","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"IR","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in IR within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"hit","evidence_count":14,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:40.265613+00","correction":null},{"id":"905","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"IQ","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in IQ within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:40.253675+00","correction":null},{"id":"904","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"IN","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in IN within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"hit","evidence_count":13,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:40.232675+00","correction":null},{"id":"903","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"HT","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in HT within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:40.219671+00","correction":null},{"id":"902","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"ET","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in ET within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:40.201961+00","correction":null},{"id":"901","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"EG","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in EG within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:40.181141+00","correction":{"cause":"final-day-unseen","corrected_status":"hit","note":"Resolved 2026-09-08 09:45Z, before OONI had stored any evidence for 2026-09-08, the last day of this call's own window. That day carries a confirmed block. On the full window the evidence now shows 13 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"900","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"CU","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in CU within 14 days.","probability":0.3,"base_rate":0.3,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:40.163002+00","correction":{"cause":"final-day-unseen","corrected_status":"hit","note":"Resolved 2026-09-08 09:45Z, before OONI had stored any evidence for 2026-09-08, the last day of this call's own window. That day carries a confirmed block. On the full window the evidence now shows 1 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"899","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"CN","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in CN within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"hit","evidence_count":9,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:40.143488+00","correction":null},{"id":"897","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"CD","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in CD within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:40.119392+00","correction":null},{"id":"896","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"BY","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in BY within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:40.103507+00","correction":null},{"id":"895","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"BF","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in BF within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:40.084925+00","correction":null},{"id":"894","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"BD","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in BD within 14 days.","probability":0.5,"base_rate":0.5,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:40.067004+00","correction":{"cause":"ooni-hourly-bucket","corrected_status":"hit","note":"The evidence rows for this window held one hour of each day rather than the whole day, because the collector did not state a time grain to OONI. Re-fetched at day grain, the window shows 6 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"893","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"AZ","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in AZ within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:40.049827+00","correction":null},{"id":"892","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"AF","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in AF within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:40.033718+00","correction":{"cause":"ooni-hourly-bucket","corrected_status":"hit","note":"The evidence rows for this window held one hour of each day rather than the whole day, because the collector did not state a time grain to OONI. Re-fetched at day grain, the window shows 2 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"986","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TZ","claim":"TZS depreciates 0.65% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2617.69.","probability":0.255,"base_rate":0.274,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"hit","evidence_count":107,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:40.014531+00","correction":null},{"id":"996","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZW","claim":"ZWL depreciates 1.97% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 26.6291.","probability":0.153,"base_rate":0.239,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":85,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:40.003197+00","correction":null},{"id":"995","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZA","claim":"ZAR depreciates 1.92% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 16.0172.","probability":0.298,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":86,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.990517+00","correction":null},{"id":"994","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"YE","claim":"YER depreciates 0.32% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 236.735.","probability":0.231,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":14,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.979056+00","correction":null},{"id":"993","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BF","claim":"XOF depreciates 0.89% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 562.302.","probability":0.163,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":71,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.966147+00","correction":null},{"id":"992","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CM","claim":"XAF depreciates 0.89% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 562.302.","probability":0.163,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":71,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.954638+00","correction":null},{"id":"991","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"VN","claim":"VND depreciates 0.38% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 26075.2.","probability":0.18,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.940932+00","correction":null},{"id":"990","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"VE","claim":"VES depreciates 7.88% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 785.069.","probability":0.239,"base_rate":0.277,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":377,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.927466+00","correction":null},{"id":"989","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UZ","claim":"UZS depreciates 1.53% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 11815.2.","probability":0.281,"base_rate":0.271,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":4,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.912007+00","correction":null},{"id":"988","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UG","claim":"UGX depreciates 1.25% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3693.88.","probability":0.285,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"hit","evidence_count":176,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.900909+00","correction":null},{"id":"987","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UA","claim":"UAH depreciates 0.74% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 44.7272.","probability":0.229,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":3,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.886134+00","correction":null},{"id":"985","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TW","claim":"TWD depreciates 0.86% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 31.8106.","probability":0.276,"base_rate":0.263,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":12,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.869986+00","correction":null},{"id":"984","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TR","claim":"TRY depreciates 0.81% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 48.0795.","probability":0.187,"base_rate":0.22,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":79,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.857627+00","correction":null},{"id":"983","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TN","claim":"TND depreciates 0.79% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2.90014.","probability":0.163,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":61,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.841772+00","correction":null},{"id":"982","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TH","claim":"THB depreciates 1.36% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 32.6961.","probability":0.202,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"hit","evidence_count":172,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.606402+00","correction":null},{"id":"981","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SY","claim":"SYP depreciates 2.86% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 121.601.","probability":0.258,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":20,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.59283+00","correction":null},{"id":"980","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SS","claim":"SSP depreciates 6.77% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 5803.25.","probability":0.299,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":82,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.580057+00","correction":null},{"id":"979","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SG","claim":"SGD depreciates 0.70% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.27033.","probability":0.163,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":28,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.56786+00","correction":null},{"id":"978","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SE","claim":"SEK depreciates 1.93% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.49491.","probability":0.158,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":145,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.557579+00","correction":null},{"id":"977","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SD","claim":"SDG depreciates 19.89% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 478.214.","probability":0.247,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":1405,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.546859+00","correction":null},{"id":"976","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RW","claim":"RWF depreciates 0.34% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1475.19.","probability":0.217,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":14,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.53294+00","correction":null},{"id":"975","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RU","claim":"RUB depreciates 3.99% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 83.4437.","probability":0.289,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"hit","evidence_count":422,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.517129+00","correction":null},{"id":"974","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RO","claim":"RON depreciates 1.30% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4.50123.","probability":0.163,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":79,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.506632+00","correction":null},{"id":"973","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PL","claim":"PLN depreciates 1.37% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3.69317.","probability":0.189,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":135,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.494447+00","correction":null},{"id":"972","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PK","claim":"PKR depreciates 0.26% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 277.775.","probability":0.151,"base_rate":0.237,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":5,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.482365+00","correction":null},{"id":"971","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PH","claim":"PHP depreciates 1.51% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 61.7531.","probability":0.206,"base_rate":0.237,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"hit","evidence_count":159,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.470332+00","correction":null},{"id":"970","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PE","claim":"PEN depreciates 0.78% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3.35186.","probability":0.157,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":43,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.457609+00","correction":null},{"id":"969","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NZ","claim":"NZD depreciates 1.63% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.67724.","probability":0.163,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"hit","evidence_count":199,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.443447+00","correction":null},{"id":"968","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NP","claim":"NPR depreciates 1.15% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 153.284.","probability":0.236,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.429919+00","correction":null},{"id":"967","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NO","claim":"NOK depreciates 2.16% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.30683.","probability":0.158,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":60,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.416821+00","correction":null},{"id":"966","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NG","claim":"NGN depreciates 0.90% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1350.47.","probability":0.207,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":2,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.405459+00","correction":null},{"id":"965","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MZ","claim":"MZN depreciates 0.39% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 63.6784.","probability":0.185,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":22,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.39231+00","correction":null},{"id":"964","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MY","claim":"MYR depreciates 1.46% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4.04229.","probability":0.162,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":11,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.378823+00","correction":null},{"id":"963","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MX","claim":"MXN depreciates 0.95% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 16.9490.","probability":0.162,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":48,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.366958+00","correction":null},{"id":"962","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MM","claim":"MMK depreciates 0.28% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2096.64.","probability":0.166,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":24,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.355644+00","correction":null},{"id":"961","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MA","claim":"MAD depreciates 0.86% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.25493.","probability":0.163,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"hit","evidence_count":143,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.34378+00","correction":null},{"id":"960","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"LY","claim":"LYD depreciates 0.50% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 6.33044.","probability":0.191,"base_rate":0.274,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":35,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.331329+00","correction":null},{"id":"959","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"LK","claim":"LKR depreciates 1.66% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 328.861.","probability":0.158,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.32093+00","correction":null},{"id":"958","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KZ","claim":"KZT depreciates 1.89% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 457.133.","probability":0.166,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":158,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.307971+00","correction":null},{"id":"957","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KW","claim":"KWD depreciates 0.39% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.308091.","probability":0.217,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":26,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.297757+00","correction":null},{"id":"956","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KR","claim":"KRW depreciates 1.73% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1383.12.","probability":0.162,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":11,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.283729+00","correction":null},{"id":"955","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KH","claim":"KHR depreciates 0.60% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4027.73.","probability":0.185,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":52,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.271023+00","correction":null},{"id":"954","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"JP","claim":"JPY depreciates 0.96% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 159.125.","probability":0.262,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":62,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.259204+00","correction":null},{"id":"953","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IR","claim":"IRR depreciates 10.24% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.46513e+6.","probability":0.229,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":735,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.245763+00","correction":null},{"id":"952","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IQ","claim":"IQD depreciates 0.25% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1307.56.","probability":0.18,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"hit","evidence_count":38,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.23267+00","correction":null},{"id":"951","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IN","claim":"INR depreciates 1.16% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 95.7989.","probability":0.22,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.220309+00","correction":null},{"id":"950","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ID","claim":"IDR depreciates 1.58% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 17738.0.","probability":0.157,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":15,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.207343+00","correction":null},{"id":"949","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"HU","claim":"HUF depreciates 1.94% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 310.920.","probability":0.263,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"hit","evidence_count":214,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.194931+00","correction":null},{"id":"948","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GH","claim":"GHS depreciates 1.83% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 11.1814.","probability":0.208,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"hit","evidence_count":200,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.181892+00","correction":null},{"id":"947","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GB","claim":"GBP depreciates 1.16% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.733476.","probability":0.217,"base_rate":0.271,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":110,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.167715+00","correction":null},{"id":"946","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"DE","claim":"EUR depreciates 0.89% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.857211.","probability":0.162,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":72,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.15413+00","correction":null},{"id":"945","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ET","claim":"ETB depreciates 1.13% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 160.938.","probability":0.18,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":91,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.134169+00","correction":null},{"id":"944","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"EG","claim":"EGP depreciates 1.94% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 50.8118.","probability":0.32,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":55,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.119861+00","correction":null},{"id":"943","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"DZ","claim":"DZD depreciates 0.54% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 132.797.","probability":0.158,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":47,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.107309+00","correction":null},{"id":"942","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CZ","claim":"CZK depreciates 0.83% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 20.6613.","probability":0.158,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"hit","evidence_count":109,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.09388+00","correction":null},{"id":"941","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CO","claim":"COP depreciates 1.39% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3042.81.","probability":0.211,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"hit","evidence_count":558,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.080659+00","correction":null},{"id":"940","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CL","claim":"CLP depreciates 2.51% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 914.773.","probability":0.198,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":241,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.067671+00","correction":null},{"id":"939","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CH","claim":"CHF depreciates 1.40% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.802299.","probability":0.185,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":138,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.052103+00","correction":null},{"id":"938","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CD","claim":"CDF depreciates 1.44% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2289.64.","probability":0.158,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":58,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.039173+00","correction":null},{"id":"937","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CA","claim":"CAD depreciates 1.01% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.38376.","probability":0.157,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":39,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.026996+00","correction":null},{"id":"936","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BR","claim":"BRL depreciates 2.24% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 5.15057.","probability":0.216,"base_rate":0.254,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":57,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.014706+00","correction":null},{"id":"935","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BD","claim":"BDT depreciates 0.26% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 122.453.","probability":0.294,"base_rate":0.263,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"hit","evidence_count":67,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:39.000666+00","correction":null},{"id":"934","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AU","claim":"AUD depreciates 1.71% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.39759.","probability":0.157,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":11,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:38.972305+00","correction":null},{"id":"933","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AR","claim":"ARS depreciates 2.08% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1506.90.","probability":0.172,"base_rate":0.271,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":48,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:38.960456+00","correction":null},{"id":"932","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AO","claim":"AOA depreciates 0.63% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 926.264.","probability":0.268,"base_rate":0.265,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":61,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:38.947417+00","correction":null},{"id":"931","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AF","claim":"AFN depreciates 1.82% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 65.0202.","probability":0.238,"base_rate":0.246,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":19,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:38.934849+00","correction":null},{"id":"930","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"YE","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in YE within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:38.921682+00","correction":null},{"id":"929","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"VN","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in VN within 14 days.","probability":0.4,"base_rate":0.4,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:38.90638+00","correction":{"cause":"ooni-hourly-bucket","corrected_status":"hit","note":"The evidence rows for this window held one hour of each day rather than the whole day, because the collector did not state a time grain to OONI. Re-fetched at day grain, the window shows 2 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"928","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"VE","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in VE within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:38.890449+00","correction":null},{"id":"927","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"UZ","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in UZ within 14 days.","probability":0.4,"base_rate":0.4,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:38.87601+00","correction":{"cause":"final-day-unseen","corrected_status":"hit","note":"Resolved 2026-09-08 09:45Z, before OONI had stored any evidence for 2026-09-08, the last day of this call's own window. That day carries a confirmed block. On the full window the evidence now shows 4 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"926","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"UG","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in UG within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:38.85944+00","correction":null},{"id":"925","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"TZ","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in TZ within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:38.844432+00","correction":null},{"id":"924","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"TR","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in TR within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"hit","evidence_count":14,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:38.824604+00","correction":null},{"id":"923","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"TH","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in TH within 14 days.","probability":0.7,"base_rate":0.7,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"hit","evidence_count":3,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:38.811469+00","correction":null},{"id":"921","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"SY","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in SY within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:38.786425+00","correction":null},{"id":"917","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"SA","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in SA within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"hit","evidence_count":4,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:38.735938+00","correction":null},{"id":"916","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"RU","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in RU within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"hit","evidence_count":14,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:38.723989+00","correction":null},{"id":"915","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"PK","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in PK within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:38.711391+00","correction":null},{"id":"914","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"NG","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in NG within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:38.693279+00","correction":null},{"id":"913","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"NE","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in NE within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:38.673968+00","correction":null},{"id":"912","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"MM","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in MM within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"hit","evidence_count":3,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:38.651942+00","correction":null},{"id":"910","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"LY","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in LY within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:38.626412+00","correction":null},{"id":"909","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"LB","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in LB within 14 days.","probability":0.3,"base_rate":0.3,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:38.609411+00","correction":null},{"id":"908","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"KZ","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in KZ within 14 days.","probability":0.2,"base_rate":0.2,"made_on":"2026-08-25","resolves_on":"2026-09-08","status":"hit","evidence_count":1,"resolved_at":"2026-09-08 09:45:38.592006+00","correction":null},{"id":"311","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KH","claim":"KHR depreciates 0.60% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4020.23.","probability":0.195,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":71,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:43.031294+00","correction":null},{"id":"297","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CO","claim":"COP depreciates 1.28% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3060.43.","probability":0.203,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":497,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:43.0208+00","correction":null},{"id":"283","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"UZ","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in UZ within 14 days.","probability":0.4,"base_rate":0.4,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:43.006469+00","correction":{"cause":"final-day-unseen","corrected_status":"hit","note":"Resolved 2026-09-07 09:45Z, before OONI had stored any evidence for 2026-09-07, the last day of this call's own window. That day carries a confirmed block. On the full window the evidence now shows 3 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"282","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"UG","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in UG within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.988967+00","correction":null},{"id":"281","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"TZ","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in TZ within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.969261+00","correction":null},{"id":"280","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"TR","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in TR within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":14,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.950097+00","correction":null},{"id":"279","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"TH","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in TH within 14 days.","probability":0.7,"base_rate":0.7,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":3,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.937718+00","correction":null},{"id":"277","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"SY","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in SY within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.91293+00","correction":null},{"id":"249","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"AZ","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in AZ within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.89496+00","correction":null},{"id":"352","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZW","claim":"ZWL depreciates 1.97% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 26.6291.","probability":0.154,"base_rate":0.241,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":64,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.87555+00","correction":null},{"id":"351","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZA","claim":"ZAR depreciates 1.92% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 16.0121.","probability":0.299,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":89,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.861195+00","correction":null},{"id":"350","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"YE","claim":"YER depreciates 0.32% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 236.549.","probability":0.232,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":22,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.847448+00","correction":null},{"id":"349","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BF","claim":"XOF depreciates 0.89% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 561.656.","probability":0.164,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":83,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.834065+00","correction":null},{"id":"348","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CM","claim":"XAF depreciates 0.89% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 561.656.","probability":0.164,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":83,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.820746+00","correction":null},{"id":"347","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"VN","claim":"VND depreciates 0.38% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 26052.8.","probability":0.181,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":9,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.806805+00","correction":null},{"id":"346","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"VE","claim":"VES depreciates 7.88% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 784.663.","probability":0.249,"base_rate":0.279,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":371,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.79553+00","correction":null},{"id":"345","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UZ","claim":"UZS depreciates 1.53% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 11765.9.","probability":0.291,"base_rate":0.274,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":46,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.781857+00","correction":null},{"id":"344","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UG","claim":"UGX depreciates 1.25% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3709.41.","probability":0.286,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":134,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.769785+00","correction":null},{"id":"338","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TH","claim":"THB depreciates 1.36% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 32.6598.","probability":0.203,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":184,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.756038+00","correction":null},{"id":"337","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SY","claim":"SYP depreciates 2.84% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 121.496.","probability":0.259,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":28,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.740105+00","correction":null},{"id":"336","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SS","claim":"SSP depreciates 5.35% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 5619.23.","probability":0.286,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":412,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.728352+00","correction":null},{"id":"335","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SG","claim":"SGD depreciates 0.70% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.26954.","probability":0.164,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":34,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.713507+00","correction":null},{"id":"334","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SE","claim":"SEK depreciates 1.93% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.47122.","probability":0.159,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":170,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.701318+00","correction":null},{"id":"333","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SD","claim":"SDG depreciates 19.86% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 505.776.","probability":0.249,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":784,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.689045+00","correction":null},{"id":"332","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RW","claim":"RWF depreciates 0.34% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1466.21.","probability":0.219,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":76,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.674006+00","correction":null},{"id":"331","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RU","claim":"RUB depreciates 3.99% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 82.8029.","probability":0.29,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":502,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.659242+00","correction":null},{"id":"330","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"RO","claim":"RON depreciates 1.30% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4.49328.","probability":0.164,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":97,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.647508+00","correction":null},{"id":"329","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PL","claim":"PLN depreciates 1.37% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3.69173.","probability":0.19,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":139,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.63382+00","correction":null},{"id":"328","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PK","claim":"PKR depreciates 0.26% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 277.508.","probability":0.153,"base_rate":0.239,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":15,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.622426+00","correction":null},{"id":"327","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PH","claim":"PHP depreciates 1.26% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 61.7024.","probability":0.217,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":167,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.607712+00","correction":null},{"id":"326","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PE","claim":"PEN depreciates 0.78% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3.34890.","probability":0.158,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":52,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.596016+00","correction":null},{"id":"324","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NP","claim":"NPR depreciates 1.15% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 153.271.","probability":0.246,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":1,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.583623+00","correction":null},{"id":"323","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NO","claim":"NOK depreciates 2.16% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.30495.","probability":0.159,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":62,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.572463+00","correction":null},{"id":"322","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NG","claim":"NGN depreciates 0.90% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1345.21.","probability":0.208,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":41,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.561691+00","correction":null},{"id":"321","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MZ","claim":"MZN depreciates 0.39% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 63.6361.","probability":0.186,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":29,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.550849+00","correction":null},{"id":"320","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MY","claim":"MYR depreciates 1.46% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 4.04086.","probability":0.163,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":15,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.539124+00","correction":null},{"id":"319","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MX","claim":"MXN depreciates 0.95% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 16.9188.","probability":0.163,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":66,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.52623+00","correction":null},{"id":"318","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MM","claim":"MMK depreciates 0.28% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2095.14.","probability":0.176,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":31,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.513234+00","correction":null},{"id":"317","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"MA","claim":"MAD depreciates 0.86% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 9.21245.","probability":0.164,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":152,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.500855+00","correction":null},{"id":"316","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"LY","claim":"LYD depreciates 0.50% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 6.32523.","probability":0.193,"base_rate":0.276,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":43,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.4853+00","correction":null},{"id":"315","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"LK","claim":"LKR depreciates 1.66% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 329.472.","probability":0.159,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.472633+00","correction":null},{"id":"314","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KZ","claim":"KZT depreciates 1.89% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 458.765.","probability":0.167,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":122,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.458325+00","correction":null},{"id":"313","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KW","claim":"KWD depreciates 0.39% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.307126.","probability":0.219,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":58,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.441995+00","correction":null},{"id":"312","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"KR","claim":"KRW depreciates 1.73% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1385.48.","probability":0.163,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.427719+00","correction":null},{"id":"310","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"JP","claim":"JPY depreciates 0.96% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 158.906.","probability":0.263,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":76,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.412352+00","correction":null},{"id":"309","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IR","claim":"IRR depreciates 9.87% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.52320e+6.","probability":0.221,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":326,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.398112+00","correction":null},{"id":"308","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IQ","claim":"IQD depreciates 0.25% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1304.60.","probability":0.181,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":61,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.383751+00","correction":null},{"id":"307","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"IN","claim":"INR depreciates 1.16% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 95.7937.","probability":0.231,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":1,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.371059+00","correction":null},{"id":"306","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ID","claim":"IDR depreciates 1.58% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 17693.9.","probability":0.158,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":40,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.35617+00","correction":null},{"id":"305","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"HU","claim":"HUF depreciates 1.94% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 310.512.","probability":0.264,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":227,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.343788+00","correction":null},{"id":"304","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GH","claim":"GHS depreciates 1.83% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 11.0178.","probability":0.219,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":315,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.329223+00","correction":null},{"id":"303","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"GB","claim":"GBP depreciates 1.16% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.732945.","probability":0.219,"base_rate":0.274,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":118,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.314606+00","correction":null},{"id":"302","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"DE","claim":"EUR depreciates 0.89% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.856180.","probability":0.163,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":84,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.302875+00","correction":null},{"id":"301","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ET","claim":"ETB depreciates 1.13% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 160.917.","probability":0.181,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":92,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.290348+00","correction":null},{"id":"300","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"EG","claim":"EGP depreciates 1.94% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 50.8639.","probability":0.321,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":45,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.275916+00","correction":null},{"id":"299","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"DZ","claim":"DZD depreciates 0.54% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 132.621.","probability":0.159,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":61,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.264229+00","correction":null},{"id":"298","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CZ","claim":"CZK depreciates 0.83% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 20.6447.","probability":0.159,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":118,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.251081+00","correction":null},{"id":"296","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CL","claim":"CLP depreciates 2.51% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 920.473.","probability":0.199,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":178,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.2388+00","correction":null},{"id":"295","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CH","claim":"CHF depreciates 1.40% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.800848.","probability":0.186,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":156,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.225291+00","correction":null},{"id":"294","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CD","claim":"CDF depreciates 1.44% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2282.58.","probability":0.159,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":89,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.212657+00","correction":null},{"id":"293","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CA","claim":"CAD depreciates 1.01% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.37852.","probability":0.158,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":77,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.200517+00","correction":null},{"id":"284","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"VE","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in VE within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.184451+00","correction":null},{"id":"273","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"SA","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in SA within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":3,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.12944+00","correction":null},{"id":"272","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"RU","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in RU within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":14,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.115386+00","correction":null},{"id":"271","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"PK","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in PK within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.099348+00","correction":null},{"id":"270","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"NG","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in NG within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.081482+00","correction":null},{"id":"269","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"NE","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in NE within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.059509+00","correction":null},{"id":"268","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"MM","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in MM within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":3,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.041617+00","correction":null},{"id":"266","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"LY","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in LY within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:42.018779+00","correction":null},{"id":"265","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"LB","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in LB within 14 days.","probability":0.3,"base_rate":0.3,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:41.999603+00","correction":null},{"id":"264","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"KZ","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in KZ within 14 days.","probability":0.2,"base_rate":0.2,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":1,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:41.980315+00","correction":null},{"id":"263","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"KE","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in KE within 14 days.","probability":0.2,"base_rate":0.2,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:41.966459+00","correction":{"cause":"final-day-unseen","corrected_status":"hit","note":"Resolved 2026-09-07 09:45Z, before OONI had stored any evidence for 2026-09-07, the last day of this call's own window. That day carries a confirmed block. On the full window the evidence now shows 7 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"262","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"IR","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in IR within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":14,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:41.947771+00","correction":null},{"id":"261","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"IQ","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in IQ within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:41.934338+00","correction":null},{"id":"260","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"IN","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in IN within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":13,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:41.916151+00","correction":null},{"id":"259","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"HT","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in HT within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:41.905263+00","correction":null},{"id":"258","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"ET","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in ET within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:41.890373+00","correction":null},{"id":"257","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"EG","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in EG within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:41.870278+00","correction":{"cause":"final-day-unseen","corrected_status":"hit","note":"Resolved 2026-09-07 09:45Z, before OONI had stored any evidence for 2026-09-07, the last day of this call's own window. That day carries a confirmed block. On the full window the evidence now shows 13 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"256","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"CU","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in CU within 14 days.","probability":0.3,"base_rate":0.3,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:41.847774+00","correction":null},{"id":"255","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"CN","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in CN within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":8,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:41.829696+00","correction":null},{"id":"253","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"CD","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in CD within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:41.786225+00","correction":null},{"id":"252","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"BY","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in BY within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:41.761423+00","correction":null},{"id":"251","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"BF","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in BF within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:41.738461+00","correction":null},{"id":"250","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"BD","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in BD within 14 days.","probability":0.5,"base_rate":0.5,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:41.718957+00","correction":{"cause":"ooni-hourly-bucket","corrected_status":"hit","note":"The evidence rows for this window held one hour of each day rather than the whole day, because the collector did not state a time grain to OONI. Re-fetched at day grain, the window shows 6 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"786","kind":"seismicity_window","country_code":"ICELAND","claim":"USGS records at least 1 earthquake of magnitude 4.50 or greater in the ICELAND region within 14 days.","probability":0.429,"base_rate":0.429,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:41.695167+00","correction":null},{"id":"785","kind":"seismicity_window","country_code":"PNG","claim":"USGS records at least 1 earthquake of magnitude 5.75 or greater in the PNG region within 14 days.","probability":0.435,"base_rate":0.435,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:41.343158+00","correction":null},{"id":"784","kind":"seismicity_window","country_code":"HIMALAYA","claim":"USGS records at least 1 earthquake of magnitude 4.50 or greater in the HIMALAYA region within 14 days.","probability":0.458,"base_rate":0.458,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":1,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:41.079189+00","correction":null},{"id":"783","kind":"seismicity_window","country_code":"CALIFORNIA","claim":"USGS records at least 1 earthquake of magnitude 4.50 or greater in the CALIFORNIA region within 14 days.","probability":0.431,"base_rate":0.431,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:40.8094+00","correction":null},{"id":"292","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BR","claim":"BRL depreciates 2.19% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 5.17061.","probability":0.203,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":18,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:40.709052+00","correction":null},{"id":"782","kind":"seismicity_window","country_code":"GREECE","claim":"USGS records at least 1 earthquake of magnitude 5.00 or greater in the GREECE region within 14 days.","probability":0.483,"base_rate":0.483,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:40.695619+00","correction":null},{"id":"781","kind":"seismicity_window","country_code":"PERU","claim":"USGS records at least 1 earthquake of magnitude 5.25 or greater in the PERU region within 14 days.","probability":0.361,"base_rate":0.361,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:40.606483+00","correction":null},{"id":"780","kind":"seismicity_window","country_code":"MEXICO","claim":"USGS records at least 1 earthquake of magnitude 5.00 or greater in the MEXICO region within 14 days.","probability":0.611,"base_rate":0.611,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":2,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:40.519731+00","correction":null},{"id":"779","kind":"seismicity_window","country_code":"IRAN","claim":"USGS records at least 1 earthquake of magnitude 5.00 or greater in the IRAN region within 14 days.","probability":0.454,"base_rate":0.454,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:40.245016+00","correction":null},{"id":"291","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BD","claim":"BDT depreciates 0.26% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 122.310.","probability":0.295,"base_rate":0.265,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":78,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:40.150893+00","correction":null},{"id":"290","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AU","claim":"AUD depreciates 1.71% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.39519.","probability":0.158,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":28,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:40.13637+00","correction":null},{"id":"289","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AR","claim":"ARS depreciates 2.08% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1497.45.","probability":0.173,"base_rate":0.274,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":112,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:40.123948+00","correction":null},{"id":"288","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AO","claim":"AOA depreciates 0.63% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 917.358.","probability":0.255,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":159,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:40.110453+00","correction":null},{"id":"287","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AF","claim":"AFN depreciates 1.73% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 65.1263.","probability":0.254,"base_rate":0.256,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":3,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:40.095323+00","correction":null},{"id":"286","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"YE","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in YE within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:40.079162+00","correction":null},{"id":"285","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"VN","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in VN within 14 days.","probability":0.4,"base_rate":0.4,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:40.054417+00","correction":{"cause":"ooni-hourly-bucket","corrected_status":"hit","note":"The evidence rows for this window held one hour of each day rather than the whole day, because the collector did not state a time grain to OONI. Re-fetched at day grain, the window shows 2 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"778","kind":"seismicity_window","country_code":"TURKEY","claim":"USGS records at least 1 earthquake of magnitude 5.00 or greater in the TURKEY region within 14 days.","probability":0.431,"base_rate":0.431,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:40.02527+00","correction":null},{"id":"777","kind":"seismicity_window","country_code":"PHILIPPINES","claim":"USGS records at least 1 earthquake of magnitude 5.50 or greater in the PHILIPPINES region within 14 days.","probability":0.508,"base_rate":0.508,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:39.742004+00","correction":null},{"id":"776","kind":"seismicity_window","country_code":"INDONESIA","claim":"USGS records at least 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.00 or greater in the INDONESIA region within 14 days.","probability":0.46,"base_rate":0.46,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":1,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:39.651695+00","correction":null},{"id":"775","kind":"seismicity_window","country_code":"ALASKA","claim":"USGS records at least 1 earthquake of magnitude 5.25 or greater in the ALASKA region within 14 days.","probability":0.521,"base_rate":0.521,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":4,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:39.392879+00","correction":null},{"id":"774","kind":"seismicity_window","country_code":"CHILE","claim":"USGS records at least 1 earthquake of magnitude 5.50 or greater in the CHILE region within 14 days.","probability":0.458,"base_rate":0.458,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:39.083789+00","correction":null},{"id":"773","kind":"seismicity_window","country_code":"JAPAN","claim":"USGS records at least 1 earthquake of magnitude 5.50 or greater in the JAPAN region within 14 days.","probability":0.548,"base_rate":0.548,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":1,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:38.989918+00","correction":null},{"id":"248","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"AF","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in AF within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:38.690938+00","correction":{"cause":"ooni-hourly-bucket","corrected_status":"hit","note":"The evidence rows for this window held one hour of each day rather than the whole day, because the collector did not state a time grain to OONI. Re-fetched at day grain, the window shows 2 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"343","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"UA","claim":"UAH depreciates 0.74% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 44.6877.","probability":0.231,"base_rate":0.248,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":12,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:38.65986+00","correction":null},{"id":"342","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TZ","claim":"TZS depreciates 0.65% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2627.89.","probability":0.256,"base_rate":0.276,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":67,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:38.645465+00","correction":null},{"id":"341","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TW","claim":"TWD depreciates 0.86% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 31.7982.","probability":0.286,"base_rate":0.265,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":16,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:38.629825+00","correction":null},{"id":"340","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TR","claim":"TRY depreciates 0.81% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 48.0868.","probability":0.188,"base_rate":0.222,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"miss","evidence_count":78,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:38.616332+00","correction":null},{"id":"339","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"TN","claim":"TND depreciates 0.79% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2.89101.","probability":0.164,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":93,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:38.602529+00","correction":null},{"id":"325","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NZ","claim":"NZD depreciates 1.63% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.67402.","probability":0.164,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-08-24","resolves_on":"2026-09-07","status":"hit","evidence_count":219,"resolved_at":"2026-09-07 09:45:38.579592+00","correction":null},{"id":"91","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZW","claim":"ZWL depreciates 1.97% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 26.6291.","probability":0.155,"base_rate":0.243,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":64,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 10:55:16.461815+00","correction":null},{"id":"90","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"ZA","claim":"ZAR depreciates 1.92% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 16.0191.","probability":0.301,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":85,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 10:55:16.451621+00","correction":null},{"id":"245","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"YE","claim":"YER depreciates 0.32% or more against 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0.26% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 276.305.","probability":0.154,"base_rate":0.241,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"hit","evidence_count":58,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 10:55:16.401675+00","correction":null},{"id":"221","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"PE","claim":"PEN depreciates 0.78% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 3.33813.","probability":0.159,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"hit","evidence_count":85,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 10:55:16.390199+00","correction":null},{"id":"67","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"NG","claim":"NGN depreciates 0.90% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1340.86.","probability":0.21,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":74,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 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depreciates 0.83% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 20.6361.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"hit","evidence_count":122,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 10:55:15.69377+00","correction":null},{"id":"47","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CL","claim":"CLP depreciates 2.51% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 921.928.","probability":0.201,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":162,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 10:55:15.682322+00","correction":null},{"id":"46","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CH","claim":"CHF depreciates 1.40% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 0.800882.","probability":0.188,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"hit","evidence_count":156,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 10:55:15.670886+00","correction":null},{"id":"45","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CD","claim":"CDF depreciates 1.44% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 2276.52.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":79,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 10:55:15.659539+00","correction":null},{"id":"44","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"CA","claim":"CAD depreciates 1.01% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.37611.","probability":0.159,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":95,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 10:55:15.648737+00","correction":null},{"id":"42","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AU","claim":"AUD depreciates 1.71% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1.39670.","probability":0.159,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":18,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 10:55:15.632974+00","correction":null},{"id":"41","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"AR","claim":"ARS depreciates 2.08% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 1497.45.","probability":0.175,"base_rate":0.276,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":112,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 10:55:15.619032+00","correction":null},{"id":"228","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"SD","claim":"SDG depreciates 19.85% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 579.523.","probability":0.241,"base_rate":0.25,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 09:45:40.474185+00","correction":null},{"id":"62","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"LK","claim":"LKR depreciates 1.66% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 329.806.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.252,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 09:45:39.716711+00","correction":null},{"id":"43","kind":"fx_devaluation","country_code":"BR","claim":"BRL depreciates 2.15% or more against USD at any point within 14 days, from 5.18923.","probability":0.21,"base_rate":0.259,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 09:45:39.364206+00","correction":null},{"id":"130","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"YE","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in YE within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 09:45:39.302039+00","correction":null},{"id":"129","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"VN","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in VN within 14 days.","probability":0.4,"base_rate":0.4,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 09:45:39.282043+00","correction":{"cause":"ooni-hourly-bucket","corrected_status":"hit","note":"The evidence rows for this window held one hour of each day rather than the whole day, because the collector did not state a time grain to OONI. Re-fetched at day grain, the window shows 2 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"128","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"VE","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in VE within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 09:45:39.251216+00","correction":null},{"id":"127","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"UZ","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in UZ within 14 days.","probability":0.4,"base_rate":0.4,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 09:45:39.232591+00","correction":{"cause":"ooni-hourly-bucket","corrected_status":"hit","note":"The evidence rows for this window held one hour of each day rather than the whole day, because the collector did not state a time grain to OONI. Re-fetched at day grain, the window shows 2 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"126","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"UG","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in UG within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 09:45:39.210372+00","correction":null},{"id":"125","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"TZ","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in TZ within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 09:45:39.185109+00","correction":null},{"id":"124","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"TR","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in TR within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"hit","evidence_count":14,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 09:45:39.165974+00","correction":null},{"id":"123","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"TH","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in TH within 14 days.","probability":0.7,"base_rate":0.7,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"hit","evidence_count":3,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 09:45:39.151613+00","correction":null},{"id":"121","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"SY","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in SY within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 09:45:39.124184+00","correction":null},{"id":"117","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"SA","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in SA within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"hit","evidence_count":2,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 09:45:39.0669+00","correction":null},{"id":"116","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"RU","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in RU within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"hit","evidence_count":14,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 09:45:39.053201+00","correction":null},{"id":"115","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"PK","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in PK within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 09:45:39.039104+00","correction":null},{"id":"114","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"NG","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in NG within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 09:45:39.017558+00","correction":null},{"id":"113","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"NE","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in NE within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 09:45:38.999408+00","correction":null},{"id":"112","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"MM","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in MM within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"hit","evidence_count":3,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 09:45:38.980156+00","correction":null},{"id":"110","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"LY","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in LY within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 09:45:38.955067+00","correction":null},{"id":"109","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"LB","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in LB within 14 days.","probability":0.2,"base_rate":0.2,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"hit","evidence_count":1,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 09:45:38.935786+00","correction":null},{"id":"108","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"KZ","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in KZ within 14 days.","probability":0.2,"base_rate":0.2,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"hit","evidence_count":1,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 09:45:38.921628+00","correction":null},{"id":"107","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"KE","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in KE within 14 days.","probability":0.2,"base_rate":0.2,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 09:45:38.907645+00","correction":{"cause":"ooni-hourly-bucket","corrected_status":"hit","note":"The evidence rows for this window held one hour of each day rather than the whole day, because the collector did not state a time grain to OONI. Re-fetched at day grain, the window shows 7 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"106","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"IR","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in IR within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"hit","evidence_count":14,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 09:45:38.884422+00","correction":null},{"id":"105","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"IQ","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in IQ within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 09:45:38.870354+00","correction":null},{"id":"104","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"IN","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in IN within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"hit","evidence_count":13,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 09:45:38.849499+00","correction":null},{"id":"103","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"HT","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in HT within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 09:45:38.836393+00","correction":null},{"id":"102","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"ET","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in ET within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 09:45:38.815904+00","correction":null},{"id":"101","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"EG","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in EG within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 09:45:38.79381+00","correction":{"cause":"final-day-unseen","corrected_status":"hit","note":"Resolved 2026-09-06 09:45Z, before OONI had stored any evidence for 2026-09-06, the last day of this call's own window. That day carries a confirmed block. On the full window the evidence now shows 13 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"100","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"CU","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in CU within 14 days.","probability":0.3,"base_rate":0.3,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 09:45:38.773665+00","correction":null},{"id":"99","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"CN","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in CN within 14 days.","probability":0.9,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"hit","evidence_count":7,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 09:45:38.751401+00","correction":null},{"id":"97","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"CD","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in CD within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 09:45:38.724616+00","correction":null},{"id":"96","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"BY","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in BY within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 09:45:38.704101+00","correction":null},{"id":"95","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"BF","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in BF within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 09:45:38.683392+00","correction":null},{"id":"94","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"BD","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in BD within 14 days.","probability":0.5,"base_rate":0.5,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 09:45:38.664508+00","correction":{"cause":"final-day-unseen","corrected_status":"hit","note":"Resolved 2026-09-06 09:45Z, before OONI had stored any evidence for 2026-09-06, the last day of this call's own window. That day carries a confirmed block. On the full window the evidence now shows 6 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"93","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"AZ","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in AZ within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 09:45:38.64441+00","correction":null},{"id":"92","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"AF","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in AF within 14 days.","probability":0.1,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-23","resolves_on":"2026-09-06","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-06 09:45:38.587721+00","correction":{"cause":"ooni-hourly-bucket","corrected_status":"hit","note":"The evidence rows for this window held one hour of each day rather than the whole day, because the collector did not state a time grain to OONI. Re-fetched at day grain, the window shows 2 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"39","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"YE","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in YE within 14 days.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-22","resolves_on":"2026-09-05","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-05 09:45:39.360799+00","correction":null},{"id":"38","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"VN","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in VN within 14 days.","probability":0.4,"base_rate":0.4,"made_on":"2026-08-22","resolves_on":"2026-09-05","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-05 09:45:39.345225+00","correction":{"cause":"ooni-hourly-bucket","corrected_status":"hit","note":"The evidence rows for this window held one hour of each day rather than the whole day, because the collector did not state a time grain to OONI. Re-fetched at day grain, the window shows 3 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"37","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"VE","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in VE within 14 days.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-22","resolves_on":"2026-09-05","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-05 09:45:39.330674+00","correction":null},{"id":"36","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"UZ","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in UZ within 14 days.","probability":0.52,"base_rate":0.4,"made_on":"2026-08-22","resolves_on":"2026-09-05","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-05 09:45:39.316603+00","correction":{"cause":"ooni-hourly-bucket","corrected_status":"hit","note":"The evidence rows for this window held one hour of each day rather than the whole day, because the collector did not state a time grain to OONI. Re-fetched at day grain, the window shows 2 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"35","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"UG","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in UG within 14 days.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-22","resolves_on":"2026-09-05","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-05 09:45:39.299602+00","correction":null},{"id":"34","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"TZ","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in TZ within 14 days.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-22","resolves_on":"2026-09-05","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-05 09:45:39.283018+00","correction":null},{"id":"33","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"TR","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in TR within 14 days.","probability":0.84,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-22","resolves_on":"2026-09-05","status":"hit","evidence_count":14,"resolved_at":"2026-09-05 09:45:39.264973+00","correction":null},{"id":"32","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"TH","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in TH within 14 days.","probability":0.52,"base_rate":0.7,"made_on":"2026-08-22","resolves_on":"2026-09-05","status":"hit","evidence_count":3,"resolved_at":"2026-09-05 09:45:39.253601+00","correction":null},{"id":"30","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"SY","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in SY within 14 days.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-22","resolves_on":"2026-09-05","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-05 09:45:39.231709+00","correction":null},{"id":"28","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"SO","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in SO within 14 days.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-22","resolves_on":"2026-09-05","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-05 09:45:39.207082+00","correction":null},{"id":"26","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"SA","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in SA within 14 days.","probability":0.84,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-22","resolves_on":"2026-09-05","status":"hit","evidence_count":2,"resolved_at":"2026-09-05 09:45:39.180067+00","correction":null},{"id":"25","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"RU","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in RU within 14 days.","probability":0.84,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-22","resolves_on":"2026-09-05","status":"hit","evidence_count":14,"resolved_at":"2026-09-05 09:45:39.166641+00","correction":null},{"id":"24","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"PK","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in PK within 14 days.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-22","resolves_on":"2026-09-05","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-05 09:45:39.150092+00","correction":null},{"id":"23","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"NG","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in NG within 14 days.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-22","resolves_on":"2026-09-05","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-05 09:45:39.134473+00","correction":null},{"id":"22","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"NE","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in NE within 14 days.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-22","resolves_on":"2026-09-05","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-05 09:45:39.122014+00","correction":null},{"id":"21","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"MM","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in MM within 14 days.","probability":0.84,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-22","resolves_on":"2026-09-05","status":"hit","evidence_count":4,"resolved_at":"2026-09-05 09:45:39.107665+00","correction":null},{"id":"19","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"LY","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in LY within 14 days.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-22","resolves_on":"2026-09-05","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-05 09:45:39.086171+00","correction":null},{"id":"18","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"LB","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in LB within 14 days.","probability":0.2,"base_rate":0.2,"made_on":"2026-08-22","resolves_on":"2026-09-05","status":"hit","evidence_count":1,"resolved_at":"2026-09-05 09:45:39.072374+00","correction":null},{"id":"17","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"KZ","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in KZ within 14 days.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-22","resolves_on":"2026-09-05","status":"hit","evidence_count":2,"resolved_at":"2026-09-05 09:45:39.060535+00","correction":null},{"id":"16","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"KE","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in KE within 14 days.","probability":0.2,"base_rate":0.2,"made_on":"2026-08-22","resolves_on":"2026-09-05","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-05 09:45:39.050594+00","correction":{"cause":"final-day-unseen","corrected_status":"hit","note":"Resolved 2026-09-05 09:45Z, before OONI had stored any evidence for 2026-09-05, the last day of this call's own window. That day carries a confirmed block. On the full window the evidence now shows 8 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"15","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"IR","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in IR within 14 days.","probability":0.84,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-22","resolves_on":"2026-09-05","status":"hit","evidence_count":14,"resolved_at":"2026-09-05 09:45:39.033406+00","correction":null},{"id":"14","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"IQ","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in IQ within 14 days.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-22","resolves_on":"2026-09-05","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-05 09:45:39.022176+00","correction":null},{"id":"13","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"IN","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in IN within 14 days.","probability":0.84,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-22","resolves_on":"2026-09-05","status":"hit","evidence_count":14,"resolved_at":"2026-09-05 09:45:39.001181+00","correction":null},{"id":"12","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"HT","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in HT within 14 days.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-22","resolves_on":"2026-09-05","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-05 09:45:38.988476+00","correction":null},{"id":"11","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"ET","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in ET within 14 days.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-22","resolves_on":"2026-09-05","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-05 09:45:38.971463+00","correction":null},{"id":"10","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"EG","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in EG within 14 days.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-22","resolves_on":"2026-09-05","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-05 09:45:38.950963+00","correction":{"cause":"final-day-unseen","corrected_status":"hit","note":"Resolved 2026-09-05 09:45Z, before OONI had stored any evidence for 2026-09-05, the last day of this call's own window. That day carries a confirmed block. On the full window the evidence now shows 13 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"9","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"CU","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in CU within 14 days.","probability":0.24,"base_rate":0.3,"made_on":"2026-08-22","resolves_on":"2026-09-05","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-05 09:45:38.936744+00","correction":null},{"id":"8","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"CN","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in CN within 14 days.","probability":0.84,"base_rate":0.9,"made_on":"2026-08-22","resolves_on":"2026-09-05","status":"hit","evidence_count":7,"resolved_at":"2026-09-05 09:45:38.918772+00","correction":null},{"id":"6","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"CD","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in CD within 14 days.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-22","resolves_on":"2026-09-05","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-05 09:45:38.896372+00","correction":null},{"id":"5","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"BY","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in BY within 14 days.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-22","resolves_on":"2026-09-05","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-05 09:45:38.874475+00","correction":null},{"id":"4","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"BF","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in BF within 14 days.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-22","resolves_on":"2026-09-05","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-05 09:45:38.857797+00","correction":null},{"id":"3","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"BD","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in BD within 14 days.","probability":0.32,"base_rate":0.5,"made_on":"2026-08-22","resolves_on":"2026-09-05","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-05 09:45:38.837865+00","correction":{"cause":"final-day-unseen","corrected_status":"hit","note":"Resolved 2026-09-05 09:45Z, before OONI had stored any evidence for 2026-09-05, the last day of this call's own window. That day carries a confirmed block. On the full window the evidence now shows 5 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}},{"id":"2","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"AZ","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in AZ within 14 days.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-22","resolves_on":"2026-09-05","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-05 09:45:38.813332+00","correction":null},{"id":"1","kind":"censorship_event","country_code":"AF","claim":"OONI records at least 1 confirmed website or app blocking event in AF within 14 days.","probability":0.16,"base_rate":0.1,"made_on":"2026-08-22","resolves_on":"2026-09-05","status":"miss","evidence_count":0,"resolved_at":"2026-09-05 09:45:38.780035+00","correction":{"cause":"ooni-hourly-bucket","corrected_status":"hit","note":"The evidence rows for this window held one hour of each day rather than the whole day, because the collector did not state a time grain to OONI. Re-fetched at day grain, the window shows 2 blocked day(s) across 15 observed day(s), against a threshold of 1.","issued_on":"2026-09-13"}}]}